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FORECASTING THE EXCHANGE RATES OF THE US DOLLAR AGAINST THE IRAQI DINAR USING THE BOX-JENKINS METHODOLOGY IN TIME SERIES WITH PRACTICAL APPLICATION
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The goal of the study is to discover the best model for forecasting the exchange rate of the US dollar against the Iraqi dinar by analyzing time series using the Box Jenkis approach, which is one of the most significant subjects in the statistical sciences employed in the analysis. The exchange rate of the dollar is considered one of the most important determinants of the relative level of the health of the country's economy. It is considered the most watched, analyzed and manipulated measure by the government. There are factors affecting in determining the exchange rate, the most important of which are the amount of money, interest rate and local inflation global balance of payments. The data for the research that represents the exchange rate of the US dollar against the Iraqi dinar for the period (31-8-2010) to (31-3-2021) has been collected from the Central Bank of Iraq and based on the statistical program SPSS and using the Box-Jenkins methodology a series was drawn. The data is analyzed and the appropriate differences are taken to achieve the stationary of the series, then diagnose the appropriate model for it and choose the best model and using the comparison criteria MSE, MAPE to evaluate the predicted models to use the best model for prediction. It was found that the best models extracted in the research through the methodology are the models of the order (1,1,0), which gave the lowest value from ADF, BIC, RMAE, MAPE, and the dollar exchange rate was predicted for the year 2022

Scopus
Publication Date
Wed Oct 17 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
A Comparison of Bayes Estimators for the parameter of Rayleigh Distribution with Simulation
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   A comparison of double informative and non- informative priors assumed for the parameter of Rayleigh distribution is considered. Three different sets of double priors are included, for a single unknown parameter of Rayleigh distribution. We have assumed three double priors: the square root inverted gamma (SRIG) - the natural conjugate family of priors distribution, the square root inverted gamma – the non-informative distribution, and the natural conjugate family of priors - the non-informative distribution as double priors .The data is generating form three cases from Rayleigh distribution for different samples sizes (small, medium, and large). And Bayes estimators for the parameter is derived under a squared erro

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Crossref
Publication Date
Sun Mar 01 2020
Journal Name
Agricultural Engineering
Analysis of the Vacuum-Steam Defrosting Process of Plums Pre-Treated with Dehydrofreezing
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Abstract<p>The research material was prune plums (<italic>Prunus domestica</italic> L.), subjected to osmotic pre-treatment, with variable process time parameters and osmotic solution concentration. Plums thus fixed were frozen and stored for 6 months. At even (monthly) intervals, the product was defrosted by the vacuum-steam method, using the s-p-p chamber, until the thermocouple indicated a temperature of 4ºC in the sample’s thermal center. In order to study the kinetics of phenomena occurring during the defrosting process, the chamber was equipped with a measuring system to enable measurement and recording of temperature changes in time in the geometric center of the sample, as w</p> ... Show More
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Publication Date
Sun Mar 01 2020
Journal Name
Agricultural Engineering
Analysis of the Vacuum-Steam Defrosting Process of Plums Pre-Treated with Dehydrofreezing
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Abstract<p>The research material was prune plums (<italic>Prunus domestica</italic> L.), subjected to osmotic pre-treatment, with variable process time parameters and osmotic solution concentration. Plums thus fixed were frozen and stored for 6 months. At even (monthly) intervals, the product was defrosted by the vacuum-steam method, using the s-p-p chamber, until the thermocouple indicated a temperature of 4ºC in the sample’s thermal center. In order to study the kinetics of phenomena occurring during the defrosting process, the chamber was equipped with a measuring system to enable measurement and recording of temperature changes in time in the geometric center of the sample, as w</p> ... Show More
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Publication Date
Sun Mar 04 2012
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Effect of Fat Replacement with Tahena on the Quality Properties of Shortened Cake
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The objective of this research was to investigate the effect of replacing fat(shortening) with different percentages of tahena on the quality properties (physiochemical and sensory ) of shortened cake.The percentages of moisture,protein ,fat and ash of cake increased significantly(p<0.05) as the replacement was increased .The highest increase percentages were 10,48,5,and 90 %,respectivly, at 100% replacement .Carbohydrate,however,decreased by 10%at 100% replacement .these findings may indicate improvement of cake nutritional value.Standing height,as an indicator of cake volume, also increased significantly by 4% at the 50% replacement then it decreased by 4% 100% replacement level. Basic formula (control) has signific

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Crossref
Publication Date
Sun Oct 02 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
IQ TEST STANDARDIZATION OF MARTEN LOTHER JOHAN WITH CHILDREEN OF THE SIX YEAR
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This study aimed to IQ test standardization of Marten Lother Johan which used with childreen of the one stage at primary schools who aged (6) years old in Baghdad (Resafaa and Kharh).

 The importance of this study are :

1-The  importance of childhood and its role to develop the personality.

2-The importance of this age as the child will exposure to different kind of official teaching .

3-The capability for early detection of special category for early intervention in order to provide the necessary care .

4-Using the current test could consider as a predictive tool to screen the intelligent children .

In order to achieve the study aim, the researcher had followed the follow

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Publication Date
Sun Apr 02 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
IQ TEST STANDARDIZATION OF MARTEN LOTHER JOHAN WITH CHILDREEN OF THE SEVEN YEAR
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This study aimed to IQ test standardization of Marten Lother Johan which used with childreen of the tow  stage at primary schools who aged (7) years old in Baghdad (Resafaa and Kharh).

 The importance of this study are :

1-The  importance of childhood and its role to develop the personality.

2-The importance of this age as the child will exposure to different kind of official teaching .

3-The capability for early detection of special category for early intervention in order to provide the necessary care .

4-Using the current test could consider as a predictive tool to screen the intelligent children .

In order to achieve the study aim, the researcher had followed the

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Publication Date
Wed Sep 18 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The Linguistic Term and the Problems of the Arabic Reception
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        The linguistic researcher reads a systematic crisis, idiomatic problems within the linguistic term coming to the Arab culture. Where most of them return back to problems of receiving these sciences which are represented by phenomena like the multiplicity linguistic term, disturbance translated idiomatic concept and its duality.

Aims of the research :

1-Initializing new textbooks to form linguistic project and Arabic linguistic theory.

2-Determination adjusted knowledge, concepts of Arabian heritage linguistics subject

3-Observation  the causes of disturbance crisis of linguistic term and its relation to

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Publication Date
Thu Feb 11 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of Legal Sciences
The Effects of The Pharmaceutical Discovery Process on The Researcher
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The process of discovering pharmaceuticals is of great importance in our contemporary life, in a way that without life becomes almost impossible, as this process is the first building block in the field of pharmaceutical industries to search for new methods and means of treatment and treatment. But in fact, the fact that talking about this process is not that simple and easy, because this process is complicated and difficult in a way that makes it take a time range that in some cases reaches what is permissible ten years to reach a chemical formula that can be used later in the manufacturing process Pharmacokinetics, and during this long period of time, this process will have a set of effects, some of which are specific to the researcher di

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Publication Date
Wed Aug 20 2025
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Magnetohydrodynyamic Flow for a Viscoclastic Fluid with the Generalized Oldroyd-B Model with Fractional Derivative
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This paper deals with the Magnetohydrodynyamic (Mill)) flow for a viscoclastic fluid of the generalized Oldroyd-B model. The fractional calculus approach is used to establish the constitutive relationship of the non-Newtonian fluid model. Exact analytic solutions for the velocity and shear stress fields in terms of the Fox H-function are obtained by using discrete Laplace transform. The effect of different parameter that controlled the motion and shear stress equations are studied through plotting using the MATHEMATICA-8 software.

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Publication Date
Sun Sep 03 2023
Journal Name
Wireless Personal Communications
Application of Healthcare Management Technologies for COVID-19 Pandemic Using Internet of Things and Machine Learning Algorithms
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