The goal of the study is to discover the best model for forecasting the exchange rate of the US dollar against the Iraqi dinar by analyzing time series using the Box Jenkis approach, which is one of the most significant subjects in the statistical sciences employed in the analysis. The exchange rate of the dollar is considered one of the most important determinants of the relative level of the health of the country's economy. It is considered the most watched, analyzed and manipulated measure by the government. There are factors affecting in determining the exchange rate, the most important of which are the amount of money, interest rate and local inflation global balance of payments. The data for the research that represents the exchange rate of the US dollar against the Iraqi dinar for the period (31-8-2010) to (31-3-2021) has been collected from the Central Bank of Iraq and based on the statistical program SPSS and using the Box-Jenkins methodology a series was drawn. The data is analyzed and the appropriate differences are taken to achieve the stationary of the series, then diagnose the appropriate model for it and choose the best model and using the comparison criteria MSE, MAPE to evaluate the predicted models to use the best model for prediction. It was found that the best models extracted in the research through the methodology are the models of the order (1,1,0), which gave the lowest value from ADF, BIC, RMAE, MAPE, and the dollar exchange rate was predicted for the year 2022
The problem with research in the question of whether art forms in the religious icon Byzantine, heiress docility and tradition craftsman arts civilizations of the above? ... And if you are well, you helped a quotation on the entry of strange ideas rampant within religious traditions, and are prompted to do Movement rejected prohibition, and the outbreak of the icons war? ... Or is it, in fact - and as researcher finds - the result of a need communication between the religious and the recipient organization in the establishment of a deliberative speech, be visible, along with reading it and audible? .. And lies the importance of this study is being added technical knowledge of the library that will enrich researchers and scholars in this
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Characteristic of money laundering phenomenon is a compound and complex nature like the style of regular crimes . These operations are planned and excuted with those who have high quality experiences to hide the evidences of their deeds so They ask the help of financials ,economicals and legists to plan for money laundering. Banks are important and suitable places for illegal circulation of money because of the different types of accounts , rapidity and overlap which emphasis of its main duty to dislocate illegal money which comes from illegal sources without adding legal characteristic to it . Here we should explain the important role of banks in striving the phenomenon –Bank should try to show and analyze inward proced
... Show MoreThe research is dealing with the color articulation and its significance in the poetry of Hana Al-bawab, who employed the “color” in a special technique in her poetry.The research is trying to deal with the identification of the color and its aesthetic significance and function in the poetic context, as it determines its indication and interaction with the words next to it in the context. The research will clarifies that the color is not only a visual phenomenon, but also an aesthetic, mental and emotional significance. The results that I have concluded, indicate that the poet has beseeched to display the color in her poetry with the plain and borrowed colors besides the inspired dark and bright colors. The color’s indication has b
... Show Moreالأحكام القانونية للجرف القاري في القانون الدولي
God sent the Prophet Muhammad as a teacher and promising harbinger {that is sent to the illiterate messenger reciting to them His signs and purifies them and teaches them the Book and Wisdom} [Friday: 2]; the wisdom of Baos Prophet him peace be and am back to teach people, - Education and therefore his life was very rich educational tactics And has passed the Prophet in different circumstances and conditions that can be experienced by a teacher or educator in any time, anywhere; there is no case of going through the educator or teacher only finds the same or similar or likened to, or close to it in the life of the Prophet peace be upon him Prophet has lived God's peace be upon his strengths and weaknesses, victory and defeat, he lived or
... Show MoreGlorify and Praise be to God, and prayers and peace be upon the Messenger of God, his family, companions, and those who are loyal to him.
The subject derives its significance from two important sources , the first one lies in the Sunnah of the Prophet, while the other is the family source , which enrich this subject with great importance.
As for the objective of the topic, it shows to the reader the prophetic bases that mitigate and ease the burden of the husband in a way that secures the marital happiness, so that the Muslim woman takes it as a path for her in life and a slogan that illuminates the darkness of the path and makes her to overcom
... Show MoreThe Intelligence of the Child in Relation to some Variables
The use of symbols is considered an important part of visual expression since ancient civilizations till the present time, and detecting the significance of these symbols is a communication means between the artwork and the recipient. The current study aims to detect the clarification of the concept of symbolic connotations, and to detect their importance in the works of the artist Eugene Delacroix, through description and technical analysis, and trying to monitor the technical aspects of these connotations and using them in forming the artwork; This shows the importance of the study in trying to benefit the scholars in the field of visual arts and the analysis of artworks in particular.
The study used the descriptive analytical appr
Advertising is an important and influential tool in various commercial operations, as it represents a means of communication that depends on influencing individuals or society as a whole, working on a link between the producer and the consumer, so the importance of advertising appears in two dimensions, the first is economic represented in its role in achieving economic growth for the facility, while the social dimension lies in its role By influencing the behaviors and ideas of individuals, and from here it appears to us the importance of formulating, organizing and designing the advertising message that advertising agencies resort to in their advertising campaigns. Orientation, definition, and raising the level of the advertising messa
... Show MoreStubbornness is of the nature of the mean, we do not see it in the character of a person whose heart God filled with faith, wisdom and knowledge. And stubbornness does not fall into it except hearts that are arrogant, envious and objectionable, hearts that do not admit mistakes, and are not satisfied with the truth. Rather, you see humiliation,humiliation and shortcomings in returning to Him. He loves corruption * Except in humiliation, humiliation and shortcomings, the stubborn fall, even if they are proud when it is said to him, "Beware of God", pride takes him for sin, so his count is Hell, and his misery.
traces of stubbornness :key wor
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