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Building a Sustainable GARCH Model to Forecast Rubber Price: Modified Huber Weighting Function Approach
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The unstable and uncertain nature of natural rubber prices makes them highly volatile and prone to outliers, which can have a significant impact on both modeling and forecasting. To tackle this issue, the author recommends a hybrid model that combines the autoregressive (AR) and Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models. The model utilizes the Huber weighting function to ensure the forecast value of rubber prices remains sustainable even in the presence of outliers. The study aims to develop a sustainable model and forecast daily prices for a 12-day period by analyzing 2683 daily price data from Standard Malaysian Rubber Grade 20 (SMR 20) in Malaysia. The analysis incorporates two dispersion measurements (IQR/3 and Sn) and three levels of IO contamination 0%, 10%, and 20%. The results indicate that using the Huber weighting function with the IQR/3 measurement to build the AR(1)-GARCH(2,1) model leads to better sustainability. These findings have the potential to enhance the GARCH model by modifying the weighting function of the M-estimator

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Publication Date
Tue Jan 31 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
Sustainable Investment In Architectural Heritage Buildings (Analytical Study Of Arabic Models)
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 Heritage is considered as the civilization and cultural wealth accumulated over the . centuries, whereas architectural heritage is the physical witness of that civilization. Despite the fact that architectural heritage is the most important effort for economic development of any communit,، it suffers from deterioration and neglection especially in the Arab communities. Recently awareness has increased about the importance of investing on architectural heritage generally and sustainable investment particularly. The goal of investment process in heritage areas is to revive economic activity in addition to attempt to revive the heritage and community values. Research aims to examine the relationship between sustainable investment and

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Publication Date
Thu Mar 19 2015
Journal Name
Al-academy
The concept of Sustainable Environments in the UAE: عبد الصمد الخالدي
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Over last decade, rapid growth in economic and population accompanied with depletion of the energy resources lead to serious impacts on environment and humanity. This development coupled with active constructions, which in some examples ignore the impact on the environment and human activities. Therefore, principle of sustainability has required in order to reducing this negative impact on the environment and the humanity.In developing countries, it seems that there is a huge gap between the current construction practices and sustainable principle, which need more attention to clarify and define the problems in order to find suitable solutions before it comes more difficult and expensive. The study aims to choose one of the develo

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Publication Date
Thu Jun 01 2023
Journal Name
Environmental & Socio-economic Studies
Analysing formal transformations in sustainable urban structures in Kufa City, Iraq
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The research discusses the formal transformation in urban structure, all the cities around the world have undergone a series of formal transformations, resulting in radical transformations to their functions. And to calculate this transformation the descriptive analytical method was applied to this research. First, local urban management data and Landsat-9 visual data were used after processing by GIS. Then, the data were processed mathematically based on their engineering sequences. The aims of this research were as follows: to explore the formal transformations in cities, their dimensions and their consequences and impacts; to identify the underlying causes of their occurrence by deriving realistic results from trends in such degrees of t

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Publication Date
Sun Aug 20 2017
Journal Name
Ibn Al-haitham Journal For Pure And Applied Sciences
Study on the Physiological Function of a - Tocopherol, Vitamin (E) on Lipoproteins Levels in Serum of Apparantly Healthy Individuals
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The  role  of  free  radicals  generation  and  Lipid  Peroxidation

during the course of ischemic heart disease is well establshed as a basic for Pthogenesis and subsequent tissue damage consequenes . In an attempt to shed a light on the possible relationship between lipid peroxidation and some antioxidant.

The effect of vitamine E  (as a potent antioxidant free radical scavenger) . On the serum levels of the Lipoproteins, (HDLc) High Density Lipoprotein , (LDLc) Low Density Lipoprotein and (VLDLc) very Low Density Lipoprotein in healthy donors.

The  study  includes  (50) healthy  donors  from  males  and  females  ,

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Publication Date
Fri Nov 05 2021
Journal Name
Semiconductor Science And Information Devices
Cladding Modified Fiber Bragg Grating for Copper Ions Detection
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This paper reports a fiber Bragg grating (FBG) as a biosensor. The FBGs were etched using a chemical agent,namely,hydrofluoric acid (HF). This implies the removal of some part of the cladding layer. Consequently, the evanescent field propagating out of the core will be closer to the environment and become more sensitive to the change in the surrounding. The proposed FBG sensor was utilized to detect toxic heavy metal ions aqueous medium namely, copper ions (Cu2+). Two FBG sensors were etched with 20 and 40 μm diameters and fabricated. The sensors were studied towards Cu2+ with different concentrations using wavelength shift as a result of the interaction between the evanescent field and copper ions. The FBG sensors showed

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Publication Date
Tue Jan 18 2022
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Modified Bees Swarm Optimization Algorithm for Association Rules Mining
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Mining association rules is a popular and well-studied method of data mining tasks whose primary aim is the discovers of the correlation among sets of items in the transactional databases. However, generating high- quality association rules in a reasonable time from a given database has been considered as an important and challenging problem, especially with the fast increasing in database's size. Many algorithms for association rules mining have been already proposed with promosing results. In this paper, a new association rules mining algorithm based on Bees Swarm Optimization metaheuristic named Modified Bees Swarm Optimization for Association Rules Mining (MBSO-ARM) algorithm is proposed. Results show that the proposed algorithm can

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Publication Date
Sat Feb 27 2021
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Approximation of Modified Baskakov Operators Based on Parameter s
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In this article, we define and study a family of modified Baskakov type operators based on a parameter . This family is a generalization of the classical Baskakov sequence. First, we prove that it converges to the function being approximated. Then, we find a Voronovsky-type formula and obtain that the order of approximation of this family is . This order is better than the order of the classical Baskakov sequence  whenever . Finally, we apply our sequence to approximate two test functions and analyze the numerical results obtained.

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Publication Date
Thu Jan 31 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
Thermal Simulation for Unconditioned Single Zone with Modified Roof
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Roof in the Iraqi houses normally flattening by a concrete panel. This concrete panel has poor thermal properties. The usage of materials with low thermal conductivity and high specific heat gives a good improvements to the thermal properties of the concrete panel, thus, the indoor room temperature improves. A Mathcad program based on a mathematical model employing complex Fourier series built for a single room building. The model input data are the ambient temperature, solar radiation, and sol-air temperature, which have been treated as a periodic function of time. While, the room construction is constant due to their materials made of it, except the roof properties are taken as a variable generated practically from the

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Publication Date
Wed Feb 16 2022
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Text Steganography Method Based On Modified Run Length Encoding
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Data hiding (Steganography) is a method used for data security purpose and to protect the data during its transmission. Steganography is used to hide the communication between two parties by embedding a secret message inside another cover (audio, text, image or video). In this paper a new text Steganography method is proposed that based on a parser and the ASCII of non-printed characters to hide the secret information in the English cover text after coding the secret message and compression it using modified Run Length Encoding method (RLE). The proposed method achieved a high capacity ratio for Steganography (five times more than the cover text length) when compared with other methods, and provides a 1.0 transparency by depending on som

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Publication Date
Tue Feb 05 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Al-qadisiyah For Computer Science And Mathematics
Anemia Blood Cell localization Using Modified K- Means Algorithm
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