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bsj-4606
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
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The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in determining the best seasonal model. Then they are compared with the obtained models from two methods that mentioned above of the two approaches within a group of the criteria as AIC, MDL, Loss Function, BIC, FPE, MSE, in addition the proposed weighted comparison criteria to determine the best model for representing the wind speed data as input variable, soil and dust as an output variable, in Baghdad Station from January 1956 to December 2012.

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Publication Date
Tue Jan 12 2021
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
الفاظ الحــــــــــــــــــرب ودلالاتها في الشعر العباسي شعر صــــــر در أنموذجــــــــــــــــــا
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      That art and poetic creativity is not associated with a certain time and place and that artistic inspiration is a gift from God loved to a group of individuals so that their experiences be simulated speaking to the insides of the human self and that the creativity of the artist poet lies in the purpose of what is familiar and accepted and mocked for this purpose to

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Publication Date
Wed Feb 06 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
من اعجازات القرآن الكریم الأصل العضوي للنفط في سورة الاعلى
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The energy consider generally and specifically the petroleum energy
from the prior requirement of the population and nations, and the basics of the
survival of mankind and all the challenges for the sake of continuum, so
without this energy the life of ankind being varied, so far the life is still as a
fact on the planet earth, and suppose the life may continue as the willing of
Allah ,that the events and the standards and the degree of development is still
as it is, in another word no any technical developments and no any
entertainment no transportation and also there is no demographic domination
for the whole lands belonging to Allah, certainly no way to talk more on what
we and the others knew, what is the g

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Publication Date
Tue Oct 05 2021
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
اسرة بنو الشحنة ودورها في الحياة الادارية خلال العصر المملوكي
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The sultans of the Mamluk state, since the establishment of their state in the year   AD, were keen to bring scholars closer to them, and entrusted the vra in the state.  ;  This is because of their confidence in

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 23 2023
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
المصاحبة اللفظية بين الصفة والموصوف في خطب الرسول دراسة دلالية
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There are words that are described in certain words that are not described in other words, so the relationship between two words that accompany a habit is strengthened, which leads to the emergence of a conjunction or an idiomatic expression

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Publication Date
Wed Jul 01 2015
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
Israeli vision of Iran's nuclear program Under Iranian - US rapprochement
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Israel is one of the countries most interested in Iran's nuclear program file, and the progress of negotiations between Iran and the six countries and will end it, as well as the nature of the relationship between Iran and the United States of America. Is determined by the Israeli vision of the nature of Iran's nuclear program Iran's policy toward Israel orientations, which does not recognize the existence of Israel. Israel, therefore, one of the countries pushing to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear technology. However, those Israeli efforts did not succeed in achieving its objectives, the United States of America and European countries is well aware of the risk of stenosis on Iran, as well as the risks and the consequences of militar

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Publication Date
Tue Jun 01 2010
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
نحو رؤيا استراتيجية لبناء القدرة التنافسية للاقتصاد والصناعة في العراق
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استهدفت هذه الدراسة تحليل واقع الاقتصاد العراقي على خلفية تحليل القدرة التنافسية بما يفضي الى وضع ملامح عامة لإستراتيجية بناء للقدرة التنافسية الوطنية للنهوض بالواقع الاقتصادي. وقد افترضت الدراسة ان الاقتصاد العراقي يعاني من اخفاقات شديدة في الاداء لا تتصل بطبيعته ولاتعتبر سمة اصيلة من سماته  بل هي ظرفية وطارئة رغم وجودها منذ عقود.

ان حالة الوهن المرافق للفعاليات الاقتصادية تتصل بغيا

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Publication Date
Mon Sep 30 2024
Journal Name
مجلة جامعة الانبار للعلوم البدنیة والریاضیة
Music and its impact on the sports and military scene of Mesopotamian civilization
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The ancient Iraqis in the Mesopotamian civilization practiced various sports activities and physical exercises to develop their physical fitness until these practices became a part of their lives and accompanied their religious, social, and military celebrations. Music had a presence in many sports scenes, and the presence of musicians and musical instruments with the armies indicated its great role. In the military scene, the research aims to shed light on the archaeological evidence and evidence of the integration of music with the sports and military scene in Mesopotamian civilization and to explore the impact of music in the sports and military scene of Mesopotamian civilization. The historical approach was adopted in collecting and des

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Publication Date
Wed Apr 23 2025
Journal Name
المجلة القانونية والسياسية
دور الدبلوماسية المتعددة الاطراف في انهاء اصراع و تحقيق السلام
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تعد الدبلوماسية متعددة الاطراف من اهم الطرق لحماية حقوق الانسان لا سيما في الوقت الراهن لما لديها من خيرات وطرق يمكن من خلالها ان يتم الوصول الى السلام الانساني

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Publication Date
Fri Jan 01 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
Türkçe'de –madan, -meden Ulaç Ekinin Yazılışı ve kullanılışı
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Araştırmamın adı: Türkçe'de –madan, -meden Ulaç Ekinin Yazılışı ve Kullanılışıdır.

      Ulaçlar, kişi ve zaman kavramı olmadan temel cümlenin yada yan cümlenin yüklemini niteleyen, cümlede genellikle zarf tümleci olarak görev yapan fiilimsilerdir. İkinci bir görevleri yardımcı fiillerle birlikte kullanılarak birleşik fiiller kurmak olan ulaçlar, cümlede bağlaç görevinde kullanılabilirler, ve birleşik cümleler kurabilirler. Bazı ulaç ekleri zarf, edat gibi kalıcı sözcük yapımında da kullanılırlar.

      Bu araştırmada Orhun Türkçesi'nde başlayıp Türkiye Türkçesine kadar uzanan tarihi dönemlere ait eserlerden –m

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Publication Date
Wed May 10 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
Factores lingüísticos y extralingüísticos de la evolución semántica de los términos Linguistic and non-linguistic factors of the semantic evolution of terms
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La disciplina sémantica siendo una rama de la lingüística y relacionada con los significados que residen detrás de los vocablos sería muy intereseante ser estudiada y investigada, sobre todo cuando tratamos de penetrarnos dentro de la evolución semántica y los motivos por los que se suceden estos cambios. Pues, es injusto dejar de dar una definición aclaratoria sobre esta disciplina y sus componentes.

El significado de los léxicos que se forma por un conjunto de semas o rasgos significativos mínimos. Sin embargo, no todos esos semas son igualmente intervenidos por los hablantes de una comunidad lingüística, sino que hay algunos de ellos que siempre están presentes, mientras que otros varían. Es decir, el significado

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