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bsj-4606
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
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The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in determining the best seasonal model. Then they are compared with the obtained models from two methods that mentioned above of the two approaches within a group of the criteria as AIC, MDL, Loss Function, BIC, FPE, MSE, in addition the proposed weighted comparison criteria to determine the best model for representing the wind speed data as input variable, soil and dust as an output variable, in Baghdad Station from January 1956 to December 2012.

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Publication Date
Tue Jun 01 2010
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
أبعاد جودة خدمة التعليم العالي في الجامعة الخاصة (دراسة ميدانية)
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انصبت هذه الدراسة على قياس جودة الخدمة، وبوجه خاص ماهية أبعاد جودة الخدمة التي يجري قياسها للوصول إلى مستوى جودة الخدمة. وتم التطبيق على خدمة التعليم العالي الخاص، حيث جرى اختيار عينة من طلبة جامعة خاصة لتعبئة الاستبانة الخاصة بالدراسة. وكان هناك 360استبانة تم تحليل البيانات فيها من خلال مؤشرات الإحصاء الوصفي، وتحليل الارتباط، وتحليل الانحدار المتعدد. وقد توصلت الدراسة إلى وجود علاقة ارتباط بين مستويات

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Publication Date
Tue Oct 23 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Planner And Development
(التقييم المكاني للخدمات الاجتماعية في مدينة الدجيل(التعليمية والصحية والترفيهية
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Publication Date
Fri Jun 01 2007
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
Ali Şir Nevai Muhakemetül-lugateyn Eserinin Sesbilimi Özellikleri
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Önsöz
Ali Şir Nevai’nin vücuda getirdiği edebi Çağatayca, edebi ve canlı bazı Türk şivelerinin işlenmesinden ve kaynaşmasından hasıl olmuştur. Bu gün bu dilin
fonetik bünyesi hakkında, en çok bilgi veren, yine Nevai’nin kendisidir. Onun―Muhakeemet-ül-luğateyn‖ adlı eseri, bu bakımından büyük bir değer taşımaktadır.Bu eserinde Nevai, bir taraftan Türk dilinin Farsçaya üstünlüğünü ispata kalkışken, bir taraftan da kendi Türkçesinin fonetik ve morfolojik özelliklerini belirtmiştir. O, Arab imlası kaidesi üzerine ayni şekilde yazılarak, semantik yönden başka başka manalarda kullanılan kelimeleri sıralarken, açık bir surette, edebi Çağataya şivesinin fonetik bünyesini d

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Publication Date
Wed Mar 30 2022
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
فاعليّةُ التعبير بالجناس الناقص في ديوان حازم القَرطاجنّي (ت 684هـ)
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This search aims to meditate Divan of Hazem Al-Qirtagni his incomplete contiguous and non-contiguous naturalizations are investigated through two interrelated sections, the first is contiguous deficient naturalization and the analysis of phonemic symmetry in the light of syntactic syntax

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Publication Date
Mon Nov 26 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
النظام النظام السياسي العربي وصلته بالشعب في الدولة العربية الإسلامية
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         This study deals with it the era of Taher Bin Al Hussein for his son Abdullah when preside Diyarbakir and Rabia in succession of ALMa`amoon Abbasi in the political and historical dimensions

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Publication Date
Thu Nov 12 2020
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
المواجهة العربية الإسلامية للمغول في شمال الجزيرة الفراتية وبلاد الشام
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The current study deals with the Islamic Arab  of Mongolian invasion  in  the Island of Euphrates. We have exposed  conditions of  Levant  before the Mongolian invasion and that includes   situations of princess  of Levant and their  caliphates , they have been unaware  the danger surrounding them  and their country. It has also included  the Islamic  Arabic threat  through  the integration of  Islamic Arabic  cities residents  in  Levant  to confront

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Publication Date
Thu Nov 08 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
براعة براعة علماء الأندلس في الزراعة من خلال مؤلفاتهم الفلاحية
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           It was the sayings of Andalusia scholars in agriculture based on experiments and theories that helped a lot in the success and development of agriculture in the Andalusia ,and also The divisions of the soil and out types and forms it helped a lot of to know arable of non-arable land earth and all off the determination of the color of repentance is important often discovered by agricultural scientists and that helped in the cultivation of certain crops in certain land without another land.and though each particular agricultural crops specific soil in which to live and not live in other soil ,

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Publication Date
Sat Nov 02 2019
Journal Name
السياسية والدولية
دور الجامعات العراقية في اعداد القيادات الشبابية لتعزيز المسؤولية المجتمعية
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تعد الجامعات من أهم المؤسسات المجتمعية التي تؤثر وتتأثر بالجو الاجتماعي المحيط بها، فهي من صنع المجتمع من ناحية، ومن ناحية أخرى هي أداته في صنع قياداته السياسية، الفكرية، الفنية، والمهنية، ومن هنا كان لكل جامعة رسالتها التي تتولى تحقيقها، فالجامعة في القرن العشرين تختلف رسالتها وغايتها عن الجامعة في القرن الحادي والعشرين. ولكي تقوم الجامعة بدور أفضل في خدمة المجتمع وتحمل المسؤولية المجتمعية فلابد لها من وض

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Publication Date
Wed May 11 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Law/al-nahrain University
التزام الملاك بنفقات صيانة الاجزاء المشتركة وأعبائها في الاسكان العمودي.
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The phenomenon of multi-class construction and landlords has increased in Iraq, and this is not justified except because of the change in the economic and social conditions in it, because like any social system interacts with what happens in society, whether it is positive or negative, and since the vertical housing system contains common parts and these parts need to Maintenance and preservation, and in order to continue to perform the construction and other parts in an effective and regular manner for a long period of time and with appropriate efficiency, it must be maintained, and maintenance is one of the most important and difficult problems facing the partners. It is recognized that it is not possible to understand these practical dif

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Publication Date
Thu Jan 03 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Planner And Development
دور قوانين الاستثمار في الانتاج السكني منطقة الدراسة- محافظة السليمانية
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