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bsj-4606
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
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The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in determining the best seasonal model. Then they are compared with the obtained models from two methods that mentioned above of the two approaches within a group of the criteria as AIC, MDL, Loss Function, BIC, FPE, MSE, in addition the proposed weighted comparison criteria to determine the best model for representing the wind speed data as input variable, soil and dust as an output variable, in Baghdad Station from January 1956 to December 2012.

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Publication Date
Tue Jun 01 2010
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
مستقبل الصناعة العربية في ظل اقتصاد عالمي متغير
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أن التطور الاقتصادي  في أية دولة إنما يقاس بالدور الذي يلعبه القطاع الصناعي في اقتصادياتها، ومقدار ما يسهم به في الناتج المحلي الأجمالي. ولا يخفى أن ينسب ذلك إلى خصوصيات هذا القطاع بوصفه الميدان الذي تتحقق فيه انجازات الثورة العلمية والتكنولوجية أكثر من غيره من الميادين، وأرتباطاته الأمامية والخلفية مع سائر القطاعات. يضاف إلى ذلك أن القطاعات الأخرى تتأثر ايجاباً بنمو القطاع الصناعي، كما انه المسؤول

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Publication Date
Thu Nov 08 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
مفهوم مفهوم التوليف في الخزف بين التراث والمعاصرة
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Interested in current research examining the concept of synthesis in contemporary ceramics, he studied the synthesis as a concept to achieve technical and aesthetic innovation.

The study comes in four axes. The first axis to ensure the general framework for research, containing the problem, which is to ask the following: Is the concept of synthesis role in enriching the contemporary ceramic done? The importance of research and study are needed in addition provide knowledge in the field of contemporary art

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Publication Date
Tue Jan 08 2019
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
إمارة الحج في عهد الخليفة أبي العباس السفاح
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يعد موضوع إمارة الحج من الموضوعات المهمة في التاريخ الإسلامي، فهو يتعلق بأحد أركان الإسلام، ومسؤولية إقامة الحج وإمارته كبيرة، ومن الأسباب التي كانت وراء اختيار عنوان هذا البحث " إمارة الحج في عهد الخليفة أبي العباس السفاح"، أن الموضوع يقع ضمن دائرة اهتمامنا في متابعة إمارة الحج في الدولة العربية الإسلامية، لاسيما إننا بحثنا الموضوع ذاته في دراسات سابقة . وقد تناولنا إمارة الحج حتى نهاية الدولة الأموية

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Publication Date
Tue Jan 29 2019
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
منهج إبن النديم البغدادي في تصنيف الشعراء المحدثين
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يعد كتاب(الفهرست) لإبن النديم أول كتاب جامع في القرن الرابع الهجري ،حصر الكتب و المؤلفات العربية و رصدها في مجالات العلم و المعرفة و الثقافة و الفن ،و اللغة والأدب و الشعر بما يكشف عن النشاط الفكري ، و الحياة العقلية و العلمية للعصر .

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Publication Date
Sun Jun 18 2023
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
الإمام الرُّعيني (ت 476هـ) وأثره في كتب القراءات
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It is known that the distinguished scholar and writers in any kind of science leave an important impact on those who come after them, so they are an indispensable source in that science that draws from them who is later in time than them, and this is what we have seen in this research; The scholar Muhammad bin Shuraih al-Ra’ini (d.476 AH) and his book          (Al-Kafi in the Seven Readings) were admired by everyone who wrote about the readings after him. The great scholars of the readings, such as Ibn al-Bathish (d. 540 AH), Ibn al-Jazari (d. 833 AH), and Ibn al-Banna’ did not dispense with him. (d.1117 AH) in terms of reading, isnad, and the way of narration, their books were full of men

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Publication Date
Thu Jul 29 2021
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
مدرسو مدارس بغداد في كتاب طبقات الفقهاء للشيرازي
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The book Tabaqat al-Faqih by Abu Ishaq al-Shirazi (d. 174 AH / 4801 CE) is considered one of the important sources and dates back to the fifth century AH

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Publication Date
Mon Jul 01 2013
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
Bahraini Parliamentary Elections and their Impact on the Popular
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الخلاصة Bahraini Parliamentary Elections and their Impact on the Popular Uprising) Bahrain has a distinguished constitutional and parliamentary experience, which distinct it from the other Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries. Its experience in this area is the second after the experience of Kuwait to establish a system of government based on modern constitutional principles. As the government presented the Constitution to the Constituent Assembly elected by people and approved in 09/06/1973. After that, it witnessed the birth of the first parliament elected by the people in 1973, but the experiment did not last long and the parliament dissolved by Prince, and didn’t determine the period of the return of the working with the

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Publication Date
Sat Nov 10 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Planner And Development
تحليل وتقييم العوامل المؤثرة في عرض الوحدة السكنية
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Publication Date
Sat Jan 01 2011
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
مستقبل الايديولوجيا واليوتوبيا في الفكر السياسي الغربي الحديث
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مستقبل الايديولوجيا واليوتوبيا في الفكر السياسي الغربي الحديث

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 19 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Planner And Development
دور الفضاء الحضري في استدامة النظام البيئي والاجتماعي
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