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bsj-4606
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
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The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in determining the best seasonal model. Then they are compared with the obtained models from two methods that mentioned above of the two approaches within a group of the criteria as AIC, MDL, Loss Function, BIC, FPE, MSE, in addition the proposed weighted comparison criteria to determine the best model for representing the wind speed data as input variable, soil and dust as an output variable, in Baghdad Station from January 1956 to December 2012.

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Publication Date
Tue Jan 01 2008
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
اثرالتعلم باللعب في السلوك العدواني لدى اطفال الروضه
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يستهدف البحث التعرف على اهمية التعلم باللعب لاطفال رياض الاطفال وانعكاساتها على تعديل سلوكهم، حيث ان اللعب هو دنيا الطفل المليئة بالمتعة والاستطلاع والاستكشاف، كما ان اللعب بالنسبة للاطفال يمثل لهم الحياة بكل ما فيها من معنى.

وفي الوقت نفسه اللعب هو وسيلة من وسائل الضبط والتوجيه للتعامل مع سلوك الاطفال، فمن خلال اللعب نستكشف النبوغ والتفوق منذ وقت مبكر، حيث ان التعلم باللعب يمثل حاجة حيو

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Publication Date
Thu Jun 01 2006
Journal Name
بيت الحكمة
المنطق منهجا نقديا - دراسة في قراءة الشكل الجمالي
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المنطق منهجا نقديا - دراسة في قراءة الشكل الجمالي كتاب (المنطق منهجا نقدياً – دراسة في قراءة الشكل الفني) يهتم الكتاب بدراسة التصورات المنطقية في الفنون التشكيلية وهو يقع في اربعة فصول خصص الاول منها لبيان المنهجية والفكرة العامة عن علاقة المعرفة بالقواعد الفكرية والقواعد المنطقية موضحا ذلك في (مدخل عام) وتعلق الفصل الثاني بالمفاهيم المنطقية وما كتبه علماء المنطق في عرض شامل ومكثف تناول فيه المؤلف مفهوم ال

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Publication Date
Tue Mar 15 2022
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
قراءة في المصدر واسم المصدر على وفق الاستعمال
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What linguists mentioned about the infinitive and its use in the linguistic levels of speech, whether with its verb, or what was mentioned in the difference between the infinitive and the noun of the source, are matters that are related to the phenomenon of hearing in speech, a need necessitated by the nature of the linguistic law and its connection with the Arabic dialects, which proceeded in the linguistic levels to form Phenomenon inherent in the use of the source and the name of the source

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Publication Date
Sun Jul 03 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
توظيف الشخصية في القصيدة الجديدة/ حميد سعيد انوذجا
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This poem is regarded an important Harmonized structure in modern and Contemporary Culture to achieve aqualitative poem Comported with the other cultural structures inorder to discover the ego and aspiration in shaping distinctive voices.
The Iraqi poetry is affected tangibly by this poem because of the intellective vaccinating between Iraqi and Arab poets ingeneral and western cultures in particular as a result of the tranplahin movement and other important means.
The modern poet wood to ask some important characters to enrich his technician text inspite the fact that this is not a new way in Arab poetry but it takes avarant – criented to become outside the limits of rigid description within ongoing kinematic structure to be in

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Publication Date
Fri Sep 01 2006
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
دور المحاسبة في اتخاذ القرارات الاستراتيجية للموازنة الرأسمالية
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تعد عملية اتخاذ القرارات الستراتجية للموازنة الراسمالية احدى المعضلات التي تواجه منظمات الاعمال عند القيام بتخصيص ، او اعادة تخصيص مواردها الاقتصادية النادرة على أفضل استخدام ، والسبب يعود الى ان هذا النوع من القرارات ينطوي على صعوبات متعددة ومختلفة نظراً لندرة الموارد من ناحية الاستخدامات البديلة المتنافسة على هذه الموارد من ناحية اخرى .

كما ان تنفيذ المشروعات الراسمالية يحتاج الى تمويل ضخم ومدة زم

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Publication Date
Sun Jul 01 2018
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
قراءة في تأسيس الدولة العراقية 1921 الاهداف والنتائج
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قراءة في تأسيس الدولة العراقية 1921 الاهداف والنتائج

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 02 2005
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
واقع ومستقبل الصراعات الدولية والاقليمية في البحر الاحمر
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واقع ومستقبل الصراعات الدولية والاقليمية في البحر الاحمر

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Publication Date
Fri Feb 08 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
التدخل السوري في لبنان وإشكالیة العلاقة السوریة – اللبنانیة
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The relation ship between Syria and Lebanon is a distinguished one
because of the cultural social geographic and historical common factors. So
that, Syria considers that Lebanon has a stratieyical depth for it, especially its
conflict with (Israel) does end and parts of its lands still under the occupation
of the Zionist thus, any conflict in Lebanon between parties and ethnics
groups could be considered an important influence on the bases of the Syrian
policy. Moreover the issue of Palestine which is considered the central issue
for Syria and Arab as whole. In addition to some of the political movements
that happened in the region itself. It could be said that Syrian interference in
Lebanon has a positive infl

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 19 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
فلسفة فلسفة اللغة و أثرها في الإعجاز القرآني
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Praise be to God, prayer and peace upon our master Muhammad the Messenger of Allah peace be upon him mercy, gift, and grace, and rendered his family and the good righteous is followed until the Day of Judgment. After: The Koran

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 28 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The Spatial locating Impact of Commercial Malls Upon AdjacentSpatial locating Impact of Commercial Malls Upon Adjacent
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The research aims to show the impact of the new modern malls on urban adjacent land uses; it handled concise study of the old markets, contemporary shopping malls, and the standards and regulations for commercial use. Sample study has been taken from new allocated malls in the city of Baghdad. The results of the sample analysis, and statistical analysis has proven hypothesis; that the locating of new malls impacted physical, social, and economic on urban adjacent, especially the exotic on urban fabric. It also turned out that the shopping demand from these malls is inelastic, which gives an opportunity to the planner and the decision-maker, to locate the modern new malls where spatial appropriate in the city are available. The major reco

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