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bsj-4606
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
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The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in determining the best seasonal model. Then they are compared with the obtained models from two methods that mentioned above of the two approaches within a group of the criteria as AIC, MDL, Loss Function, BIC, FPE, MSE, in addition the proposed weighted comparison criteria to determine the best model for representing the wind speed data as input variable, soil and dust as an output variable, in Baghdad Station from January 1956 to December 2012.

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Publication Date
Mon Feb 02 2026
Journal Name
Sciences Journal Of Physical Education
تاثير تمرينات اللعب بمساحات مختلفة في تطوير التحمل الخاص في دقة اداء بعض المهارات الاساسية للاعبي كرة القدم الشباب
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مستخلص البحث أهمية البحث عن طريق إعداد برنامج تدريبي يعتمد هذه الطريقة التدريبية في تطوير التحمل الخاص عن طريق العمل على بناء مستوى جيد من التحمل الخاص لدى اللاعبين الشباب في مرحلة الإعداد الخاص, تحقيق نتائج جيدة على مستوى أداء الواجبات المهارية والخططية المطلوبة منه في أثناء زمن المباراة, حيث ارتأت الباحثة من خلال إعداد برنامج تدريبي إلى رفع مستوى (التحمل الخاص) لدى لاعبي كرة القدم وبالتالي يمكنها أن تساع

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Publication Date
Fri Oct 30 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Influence of behavioural implication of information on the selection of accounting methods and their reflection on investor's decisions field study on Iraq stock exchange
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The research aims to highlight on the behavioural approach in accounting, and clarify the behavioural implications of the main activities of accounting, and clarify the concept of information inductance within the framework of the behavioural approach and its impact on preparing financial statements. And that the impact of financial information on the behaviour of investment decision-makers, and to achieve the goals of the research, the researcher prepared a questionnaire according to Likert five-step scale, and he took into consideration in preparing it in line with the characteristics of the study community, and that the target community for this questionnaire is the investors in the Iraq Stock Exchange. The researcher reached

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Publication Date
Thu Dec 26 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
العلاقة بين النظام المحاسبي الحكومي التقليدي في العراق والنظام الإلكتروني بين النظرية والتطبيق: (بحث تطبيقي في جامعة ديالى 2018)
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  That the government sector takes a big place in the countries and represents a significant role in the face of challenges and adaptation to the important and necessary changes that occur today, including the use of electronic. The electronic computer is a requirement of modern technology in various fields of science, including accounting, Because it derives its entity and content from the spirit of society and its mentality in all its branches, especially the subject of the research system of government accounting Because of its impact on the planning and financial implementation, especially in the preparation and implementation of the State budget, along with expenditure and revenue. Addressing tells us that the first of the sear

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Publication Date
Wed Oct 17 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
((The Mediator Role of Self Management on the RelationShip Between Work Stresses and Organizational Alienation))
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   The study aims to test the relationship of work pressure to its dimensions (role conflict, ambiguity of role, workload and nature of work) as an independent variable and its effect on organizational alienation by its dimensions (disability, lack of power, indifference, animosity, social isolation and self-alienation) (Restraint and confidence in negation, initiative, adaptation and living conscience) as a mediator variable, in some faculties of Baghdad University of Science (Medicine and Engineering) and Humanity (Education and Literature). The data was collected on the practical side, which was applied randomly (306) of the teachers and teachers of the colleges (56) items, which included the main research variables

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Publication Date
Fri Nov 03 2023
Journal Name
نسق
أثر الترجمة الموضوعية في الحفاظ على رسم ملامح الشخصية وتصوير بيئتها في رواية "حفنة من الضباب" للقاص سامي مخائيل
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الملاخص

Publication Date
Fri Jun 01 2012
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
الممارسات القيادية لرؤساء أقسام الهيئة العامة للضرائب في ظل نظرية شبكة القيادة الإدارية: دراسة تطبيقية في الهيئة العامة للضرائب
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The aim of this study is know the five leadership practices according to the theory of network of leadership by Black and Mouton for the presidents of the Taxation General Board from their prospective, that is through answering the questionnaire questions. To achieving the objectives of this study, the researcher organized a questionnaire form as a main instrument for data collection. It includes (30) items distributed into five leadership practices according to the theory of network of leadership. Each one is subdivided into (6) questions.

The questionnaire was distributed to the presidents of the Taxation General Board of (14). The researcher used the SPSS program to analyses the answers. Through the answers, h

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Publication Date
Mon Oct 01 2007
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
اسباب السرقة لدى تلاميذ المرحلة الابتدائية من وجهة نظر المعلمين والمعلمات في المدارس الابتدائية في مدينة المكلا بمحافظة حضرموت
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يهدف البحث الحالي التعرف على اسباب السرقة لدى تلاميذ المرحلة الابتدائية كما يراها معلموهم ومعلماتهم ، وعن الاساليب المتبعة في معالجة ظاهرة السرقة من قبلهم ، ولقد شملت عينة البحث على ( 200 ) فرداً من معلمي ومعلمات تلاميذ المرحلة الابتدائية في مدينة المكلا للعام الدراسي ( 2004 ـ 2005 ) ، وقد استخدمت الباحثة استبياناً أعدته كأداة للوصول الى اهداف البحث بعد ان تم التأكد من صدقه وثباته ، استخدمت الباحثة معادلة ارتب

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Publication Date
Thu Dec 26 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
امكانية استخدام محاسبة التكاليف في تحديد تكلفة الانتاج لاغراض ضريبة القيمة المضافة: دراسة أستطلاعية تحليلية في الهيئة العامة للضرائب
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         This research is important because of the importance of the subject matter and the implications for the future of development in Iraq. This requires linking the accounting systems with the economic developments. The accounting system we will address in this research is the cost accounting system and its role in determining value added tax. The value added tax and the extent of the relationship with the general accounting principles of cost accounting through which the value added is determined provided the use of a sound and effective cost system.

      The problem of research was about knowing the role of cost accounting in determining the value added

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Publication Date
Thu Jun 01 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
The Effect of Teaching English Vocabulary Learning Strategies on Iraqi Intermediate School Students’ Vocabulary Performance and Reading Comprehension
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The present study aims at empirically investigating the effect of vocabulary learning strategies on Iraqi intermediate school students’vocabulary performance and reading comprehension. The population of the present study includes all the 1st year male students of  Al-Wark’a intermediate  school of Al-Risafa 1/ General  Directorate of Education for the first course of the academic year (2015-2016). To achieve the aim of the study ,a pre-test and post-test after (5) weeks of experiment are administrated .The sample of the present study consists of (100) subjects :(50) students as an experimental group and other (50) students as  a control group . The subj

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Publication Date
Wed May 10 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Planner And Development
The effect of urban obsolescence on the quality of the built environment for historical quarters
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             The centers of cities and historical quarter are exposed to a severe threat to the values of the physical and legal urban environment as a result of the value deterioration and the emergence, emergence and spread of new values on the intellectual and urban context, which generates the loss of the urban environment for its spatio-temporal continuity, flexibility, adaptation and continuity, and thus urban obsolescence, Hence the problem of the research in “the lack of comprehensiveness of studies on the phenomenon of urban obsolescence and its impact on the decline in the values of the quality of the built environment in historic

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