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bsj-4606
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
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The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in determining the best seasonal model. Then they are compared with the obtained models from two methods that mentioned above of the two approaches within a group of the criteria as AIC, MDL, Loss Function, BIC, FPE, MSE, in addition the proposed weighted comparison criteria to determine the best model for representing the wind speed data as input variable, soil and dust as an output variable, in Baghdad Station from January 1956 to December 2012.

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Publication Date
Wed Oct 04 2023
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
الأسر العلمية العراقية وأثرها في ازدهار الحركة العلمية في مصر خلال القرن الثامن الهجري (أسرة الحافظ العراقي وآل الكويك أنموذجاً)
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the  civil relation between Iraqis and Egyptian was close , it is clear that is the opening relation between two countries esoecally in trade and demand education , but after mongle occupation  , For the capital of the Abbasid Caliphate, the situation in  Baghdad, had changed in 656 AH/1258 AD,  the Iraqi migration  started security and safety,

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Publication Date
Mon Sep 25 2023
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
الأسر العلمية العراقية وأثرها في ازدهار الحركة العلمية في مصر خلال القرن الثامن الهجري (أسرة الحافظ العراقي وآل الكويك أنموذجاً)
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the  civil relation between Iraqis and Egyptian was close , it is clear that is the opening relation between two countries esoecally in trade and demand education , but after mongle occupation  , For the capital of the Abbasid Caliphate, the situation in  Baghdad, had changed in 656 AH/1258 AD,  the Iraqi migration  started security and safety, including scholars and writers, in addition to the presence of entire Iraqi families who immigrated to Egypt and resided there, including the family of Al-Hafiz Al-Iraqi The Ibn al-Kwaik family, the subject of the study, had an important impact on the scientific movement in Egypt.

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Publication Date
Sun Jul 03 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
مشكلات تدريسيي ومحاضري المواد التربوية والنفسية والاجتماعية في الكليات الاختصاص في جامعة بغداد للعام الدراسي 2013/ 2014من وجهة نظرهم وطلبتهم
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    Sought researcher to try to detect the type and size of the problems detected in or discovered or exposed or trying to find solutions to them as teachers and lecturers who are studying the educational, psychological and social articles in college studying these materials, whether the jurisdiction or extra materials, and clarified language definitions and terminology for search terms, indicating the importance of research into the problem of these either for teachers or for their students, and prepared a questionnaire organization questions open to get a clear responses and the Organization of the kind of problems faced by the lecturers and their students who are dealing with the educational, ps

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 01 2010
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
تقنيات شبكة المعلومات ودورها في إنجاز عمليات الشراء الالكتروني والتسويق الالكتروني* دراسة حالة في شركة بغداد للمشروبات الغازية- المساهمة المختلطة
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Information Technology has become one of the Most Prominent tools in the Era of Technology and Telecommunication of our Digital World. For that Reasons most Organizations had taken the tools Adapted to their Present and Future Directions and for the Improvement for it's Operations and Workability in Internal or External Enviroment. Consequently the Points of Strength Beats the Weakness and as Result of Increase Opportunities and Decrease the Threats Facing these Organizations. This Search has been made to test the Existence or not Existence role of the Information Network Technologies that Include {Internet and Extranet} in Application of Information Technology t

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Publication Date
Sun Oct 21 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Planner And Development
الارتقاء بالمناطق التجارية المفتوحة دراسة ميدانية في المنطقة التجارية المفتوحة بشارع النهر منطقة الاسواق التقليدية في باب الاغا كحالة دراسية
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Publication Date
Sun Jun 01 2008
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
تحليل الدور الاستراتيجي لتقانة المعلومات في منظمات الأعمال
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The strategic approach had a great effect on information technology analysis which relevant to business organizations. The role was explicated, through uses of the strategic leadership for these approaches to support the strategic capabilities (powers) and its contribution to reach the advantage and superiority strategy. This paper was attempt to reveal the strategic philosophy or strategic talent mind had a big role on confrontation the strategic risk and challenges. The paper was concluded by represents a wide perspective for the information technology and its effects on organizations strategic role. The topic can be considered as a rational and reasonable contribution, in addition to the opportunist pragmatic analysis will sup

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Publication Date
Tue Aug 03 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Flexible Budgets and its Variances under The Corona Pandemic Covid – 19
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The research aims to explain the role of the flexible budget in assessing the feedback resulting from deviations by comparing the actual results with the planned performance in light of the economic crisis that the world witnessed during the spread of Corona disease. As most companies, including the Electronic Industries Company, face the problem of controlling production costs and are trying hard to reduce these costs to the lowest level starting from measuring these costs and allocating them and distributing them to products. This helps in controlling deviations and thus the flexible budget becomes a tool that helps in controlling elements Costs

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Publication Date
Mon Dec 26 2022
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
التجارة في البحرين من خلال كتب الرحالة والبلدانيين
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    Economic life in any of the countries depends mainly on economic activity due to its great role in meeting the needs and expenditures of the state . therefore ، Bahrain played a major role in commercial exchange operation ،  whether at home or abroad . whatever the matter

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Publication Date
Sat Dec 06 2014
Journal Name
دراسات دولية
العوامل الداخلية والخارجية للتغيير السياسي في المنطقة العربية
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لقد شهدت المنطقة العربية تحولات وتغييرات شاملة انطوت على عنصري المفاجأة من حيث التوقيت، وانعكاساتها الاقليمية والدولية، إذ اجتاحت الدول العربية ثورات شعبية احدثت جملة من التغيرات والتبدلات الجيوسياسية، اذ استطاع بعضها اقتلاع انظمة حاكمة كان من غير المتصور ان تتزحزح من مكانها مع تسلحها بكل ادوات العصر من القمع والديكتاتورية الاستبداد، لذا كان للطابع الشعبي السلمي والنجاح الذي تحقق للشعوب العربية كما في م

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 01 2018
Journal Name
جامعة بغداد - كلية التربية للعلوم التطبيقية - إبن الهيثم
دليل التجارب العملية في الكيمياء اللأعضوية / المرحلة الثانية
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تعد التجارب المختبرية من أهم الوسائل التي تمكن من فهم خصائص المواد الكيميائية وسلوكها، كما إنها الوسيلة الوحيدة لتحضير المركبات الكيميائية المختلفة. وقد أدى تطور التكنولوجيا في الوقت الحاضر إلى إستخدام أدوات وأجهزة قياس في المختبر مكنت من زيادة دقة نتائج التجارب وسرعة الحصول عليها. أن تفعيل المختبر وإجراء الأنشطة العملية يمكن أن تحقق عدة أمور منها : 1- تُنمي في الطالب مهارات التفكير العلمي ( الملاحظ

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