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bsj-4606
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
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The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in determining the best seasonal model. Then they are compared with the obtained models from two methods that mentioned above of the two approaches within a group of the criteria as AIC, MDL, Loss Function, BIC, FPE, MSE, in addition the proposed weighted comparison criteria to determine the best model for representing the wind speed data as input variable, soil and dust as an output variable, in Baghdad Station from January 1956 to December 2012.

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Publication Date
Sun Apr 01 2007
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
القدرة على القيادة التربوية وعلاقتها بالاتجاه العلمي لدى رؤساء الاقسام في بعض الجامعات العراقية
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مشكلة البحث :

تعد الادارة الجامعية عاملا مهما واساسيا في اكمال البناء المعرفي لشخصية الطالب الجامعي لما يمثله من قدرة على قيادة العملية التربوية والتعليمية والوصول بها الى تحقيق اهدافها . وطالما كانت هذه الادارة ممثلة ابتداء من رئاسات الاقسام ووصولا الى اعلى الهرم الاداري في الجامعة مهمة في تحقيق  الاهداف العلمية والتربوية فان اختيار الاشخاص للقيام بمهامها تاخذ جانبا كبيرا ومهما وذلك للاثر

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Publication Date
Mon Dec 16 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
تحليل دور العلاقة التبادلية بين شركات التأمين والمؤسسات المالية الاخرى في حماية الاستثمارات وتمويلها
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Insurance companies play a dual and vital role in the economy in which they operate in two directions. The first is to protect investments from the various risks that threaten them by paying compensation in the event of one of these risks, which prevents companies from leaving the economic cycle and achieving social benefit because of continuity of the company means continuity The payment of taxes to the state and the payment of salaries and wages to employees and employees, in addition to the economic ties in front and background, which integrate the company with other companies (that stop the company can lead to the cessation of other companies), the second trend is that the trap The insurance company obtains the amounts of insurance p

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Publication Date
Sun Apr 28 2019
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
الظواهر الظواهر الاجتماعية في بغداد من خلال كتاب الظرف والظرفاء لابي الطيب الوشاء(ت320هـ)
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 the study of social phenomena in this direction is, the sign of deviousness to the segments of the circumstance with their conditions and circumstances, then pointed to the uniforms that they were adorned by the tortillas as well as shirt Safaf from good linen soft and touched the country and the good and others.

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 01 2024
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Acute Toxicity of Chlorpyrifos on the Freshwater Bivalves (Unio Tigridis) and Effects on Bioindicators
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A freshwater bivalve plays a crucial function in aquatic habitats as the filtered water and burrowing mussels mix the sediment, thus increasing oxygen content and making the ecosystem healthier. The aim of the study is to see how chlorpyrifos affects biochemical markers in freshwater mussel Unio tigridis. About 180 individuals per taxon and water samples were collected from the Qandil water resource on the Greater Zab River, Erbil Province, Iraq. Once arrived at the lab, the individuals were kept in aquaria with river water and an air-conditioned room Temperature: 25±2 and Light: 12h/12h and acclimatized to laboratory conditions for seven days in aged tap water. The mussel's identification molecularly and the DNA sequence of t

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Publication Date
Sun Mar 20 2016
Journal Name
Al-academy
Mechanisms for Development of Scenography Galleries Iraq Natural History Museum: وعد عدنان محمود
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This paper deals with the problem of the mechanics of the operation of cinematography in the development of museum exhibition halls. In the first chapter, the researcher dealt with the problem and presented it to reach the goals and purpose of the research, which was represented in using and developing the methods and mechanisms of the presentation to keep pace with what is happening in the world of technology and access to the presented model to new formula and vision declares aesthetical and cognitive measure, thus the search constitutes an importance in absorbing Scenography dimensions in the theater and moved to the idea of the museum and the development of the display models and using them in drawing and representation of perception

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Publication Date
Sun Feb 28 2016
Journal Name
المجلة العلمية للتربية البدنية والرياضية - جامعة الإسكندرية مصر
التحليل الكيفي والكمي لمهارة إرتماء حارس المرمى للإمساك بالكرة متوسطة الارتفاع في كرة القدم
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تعتبر كرة القدم لعبة شعبية معروفة في جميع أنحاء العالم، وهناك العديد من المباريات تلعب يوميا بمختلف المستويات، ولقد فتن الناس بلعبة لا يمكن التنبؤ بنتائجها، ويمكن تحديد نتيجتها في ثوان معدودة عن طريق التحركات غير العادية للخصم أو الأخطاء الدفاعية القاتلة وغالبا ما يلعب حارس المرمى دورا حاسما في نتيجة المباراة ، حيث تعتمد كرة القدم بشكل اساسي على الامكانيات المهارية للاعبين واستغلال هذه الامكانيات بالشكل ا

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Publication Date
Mon Apr 29 2019
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
التطور التطــــــور التـــاريخي للمحكـــمة الاتحادية العـــليا في العــراق وفــق التشـــريعــات القــانــونية الــتي تم اصــــدارهــــا
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On the research that is marked by the historical development of the Supreme Federal Court in Iraq accordance with the issued legal legislations Research Submitted by Adel Amran Hamad Faculty Member, the college of Biotechnology

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 03 2010
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
تقويم مستوى تضمين مناهج المرحلة الأساسية الدنيا (الصفوف 1-3) في الأردن لقيم المواطنة
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This study aims at assessing the availability of national values in the curriculum of the first three grades in Jordan. The study also aims at the nature of distributing these national values. The sample of the study consists of the curriculum of math, science, Arabic language, Islamic education, and national and civil education in Jordan. To achieve the aims of the study, the researchers used the analyzing approach, and they also depended on the referential statement for the general and                       minor objectives as a tool to analyze and numerate. The results of the study shows that the concentrating on the n

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 20 2023
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
بعض وظائف النبي صلى هللا تعالى عليه وآله وصحبه وسلم الواردة في القرآن الكريم
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The research included an introduction, and three functions
of the Prophet (peace and blessings of Allaah be upon him), a
machine and a companion, and a conclusion , the first function,
which is zakaah, and began with it because it is the basis of every
work, no work is accepted by Allaah except what was sincere to
him, as well as sincere intention, because accepting works is
entrusted with the

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Publication Date
Sun Aug 30 2020
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
الجوانب الاجتماعية والعلمية في كتاب (الغنية) للشيخ عبد القادر الكيلاني وانعكاساتها على المجتمع البغدادي
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The importance of the topic lies in explaining the extent of Sheikh Abdul Qadir Al-Kilani’s interest in social and scientific life in Baghdad

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