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bsj-4606
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
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The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in determining the best seasonal model. Then they are compared with the obtained models from two methods that mentioned above of the two approaches within a group of the criteria as AIC, MDL, Loss Function, BIC, FPE, MSE, in addition the proposed weighted comparison criteria to determine the best model for representing the wind speed data as input variable, soil and dust as an output variable, in Baghdad Station from January 1956 to December 2012.

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Publication Date
Thu Dec 28 2023
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
Contents of the photo coverage of the Gulf Cup Championship on the pages of photojournalists on Instagram: An analytical study
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This study intends to examine the content of photo coverage related to the Gulf Cup (Gulf 25) as presented by Iraqi photojournalists on Instagram between 02/01/2023 and 27/01/2023. Utilizing content analysis, the two researchers employed the survey method to evaluate 674 digital photos posted by seven photojournalists specializing in this sporting event, which concluded with the Iraqi team's victory in the city of Basra.
Key findings from the study include:
1. The Category "Photos from the Gulf Cup matches" predominated, accounting for 291 instances or 42.794% of the total.
2. Photojournalists exhibited a keen interest in capturing images of attending fans and documenting celebrations surrounding th

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Publication Date
Mon Nov 12 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
اثر أثر مزارات الأئمة الأطهار (ع) في أسلوب الفنان العراقي سلمان عباس ( دراسة تحليلية
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 God Almighty singled out Arab nation to carry divine messages، and make them the land of Iraq to store the soil prophets and apostles and grandchildren of Al al-Bayt، peace be upon them as they were and are still a beacon for people،  Shrines and monuments and flags، frequented by science students from various walks of life، were are shrines representing the name of Iraq by the private and the nation of Islam in general، sung by the preacher and artist and writer

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Publication Date
Sun Oct 14 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
اخبار أخبار الزمان في تاريخ بني العباس للخزرجي (ت812هـ) دراسة وتحقيق - العصر العباسي الثاني
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The book "News of Time in the History of Bani Abbas" for Khazraji of important historical books, because of the news of the sons of Abbas, which is part of the book (Alosdp Almstok in the history of Islam, the layers of kings, ranked on the years starting from the emergence of Islam

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Publication Date
Thu Sep 01 2011
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
تقييم الأداء المالي لشركات التأمين باستعمال النسب المالية: دراسة حالة في الشركة الجزائرية للتأمين
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Les sociétés d’assurances sont considérées parmi les importantes entreprises financières non bancaires.

      Pour que ces sociétés assurent sa continuité d’existence, il faut qu’elles veillent au rendement financier qui représente ses différentes actions durant une période déterminée, en effectuant une évaluation permanente en utilisant de différentes méthodes parmi lesquelles l’analyse financière avec ses aspects divers.

         L’objectif de cette étude est d’évaluer le rendement financier des sociétés d’assurances et où projette l’étude sur la société Algérienne d’assurance durant la période 07- 09.

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Publication Date
Sat Jun 01 2024
Journal Name
المجلة العراقية للعلوم السياسية
الحرب الروسية- الاوكرانية واثرها على صياغة انماط توازنات علاقات القوة الجيوبوليتكية في النظام العالمي
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ان الحرب الاوكرانية والتصعيد الروسي ضد اوكرانيا يرتبط بصراع جيوسياسي واسع على مناطق القوة والنفوذ والمجالات الحيوية، وتنافس تجاري دولي محتدم على النفط والغاز ومسارات خطوط التجارة الدولية بين اقطاب استراتيجية دولية تتجاوز اوكرانيا، إذ يأتي الصراع ضمن اطار التحولات الدولية الراهنة والصراعات على مناطق القوة والنفوذ الجيوستراتيجي والمكانة الدولية بين القوى الدولية المؤثرة في القضايا والشؤون الدولية، ويبق

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Publication Date
Thu Apr 01 2010
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
اثر التعلم التعاوني (جيكسو ) في دافعية طالبات قسم رياض الأطفال لتعلم مادة بايكولوجية الإنسان
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The current study aims at investigating the effect of cooperative learning (Jigsaw) on motivation of female students. Department of kindergarten to learn Human biology. This is of be dove through verification of the hypothesis that there is no significant difference at the 0.05 level between the motivation of experiment of group subjects who study according to (Jigsaw) cooperative learning and that of the control group subjects who study traditionally.
The study is limited to female students al the first year-Department of kindergarten college of Education for women university of Baghdad during the academic year 2007-2008.
An experiment of design of partial control and post-test for two groups is used. The experiment groups consist

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Publication Date
Mon Oct 22 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
الدراسات الدراسات التاريخية الخاصة بالمرأة مراجعة تحليلية للكتابة التاريخية في العراق للمدة 1996-2008
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على الرغم من تطور الدراسات التاريخية الخاصة بالمرأة بوصفها حقل معرفي مستقل بدأ منذ نهاية الستينيات من القرن الماضي .ونجاج الكاتبات والباحثات  في العديد من بلدان الشرق الاوسط وشمال افريقيا في إعادة المرأة الى التاريخ، الا ان الكتابة التاريخية في العراق مازالت تعاني من نقص كبير في الموضوعات التي تناولت حياة النساء في الماضي. وما يزال الباحثات والباحثين ينظرون الى التاريخ على انه سردية للمعارك والحروب ويو

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 01 2012
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
أثر استعمال الوسائل التعليمية للكتاب المدرسي ورسومات المعلم التوضيحية في تحصيل المعلومات التاريخية واستبقائها
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The research aims to determine the impact of the use of teaching aids for the textbook and graphics teacher illustrations in the collection of historical information and retention, limited research on a sample of students in grade five numbered (68) primary school students of Benin in Baghdad governorate / Breeding Rusafa First, select the researchers of scientific material for students in research Topics are the first and second chapter of the Book of the Arab-Islamic history, set by the Ministry of Education.

 And promising targets behavioral and according to the content of subject numbered (100) goal and lesson plans exemplary nu

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Publication Date
Tue Feb 01 2022
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Milk Tumor Necrosis Factor Alpha and Interleukin-1Beta Among Toxoplasma gondii-Free and Infected Women
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Pro-inflammatory cytokines play an important role in intercellular communications. In the last two decades, many cytokines have been identified in human milk. These cytokines are variable according to different conditions such as pathogenic infections which strongly stimulated the immune response. The present study aims to determine of IL1β and TNF-α in Toxoplasma gondii-free and infected women in an attempt to clarify the impacts of the infections on cytokines especially in mother's milk. The serum and milk sample were collected from 96 samples (48 for seropositive and 48 for seronegative). To confirm the Toxoplasma gondii infection; enzyme linked immunofluorescence assay (ELIFA) was used to detect anti-Toxoplasma Ig

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Publication Date
Wed Mar 10 2021
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Synthesis of Bimetallic Au–Pt / TiO2 Catalysts as an Efficient Catalyst for the Photodegradation of Crystal Violet Dye
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     Bimetallic Au –Pt catalysts supporting TiO2 were synthesised using two methods; sol immobilization and impregnation methods. The prepared catalyst underwent a thermal treatment process at 400 C, while the reduction reaction under the same condition was done and the obtained catalysts were identified with transmission electron microscopy (TEM) and energy-dispersive spectroscopy (EDS). It has been found that the prepared catalysts have a dimension around 2.5 nm and the particles have uniform orders leading to high dispersion of platinum molecules .The prepared catalysts have been examined as efficient photocatalysts to degrade the Crystal violet dye under UV-light. The optimum values of Bimetallic Au –

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