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bsj-4606
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
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The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in determining the best seasonal model. Then they are compared with the obtained models from two methods that mentioned above of the two approaches within a group of the criteria as AIC, MDL, Loss Function, BIC, FPE, MSE, in addition the proposed weighted comparison criteria to determine the best model for representing the wind speed data as input variable, soil and dust as an output variable, in Baghdad Station from January 1956 to December 2012.

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Publication Date
Thu Dec 27 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
السياحة السياحة البحرية في التراث الادبي الجغرافي
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ادى انتشار الاسلام وانتعاش الاوضاع الى تطور السياحة البحرية 

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 07 2019
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
قراءة قراءة في بعض منجزات البيروني الجغرافية
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     البيروني مؤلف عربي، أصله فارسي ، رحل للهند ودرس لغتها وثقافتها وديانتها، نبغ في كثير من العلوم فأضحى مؤرخاً ولغوياً وأدبياً وعالماً بالرياضيات والطبيعيات والفلك والطب والفلسفة والتصوف والأديان ، ولهُ بتلك العلوم مصنفات قيمة تمتاز بالبحث الدقيق والإحاطة الشاملة ، وسائل في المعادن والتنجيم، كما له مراسلات وموازنات قيمة بين المذاهب الفلسفية والصوفية عند الهند والمسيحيين والمسلمين

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Publication Date
Tue Jan 01 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
Использование Лексики в современном языке СМИ (В политических текстах)
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Современные исследователи газетного речи много пишу об активном использовании разговорной и даже разговорно-сниженной, жаргонной лексики в общественно-политической публицистике. Это вызвано тем, что «…в силу того контраста, который невольно возникает при соприкосновении разговорных элементов с привычно книжными словами и построениями языка газеты, они были сразу осмыслены как сильное средство созд

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Publication Date
Tue Aug 15 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The Influence of Customer Knowledge Management on Sustainable Promotion
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This research has investigated the effect of the customer knowledge management CKM in sustainable promotion SP. The research conducted a quantitative method on a sample of employees in the Al-Furat State Company for Chemical Industries affiliated / the Ministry of Industry and Minerals in Iraq. The research’s problem presented a set of questions, one of the most important was (is there a relation and impact between the dimensions of customer knowledge management and sustainable promotion). The aim of the research is to identify the extent to which customer knowledge management activities are applied in understudy organization. This research adopted the questionnaire as a main instrument to collect information from (140) participants in

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Publication Date
Wed May 21 2025
Journal Name
القبة البيضاء
دور المراكز البحثية في دعم القضايا الأجتماعية
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تناول هذا البحث الدور الحيوي الذي تؤديه المراكز البحثية في دعم القضايا الاجتماعية، مع التركيز على مركز دراسات المرأة في جامعة بغداد كنموذج تطبيقي. يوضح الباحث أن هذه المراكز لا تقتصر على إنتاج المعرفة النظرية، بل تسهم بشكل مباشر في معالجة التحديات المجتمعية، من خلال تقديم رؤى تحليلية ومقترحات عملية لصناع القرار. كما ويسلط الضوء على مساهمة مركز دراسات المرأة في تعزيز المشاركة السياسية للمرأة العراقية، خاصة

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Publication Date
Thu Mar 15 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Baghdad College Of Dentistry
The Study of Oral Findings, Oxidative Stress and Antioxidant Vitamin E in Serum and Saliva of Crohn's Patients on Azathioprine Monotherapy and those on Combination of Anti-TNF-α Plus Azathioprine
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Background: Crohn's disease (CD) is an immunological disorder associated with chronic inflammatory process of several unspecific regions of gastrointestinal tract but frequently detected in the terminal Ilium and proximal colon or both. This disease frequently presented with various oral manifestations as a consequence of inflammatory process of the disease, nutritional deficiency or medications side effects. Several therapeutic approaches have been developed for CD management that are targeting the inflammatory process and directed at controlling the host immune response. Immunosuppressants such as Azathioprine and anti-TNF α agents as well as the combination of them have been widely used as an effective therapeutic modality with a bett

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 01 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Cosmetics, Dermatological Sciences And Applications
Topical 40% <i>Loranthus europaeus</i> Ointment as an Alternative Medicine in the Treatment of Acute Cutaneous Leishmaniasis versus Topical 25% Podophyllin Solution
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Publication Date
Fri Dec 01 2023
Journal Name
Iop Conference Series: Earth And Environmental Science
The Effect of Power Sources in the Agricultural Tractor and the Developed Sprayer System on the Performance of the Electrical and Mechanical Sprayer System and some Performance Indicators of the Engine
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Abstract<p>An experiment was conducted to study the effect of the sprayer type according to the source of power and the size of the spray nozzle concerning the quality of the spray produced and fuel consumption.Two types of sprayers were used: a conventional boom sprayer (S1) and a modified (electrified) boom sprayer (S2), along with three sizes of the XR TeeJet 110 spray nozzle (N). The following technical performance indicators were examined: Density of coverage (drops/cm2) using ImageJ software, a 600dpi business card scanner, specifically the ScanShell 800N by CSSN, Inc, and water-sensitive paper (WSP), rate of spray nozzles discharge (ml/min), and fuel consumption (liters/hectare) using a c</p> ... Show More
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Publication Date
Mon Jan 27 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
استعمال أنموذج عائد رأس المال المعدل بالمخاطر (RAROC) في إدارة المخاطر المصرفية: دراسة في عينة من المصارف العراقية الخاصة
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The bank risks has greaten and changed in its nature under the developments of financial liberalization, banking innovation and increasing use for new financial instruments which created by the huge technological advancement happened in the banking  industry. So that, banks in large choose to base the profitability measures adjusted for risks; that is we introduced this research. The most important reason led us to do this is the restriction to use the modern statistical methods by trade bank in Arab countries equally with world banks which were the antecedent to base those models. Therefore, the research problem is embedded in the banks need to use measures that link between profitability and risks and this is what achieved by RARC

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Publication Date
Sat Sep 01 2012
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The effect of performance appraisal dimensions On organization confidence
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This research was designed to study effect of performance appraisal dimensions on organizational confidence.

Asset completion questionnaire was used to collect data of this research from a random simple represent forty employees who works in Iraqi Oil ministry. The main result of this research was positive relations and the effect between performance appraisal and organizational confidence. The research contains some conclusions, the main of it is unimplemented the performance appraisal results in the policies of employees in the ministry and it work in classic methods incentives and training.

The important recommendations must doing to achieve integrating between the result of pe

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