Forest fires continue to rise during the dry season and they are difficult to stop. In this case, high temperatures in the dry season can cause an increase in drought index that could potentially burn the forest every time. Thus, the government should conduct surveillance throughout the dry season. Continuous surveillance without the focus on a particular time becomes ineffective and inefficient because of preventive measures carried out without the knowledge of potential fire risk. Based on the Keetch-Byram Drought Index (KBDI), formulation of Drought Factor is used just for calculating the drought today based on current weather conditions, and yesterday's drought index. However, to find out the factors of drought a day after, the data is needed about the weather. Therefore, we need an algorithm that can predict the dryness factor. So, the most significant fire potential can be predicted during the dry season. Moreover, daily prediction of the dry season is needed each day to conduct the best action then a qualified preventive measure can be carried out. The method used in this study is the backpropagation algorithm which has functions for calculating, testing and training the drought factors. By using empirical data, some data are trained and then tested until it can be concluded that 100% of the data already well recognized. Furthermore, some other data tested without training, then the result is 60% of the data match. In general, this algorithm shows promising results and can be applied more to complete several variables supporters.
Long memory analysis is one of the most active areas in econometrics and time series where various methods have been introduced to identify and estimate the long memory parameter in partially integrated time series. One of the most common models used to represent time series that have a long memory is the ARFIMA (Auto Regressive Fractional Integration Moving Average Model) which diffs are a fractional number called the fractional parameter. To analyze and determine the ARFIMA model, the fractal parameter must be estimated. There are many methods for fractional parameter estimation. In this research, the estimation methods were divided into indirect methods, where the Hurst parameter is estimated fir
... Show MoreSmart thinking requires a continuous flexible systeroatic teaching in order that the lecturer can reach at easily, The Successful individuals in smart thin king are the most knowledgably with it, where the cognitive (intuitive- systematic) style has common bases with another cognitive styles in many traits, and these two concepts are the core of theorization of the rost important cognitive styles. The present study aims to measure the Smart thinking among university lecturers according to sex variable and recognize the statistically differences significance in the level of cognitive (intuitive- systematic) style among the university lecturers according to sex variable and recognize the correlation between smart thinki
... Show MoreIbn Hajar is one of historian who had a role in historical writing represented by his writings in those active participation in the Arab-Islamic civilization, particularly his approach to intellectual, and pictures of us in his book that's part of the intellectual heritage, but a line that was a key part of the book, any manuscript
This research aims to identify the means and forms of interactive communication concerning Iraqi topics on the websites of global radio stations, namely Sawa and Monte Carlo. It also seeks to uncover the editorial and artistic interactions related to Iraqi topics on the selected websites chosen as the research sample, comparing them with the editorial interaction within the Iraqi context between the Radio Monte Carlo and Sawa websites.
The research yields several conclusions, including the following:
Iraqis focus their interaction with topics related to Iraq on Facebook for both Radio Monte Carlo and Sawa; Arabs show higher levels of interaction on Twitter with Radio Monte Carlo; Participants on the webs
Cette recherche étudie les structures composant Barbara, un poème de Jacques Prévert pour mettre en valeur la particularité de ce langage. Nous avons d'abord, dissocié ces structures, en : structure thématique, actancielle, syntaxico-énonciative, sémantique, formelle et finalement spacio-temporelle en vue de les analyser minutieusement. Le poète a adopté pour les thèmes : souvenir, nostalgie et guerre, un langage simple et une syntaxe incomplexe. L'usage du lexique et des figures de style célèbrent ces thèmes. La forme, la versification et la sonorité approfondissent ces images et renforcent ce langage. Ce poème dépend des phrases simples et variées : affirmative, interrogative, exclamative qui s'orientent vers des acte
... Show Moreتعمل البنوك والمؤسسات المالية كوسيط مالي بين أصحاب المدخرات والودائع من جهة ومستخدمي هذه الأموال من جهة أخرى، وممارسة هذه الوساطة المالية بين الطرفين توضح العلاقة التي ينشأ عنها الائتمان، فالائتمان علاقة بين طرفين أولهما تزيد موارده على احتياجاته وهم (المدخرون) والثاني تزيد احتياجاته على موارده وهم (المقترضون)، وطبيعة العلاقة التي تنشأ بينهما تأخذ أحد شكلين: مباشر دون وساطة من أي طرف خارجي، أو غير مباشر عن
... Show Moreنجدّ القرآن الكريم والحديث النبوي الشري يقدمان أر ى ميامين لمقيم الداعية
إلى إ امة مجتمع متماسك البنيان
Due to the importance of the word and because it is the basic building block from which speech is formed, it has become the subject of the attention of many scholars, ancient and modern, especially the Qur’anic vocabulary, which scholars dealt with in various branches of the Arabic language