تتناول هذه الدراسة أثر النفط في السياسة الخارجية العراقية خلال المدة 1991–2021، عبر تحليل الكيفية التي أثّر بها المورد النفطي في قدرة الدولة على التفاوض، وبناء المكانة، وإدارة العلاقات الإقليمية والدولية في ثلاث لحظات تاريخية رئيسة: مرحلة الحصار الدولي وبرنامج «النفط مقابل الغذاء»، ومرحلة إعادة بناء الدولة بعد عام 2003، ومرحلة الانخراط في ترتيبات أوبك+ حتى عام 2021. وتوظّف الدراسة مقاربة تاريخية–سياسية مدعومة بتتبع العمليات ودراسات حالة مقارنة، مع تشغيل مفهوم «الأثر» عبر مؤشرات تتصل بالقدرة التفاوضية، والاتساق المؤسسي، وتنويع المنافذ، والموثوقية داخل المنصات الدولية. وتخلص الدراسة إلى أن أثر النفط في السياسة الخارجية العراقية لم يكن ثابتاً، بل كان مشروطاً بمستوى السيادة الفعلية على العائدات والصادرات، وبمقدار التنسيق بين مؤسسات الدولة المعنية بالطاقة والسياسة الخارجية. ففي حين حدّت الوصاية الدولية والتجزئة المؤسسية من تحويل النفط إلى نفوذ مستدام خلال بعض المراحل، مكّن تحسن التنسيق والامتثال التفاوضي في مراحل أخرى من توظيف النفط بوصفه رصيداً سياسياً قابلاً للتحويل إلى مكاسب تفاوضية ومكانة خارجية. الكلمات المفتاحية: النفط، السياسة الخارجية العراقية، الحصار الدولي، النفط مقابل الغذاء، أوبك+، الدبلوماسية النفطية، المكانة التفاوضية.
The results show the inability to apply the Taylor rule within inflation and GDP Gaps because the monetary behave is elated from the Iraqi economy.
When applying the Taylor rule to exchange rate with the inflation and the output gap, the results do not match the nominal price announced by the central thing, which proves the lack of commitment by the Central Bank by using the Taylor rule, whether short-run interest rate or exchange rate (Nominal Anchor), so it did not stay to the Iraqi Central Bank only using the principle of Taylor with the expected inflation rate below the level of output (Macro activity) for the separation of monetary behavior from the real one o
... Show Moreالسياسة الاقليمية التركية تجاه الخليج العربي 2002-2008
The development of a future mechanism for sustainable development in Iraq to meet the current and future challenges requires an analysis of the indicators of sustainable development. This research aims at presenting and analyzing the social care aspect and highlighting the important role of taxes with a focus on social sustainable development to determine the extent and direction of changes. Level of progress, the researcher concludes the weakness of the financial allocations to the Ministry of Labor and Social Affairs and in line with the large number of people who apply the conditions and controls, and recommends the researcher the necessity of participation of all segments of society between the public and private sector In terms of o
... Show MoreThis research aims to test the causal relationship long-and short-run between the price of gold the global crude oil price and the exchange rate of the dollar and how you can take advantage of the nature of this relationship, particularly in the Arab oil states that achieve huge surpluses, including Iraq and how to keep on the purchasing power of these surpluses or reduce the levels of risk.
The problem is that the Arab oil countries, adversely affected, as a result of that relationship, due to the fact that its role confined to the sale of crude oil only. They do not have control in the dollar, then they are not able to take advantage of its impact on the price of gold the fact that gold is effective pr
... Show MoreThe main objective of the central bank is to achieve price stability and target in fractionates. Therefore, the bank sought to use modern tools and policies in order to reduce the negative effects of the accumulation of foreign reserves represented by monetary sterilization, similar to developed and developing countries alike, but with different available tools that are possible and imposed by the local financial and monetary environments, such as the window for buying and selling foreign currency, open market operations and deposit facilities. And lending existing. Because any in crease in the monetary base resulting from the accumulation of foreign reserves will affect price stability directly due to the consumer nature of the
... Show Moreبعد تولى الرئيس الأمريكي (دونالد ترامب) الحكم في الولايات المتحدة الأمريكية عام 2017م، فكان قراره الأول هو التأكيد أنَّ المصلحة الأمريكية هي من تحكم أي سياسة للولايات المتحدة، والقرار الآخر بأنَّ بلاده ستزيد من سقف حضورها في العراق والمنطقة مع مزيد من التعرض والتأثير في السياسات والعلاقات العراقية والاقليمية. ثم جاءت بعده إدارة الرئيس (جو بايدن) عام 2021م لتجد نفسها في ورطة في التعامل مع العراق، فالضغوط ارتفعت ع
... Show MoreThe parliamentary election is one of the features of democratic systems that give individuals the right to participate in government and political election-making. Typically, the process of parliamentary elections received wide attention from media, as well as attention from large segments of the public because they understand the vast importance to assume political positions and associated fates of people and their destinies. Its importance comes from the fact that it allows citizens the right to participate in managing the public affairs by granting their confidence and voices to the elected president or his representatives in the parliamentary.
Media task is to emerge democratic societies, in particular, in the mission of urging p
The interest in the issue of capital movement as an economic phenomenon has increased because of its effects and effects and its ability to influence the economic balance and the effectiveness of monetary policy. All countries seek to attract capital and benefit from it because of its effects and results such as supporting economic development process and optimal allocation of economic resources. The problem of the financing gap that most countries suffer from, and others, but sometimes the movement of capital creates challenges for monetary policy makers in achieving their goals.
After 2003, the Iraqi economy witnessed an openness and economic liberalization unlike previous years, which
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