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نمذجة السلاسل الزمنية التي تنتجها اجهزة الاحصاء الدولية وانتاج قيم تنبؤية لمتخذ القرار حالة دراسية : التنبؤ بالمساحة المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة (2015-2020
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تنفذ أجهزة اإلحصاء الدولية ومنها الجهاز المركزي لإلحصاء في العراقإحدى أجهزة وزارة التخطيط، تقوم بإجراء مسوح سنوية ودورية لإنتاج مؤشرات تقييم وتقويم أنشطة القطاعات الاقتصادية المختلفة. يتيح هذا الكم الهائل من البيانات بشكل سلسل زمني لهذه الأجهزة إنتاج مؤشرات جديدة، بما في ذلك القيم التنبؤية لمؤشرات رئيسية تستخدم في إعداد الخطط طويلة وقصيرة المدى. في عام 2015، قامت مديرية الإحصاء الزراعي في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء ببناء منظومة زمنية لمؤشرات الإحصاء الزراعي، وهذه خطوة أولى نحو بناء نماذج تنبؤية لهذه المؤشرات تساعدنا على رؤية مستقبلية. يهدف البحث إلى تحديد أفضل نموذج إحصائي للاستخدام في تنبؤ المساحات المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة 2015-2020 باستخدام بيانات السلسلة الزمنية للأعوام 1949-2014، بطول فترة 65 سنة. تم تطبيق أسلوب بوكس-جنكينز، وأظهرت النتائج أن النموذج الأنسب هو نموذج ARIMA (0,1,2) مقارنة بعدة نماذج أخرى باستخدام معايير إحصائية مختلفة لاختيار النموذج المناسب. توصي الدراسة وزارة الزراعة ووزارة التجارة بالاعتماد على القيم التنبؤية في إعداد الخطط الزراعية والتسويقية، وتوصي العاملين في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء باعتماد هذا النموذج في تنبؤ مساحات المحاصيل واعتماد منهجية البحث في بناء نماذج تنبؤية لمؤشرات منظومة السلسلة الزمنية للإحصاءات الزراعية الأخرى.

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Publication Date
Thu Jan 31 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The Services in Central Library of Salah Eldeen University and The Attitude to Computerize (Cause Study)
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The aim object of research is to show the computerized services library of Salahaldeen University in Erbil city in Iraq, so the research treatment all side of library such as building, location ,staff ,finance, resource collection and services ,we refer to. problem which face library such as administration and finance through the using Of case study method, reference source ,meeting , online comment and data record .The study focus develop in library departments, users services, management ,staff, the resource collection, building and location.
The study ending with many results and recommendation to develop the library services by using modern Information system to all users inside and outside the university and link them with other

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Publication Date
Tue Sep 01 2009
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Comparison of estimation methods for regression model parametersIn the case of the problem of linear multiplicity and abnormal values
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 A simulation study is used to examine the robustness of some estimators on a multiple linear regression model with problems of multicollinearity and non-normal errors, the Ordinary least Squares (LS) ,Ridge Regression, Ridge Least Absolute Value (RLAV), Weighted Ridge (WRID), MM and a robust ridge regression estimator MM estimator, which denoted as RMM this is the modification of the Ridge regression by incorporating robust MM estimator . finialy, we show that RMM is the best among the other estimators

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Publication Date
Sun Feb 01 2015
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The possibility of applying CAPP technology to improve the quality of the product
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     The research deals with A very important two subjects, computer aided process planning (CAPP) and Quality of product with its dimintions which identified by the producer organization, the goal of the research is to Highlight and know the role of the CAPP technology to improve quality of the product of (rotor) in the engines factory in the general company for electrical industries, The research depends case study style by the direct visits of researcher to the work location to apply the operational paths generated by specialized computer program designed by researcher, and research divides into four axes, the first regard to the general structure of the research, the second to the theoretical review, the t

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Publication Date
Sun Oct 01 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The Possibility of Applying Quality Management System ISO9001: 2008 in Station Project Al Rustumiya - A Case Study
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The research study of the possibility of the application of the quality management system under the international standard ISO ISO9001: 2008 in the station project Rustumiya wastewater treatment of the Department of SEWER BAGHDAD - Baghdad MOREALITY as the first step in the right direction towards the implementation of total quality management (TQM), and the research Find the gap between the international standard and the quality system used in the organization surveyed through the use of checklists to analyze the gap, the checklist have included (191) items distributed on five basic requirements, according to the appearance in the international standard, namely, (quality management system, management responsibility, resource man

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Publication Date
Sun Apr 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
متطلبات تطبيق المواصفة ISO 9001:2008)) في الشركة العامة لصناعة الزيوت النباتية دراسة حالة
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The research is to use the specifications and detection of the main and secondary causes of the problems that lead to the weakness and low quality of local production in Iraqi companies and develop appropriate solutions to them, as Iraqi companies suffer from the low quality of production, And the adoption of the requirements of ISO 9001: 2008, which contributes to the development of production processes within the company, and through the field co-operation and survey conducted for public companies affiliated to the Ministry of Industry and Minerals, The importance of the research through the statement of the most important problems facing the General Company for vegetable oil industry in terms of low and weak in production qual

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Publication Date
Thu Sep 01 2011
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
تقييم الأداء المالي لشركات التأمين باستعمال النسب المالية: دراسة حالة في الشركة الجزائرية للتأمين
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Les sociétés d’assurances sont considérées parmi les importantes entreprises financières non bancaires.

      Pour que ces sociétés assurent sa continuité d’existence, il faut qu’elles veillent au rendement financier qui représente ses différentes actions durant une période déterminée, en effectuant une évaluation permanente en utilisant de différentes méthodes parmi lesquelles l’analyse financière avec ses aspects divers.

         L’objectif de cette étude est d’évaluer le rendement financier des sociétés d’assurances et où projette l’étude sur la société Algérienne d’assurance durant la période 07- 09.

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Publication Date
Mon Oct 01 2018
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
Axiology of Electronic programs in updating the methodology of information and communication sciences Tropes 8.4 Case Study
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The study aims to display the scientific benefit offered by modern electronic programs for various scientific research methods, while determining the positive scientific role played by these programs in modernizing the methodologies and logic of scientific thinking, especially with the rapid development of the sciences and their curricula.
These programs link accurately with scientific results. The importance of the study is to provide practical mechanisms to highlight the scientific projection of the electronic programs in various steps of scientific research.
A case study was used for Tropes version 8.4, which analyzes written, audio and visual semantic texts and presents a set of statistical results that facilitate the difficult

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Publication Date
Tue Dec 01 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
تحليل الفجوة بين الواقع الفعلي و متطلبات المواصفة ISO14001: 2015 دراسة حالة في شركة مصافي الوسط / مصفى الدورة
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يعد نظام الإدارة البيئية ( EMS ) على وفق المواصفة ISO 14001:2015 من الانظمة الإدارية الحديثة والمهمة في وقتنا الحالي، اذ هو أحد أدوات الأدارة البيئية بعّده مدخلاً للمعالجة أو الحد من المخاطر البيئية وآثارها، وبالخصوص الاثار الناجمة من الصناعة النفطية والتي تعد المصدر الرئيس للتلوث البيئي وهدر ونفاذ الموارد الطبيعية. تتجلى مشكلة الدراسة في ضعف عملية تشخيص والحد من مخاطر الج

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 01 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
الإبلاغ المالي عن المشتقات المالية بوصفها أدوات للتحوط من المخاطر السوقية وفقاً للمعايير المحاسبية الدولية: بالتطبيق في مصرف بغـداد
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The research has  focused on accounting for marketing risks faced by banks because they are exposed to a high level of risk as a result of their great utilization of financial instruments, which may make them liable to insolvency or bankruptcy and collapse, and accordingly to major economic crises. Therefore, banks are required to manage (reduce) risks so as to prevent them. As Iraqi banks don't manage these risks according to modern methodology of using derivatives, as well as lack of both the standard accounting system for banks and the Iraqi accounting criterion (standard) No. 10 to an obvious methodology for these risks identification, classification, hedging and disclosure, the researchers was prompted to concentrate

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Publication Date
Fri Jun 30 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The Degree of Using Augmented Reality Technology among students of the Optimum Invesment Project fot Teaching Personnel Program and the difficulties they face at Al-Shaqra University
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Augmented reality technology is a modern technique used in all fields, including: medicine, engineering and education, and has received attention from officials in the educational process at present; The focus of this research is on the degree of use of augmented reality among field experience students in the project's optimal investment program for teaching staff and their difficulties, applied to a sample of 75 students, through a questionnaire prepared by the researcher as a tool to determine the degree of use, as well as difficulties. The researcher addressed the subject through two main axes to determine the degree of use, as well as the difficulties preventing teachers and learners from using this technique. The results of the rese

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