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نمذجة السلاسل الزمنية التي تنتجها اجهزة الاحصاء الدولية وانتاج قيم تنبؤية لمتخذ القرار حالة دراسية : التنبؤ بالمساحة المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة (2015-2020
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تنفذ أجهزة اإلحصاء الدولية ومنها الجهاز المركزي لإلحصاء في العراقإحدى أجهزة وزارة التخطيط، تقوم بإجراء مسوح سنوية ودورية لإنتاج مؤشرات تقييم وتقويم أنشطة القطاعات الاقتصادية المختلفة. يتيح هذا الكم الهائل من البيانات بشكل سلسل زمني لهذه الأجهزة إنتاج مؤشرات جديدة، بما في ذلك القيم التنبؤية لمؤشرات رئيسية تستخدم في إعداد الخطط طويلة وقصيرة المدى. في عام 2015، قامت مديرية الإحصاء الزراعي في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء ببناء منظومة زمنية لمؤشرات الإحصاء الزراعي، وهذه خطوة أولى نحو بناء نماذج تنبؤية لهذه المؤشرات تساعدنا على رؤية مستقبلية. يهدف البحث إلى تحديد أفضل نموذج إحصائي للاستخدام في تنبؤ المساحات المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة 2015-2020 باستخدام بيانات السلسلة الزمنية للأعوام 1949-2014، بطول فترة 65 سنة. تم تطبيق أسلوب بوكس-جنكينز، وأظهرت النتائج أن النموذج الأنسب هو نموذج ARIMA (0,1,2) مقارنة بعدة نماذج أخرى باستخدام معايير إحصائية مختلفة لاختيار النموذج المناسب. توصي الدراسة وزارة الزراعة ووزارة التجارة بالاعتماد على القيم التنبؤية في إعداد الخطط الزراعية والتسويقية، وتوصي العاملين في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء باعتماد هذا النموذج في تنبؤ مساحات المحاصيل واعتماد منهجية البحث في بناء نماذج تنبؤية لمؤشرات منظومة السلسلة الزمنية للإحصاءات الزراعية الأخرى.

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Publication Date
Thu Jan 10 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Solid waste raised in the city of Baghdad Environment
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Most cities in the world are suffering from the problem of solid waste and the resting adverse impact on the environment and public health, in particular the spread of diseases, insects and rodents, As well as the proliferation of nuisance odors result of provided by the responsible parties, As wall as weak environmental awareness among those who dwell in dealing in environmentally sound disposal of solid waste, this study was  bembgesan  first intake of solid waste and the kinds of concept and components by land use, As wall as the effects of solid waste on the environment spatial, factors affecting the quality and quantity of solid waste, the second topic was included as a study field presented the historical city of Baghdad

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Publication Date
Tue Dec 01 2015
Journal Name
مجلة العلوم القانونية
التنظيم القانوني للمنافسة التجارية في التشريع العراقي
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المنافسة التجارية في التشريع العراقي

Publication Date
Wed Dec 30 2015
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
Electonic management   And its role in the development of the Zakat Foundation
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The world is witnessing a remarkable development in the use of technology, which has made it an essential means of investment, especially in the field of management, which provided many of the facilities experienced by the institutions, including improving revenues, shortening time and saving labor. Islamic investment technology as a successful means of management and we touched on the Zakat Foundation as an application model.

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Publication Date
Tue Dec 30 2014
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
Social solidarity in religions        Three / critical study
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The researcher wanted to make an attempt to identify the foundations of social solidarity, to strengthen the bonds of brotherhood among society, and spread the causes of compassion in the hearts of its members.
       The researcher has taken a short course in the hearts of the beloved to hearts.

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Publication Date
Sat Oct 01 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The role of performance management in Achieving Organizational success
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The idea of this research is the basis of the role exercised by the dimensions of performance management (Performance Planning- performance evaluation- improve the performance and development- feedback - Review and Performance Monitor) In order to achieve the success Organizational Is through the (strategic vision- the operational activity- development of the company- selection of personnel- the company's culture- Leadership and Management- Personal Development - Assessment and Review).And The research aims to identify the extent of the responsibility of performance management in achieving success  Organizational through main hypotheses branched out by the sub-hypotheses to knowing out the&nbs

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 27 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Music and Singing in The Heritage of Baghdadi The 1930s is a Model
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Music and singing are always associated with the movement of society and the emergence of cultural and artistic activities other.
The social and political transformations of the 1930s helped to disseminate the study Music and music in the city of Baghdad and across Iraq This is the beginning of a new era of musical art alongside other arts.
While achieving musical arts A new step was advanced by publishing a technical study among the younger generation they were looking for to contribute to the musical field On the other hand, the city of Baghdad during the period of research many musical and musical performances Egyptian teams have provided many artistic activities and events which have had a significant impact on the development

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Publication Date
Fri Dec 30 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The Role of Egyptian Workers in World War II
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The Egyptian labor movement is the oldest trade union movement in the Arab region. Beside, the labor movement in any society is, in fact, only a reflection of the extent of awareness of that class in that society. Such a comparison is based on the degree of social growth the working class has reached. Moreover, the Egyptian working class was characterized by modernity in its inception compared to other social forces and classes. In addition, its development is linked to the level of industrial development of the country. The peasants and craftsmen were the mainstay of production in the Egyptian society over several centuries. The labor union movement also represents the human aspect of the labor force when it encounters and interacts wit

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Crossref
Publication Date
Wed Dec 30 2015
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
The causes of fear in the world An original Quranic study
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The subject of fear is one of the most important tasks that one should seek to find out the reasons behind it, and push it up with all its sound mental concepts.
     The main reason for the lack of security and fear and disturbance in the world is to commit the legitimate violations that God warned us in his Holy Book as well as in the Sunnah of His Prophet (peace be upon him).
    The talk about the causes of fear in the Koran is not limited to the word (fear) Fakk but came in different and varied methods such as (horror) and (awe) and (shares) and (narrow).

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Publication Date
Thu Mar 31 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The Phonetic Connotation of the Appending Letter Alef in the Holy Qur’an
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Appending is a morphological term which means the addition of one or two letters to a structure to be similar to other structures of well-known abstractor additional nouns and verbs constructions. The goal of appending is to organize what have been expanded linguistically and collect similarities to reduce the syntactic rules. This is because the appended word exists for expanding purposes; however, it has no construction of its own. An appending was included with another construction with mentioning the additional letter. This by itself means that appending as a process is a term that helps organize rather than expand language. Scholars further noticed that the appending letter is not semantically significant, and so it differs from the

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Crossref
Publication Date
Tue Jun 14 2016
Journal Name
Al-academy
Rental in fees faik hassan
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The super good artist, and its leading role experience detailed instrumental in the birth of the modern Iraqi drawing because of the represented technical personal super good in leading production Iraqi drawing since the early forties. If taken Excellence professional to experience the artist compared to the experiences of other pioneers and strengthened, the stylistic diversity through metaphors Different presented by the super good so that covered the period from romantic to Impressionism through schools drawing expressionism and cubism space, and therefore the heritage and the richness of diversity stylistic high to experience the good represents documentation required by contemporary Iraqi formation history, so the researcher found t

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