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نمذجة السلاسل الزمنية التي تنتجها اجهزة الاحصاء الدولية وانتاج قيم تنبؤية لمتخذ القرار حالة دراسية : التنبؤ بالمساحة المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة (2015-2020
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تنفذ أجهزة اإلحصاء الدولية ومنها الجهاز المركزي لإلحصاء في العراقإحدى أجهزة وزارة التخطيط، تقوم بإجراء مسوح سنوية ودورية لإنتاج مؤشرات تقييم وتقويم أنشطة القطاعات الاقتصادية المختلفة. يتيح هذا الكم الهائل من البيانات بشكل سلسل زمني لهذه الأجهزة إنتاج مؤشرات جديدة، بما في ذلك القيم التنبؤية لمؤشرات رئيسية تستخدم في إعداد الخطط طويلة وقصيرة المدى. في عام 2015، قامت مديرية الإحصاء الزراعي في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء ببناء منظومة زمنية لمؤشرات الإحصاء الزراعي، وهذه خطوة أولى نحو بناء نماذج تنبؤية لهذه المؤشرات تساعدنا على رؤية مستقبلية. يهدف البحث إلى تحديد أفضل نموذج إحصائي للاستخدام في تنبؤ المساحات المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة 2015-2020 باستخدام بيانات السلسلة الزمنية للأعوام 1949-2014، بطول فترة 65 سنة. تم تطبيق أسلوب بوكس-جنكينز، وأظهرت النتائج أن النموذج الأنسب هو نموذج ARIMA (0,1,2) مقارنة بعدة نماذج أخرى باستخدام معايير إحصائية مختلفة لاختيار النموذج المناسب. توصي الدراسة وزارة الزراعة ووزارة التجارة بالاعتماد على القيم التنبؤية في إعداد الخطط الزراعية والتسويقية، وتوصي العاملين في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء باعتماد هذا النموذج في تنبؤ مساحات المحاصيل واعتماد منهجية البحث في بناء نماذج تنبؤية لمؤشرات منظومة السلسلة الزمنية للإحصاءات الزراعية الأخرى.

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Publication Date
Fri Aug 30 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
A Cognitive Linguistic Study of the English Preposition 'in'
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The present study aims at analyzing the polysemy of the English preposition in from the cognitive linguistic (CL) point of view using Evans' and Tyler's approach (2003). The perplexity faced by Iraqi second language learners (L2) due to the multi-usages of this preposition has motivated the researcher to conduct this study. Seventy-six second year university students participated in this experimental study. The data of the pre-test and post-test were analyzed by SPSS statistical editor. The results have shown the following: First, a progress of more than (0.05≤) has been detected as far as students' understanding of the multiple usages of the preposition in is concerned. Second, the results of the questionnaire have s

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Publication Date
Fri Dec 31 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of Peace For Humanities And Social Sciences Jphsc
The role of the contract Duration in the pre-contract stage " Comparative study"
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Time crosses one of the most important principles that are agreed upon in contracts, because the temporal dimension has a significant impact on all contract provisions and is not limited to a certain group of them. French and Arab legal jurists alike called for this dimension to be given special attention. That is the term of the contract term; To try to limit the temporal elements, clarify their provisions and distinguish between them, but in the Arab world it did not receive the same attention that it received in the West.

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Publication Date
Sat Oct 01 2022
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
PUBLIC RELATIONS ACTIVITY IN THE FOUNDATION OF TECHNICAL EDUCATION
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Public relations have become vital functions in modern institutions in the complex business world. They play an important role in facilitating the process of communication between the institution and its audiences and achieve mutual understanding between the parties as public relations play this important role based on research and analysis, policy formulation and programming programs and communication with the public.

The significance of this research comes from the challenges faced by public relations in state institutions. Misunderstandings and ambiguities still plague most workers in this field, especially in defining the concept, objectives and basic functions of public rela

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Publication Date
Thu Jul 01 2010
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
العلوم الاجتماعية في جامعة بغداد .. التاريخ والتطورات
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العلوم الاجتماعية في جامعة بغداد .. التاريخ والتطورات

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Publication Date
Tue Jul 15 2025
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
Technical Processing of documentary programs in satellite channels
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The current research dealt with the study and analysis of the documentary
program on RT satellite channel dealt with research in a problem identified
by the researcher in a major question, which is the methods of technical
processing of documentary programs in satellite channels? The goal of
identifying the channel's handling of its documentary programs.
The research is considered descriptive research in which the researcher
used the survey method, the content analysis method to analyze (12)
documentary programs, It was determined by the comprehensive inventory
method within the temporal field of research extending from 1/10/2019 to
29/12/2019.
The researcher has obtained several results, the most important

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Publication Date
Thu Jul 29 2021
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
القيم الحضارية في سورة الحجرات دراسة موضوعية
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Praisebe to God, Lord of the worlds, and blessings and peace be upon the most honorable messengers, our Prophet Muhammad, may God bless him and granthim peace. And after

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Crossref
Publication Date
Mon Nov 19 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
مرويات مرويات الفكر الغيبي في مصر المملوكية
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   This research has been devoted to the study narratines of the metaphysical concepts in Egypt during the Mamluk era ( 648-923 AD/1250-1517 AH). The study consists of three sections and an  introductionwhich highlights the study at that time for its great impaction public life in Egypt.

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Publication Date
Wed Mar 30 2022
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
Discounting commercial papers in the balance of Islamic banks
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• Commercial papers are one of the most important tools of the contemporary monetary market, and many of those who deal with them are ignorant of the Shariah rulings related to them, hence the urgent need to know the most prominent Sharia rulings related to commercial papers, including the discount. It is an agreement between the bank and its customer requesting the discount (the holder of the commercial paper) under which the bank is required By accelerating the value of the paper to the customer, in exchange for the latter’s obligation to transfer the ownership of the fixed right in the paper to the bank by endorsing it to him as a transfer of ownership.
• The noble Islamic Sharia does not prohibit dealing in commercial papers

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Publication Date
Sat Dec 01 2018
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
A study in Tunisian - Iraqi Relations and its role in determining strategies for dealing with conflict and peace situations
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If the State attaches great importance to its foreign relations and intends to strengthen them in order to ensure the achievement of the highest national goals and interests. External relations between countries are one of the most prominent features of foreign policy, which depends on a combination of internal and external factors, the modern relations between Tunisia and Tunisia, which goes back to the pre-independence of Tunisia, when Iraq was a supporter of Tunisia's independence from France in the 1940s, Although these relations did not cause any disturbance by the two countries, but they remained weak relations did not develop in all areas except the sports and cultural field, which we will determine the reasons and the pos

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Crossref
Publication Date
Sun Feb 03 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The Theoretical bases of women's rights in Islamic shariate
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The Theoretical bases of women's rights in Islamic shariate

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