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نمذجة السلاسل الزمنية التي تنتجها اجهزة الاحصاء الدولية وانتاج قيم تنبؤية لمتخذ القرار حالة دراسية : التنبؤ بالمساحة المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة (2015-2020
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تنفذ أجهزة اإلحصاء الدولية ومنها الجهاز المركزي لإلحصاء في العراقإحدى أجهزة وزارة التخطيط، تقوم بإجراء مسوح سنوية ودورية لإنتاج مؤشرات تقييم وتقويم أنشطة القطاعات الاقتصادية المختلفة. يتيح هذا الكم الهائل من البيانات بشكل سلسل زمني لهذه الأجهزة إنتاج مؤشرات جديدة، بما في ذلك القيم التنبؤية لمؤشرات رئيسية تستخدم في إعداد الخطط طويلة وقصيرة المدى. في عام 2015، قامت مديرية الإحصاء الزراعي في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء ببناء منظومة زمنية لمؤشرات الإحصاء الزراعي، وهذه خطوة أولى نحو بناء نماذج تنبؤية لهذه المؤشرات تساعدنا على رؤية مستقبلية. يهدف البحث إلى تحديد أفضل نموذج إحصائي للاستخدام في تنبؤ المساحات المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة 2015-2020 باستخدام بيانات السلسلة الزمنية للأعوام 1949-2014، بطول فترة 65 سنة. تم تطبيق أسلوب بوكس-جنكينز، وأظهرت النتائج أن النموذج الأنسب هو نموذج ARIMA (0,1,2) مقارنة بعدة نماذج أخرى باستخدام معايير إحصائية مختلفة لاختيار النموذج المناسب. توصي الدراسة وزارة الزراعة ووزارة التجارة بالاعتماد على القيم التنبؤية في إعداد الخطط الزراعية والتسويقية، وتوصي العاملين في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء باعتماد هذا النموذج في تنبؤ مساحات المحاصيل واعتماد منهجية البحث في بناء نماذج تنبؤية لمؤشرات منظومة السلسلة الزمنية للإحصاءات الزراعية الأخرى.

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Publication Date
Fri Jan 01 2021
Journal Name
الطبعة الاولى
التدابير الدولية المضادة للفساد الاداري
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تعددت التعاريف اللغوية والاصطلاحية لمفهوم الفساد الإداري، ويتضح من خلال هذه التعريفات عدم وجود تعريف موحد له، إلا أنه بشكل عام يشير إلى الخروج على القانون والنظام أو استغلال المال العام لتحقيق مصالح سياسية أو اقتصادية أو اجتماعية لفرد أو جماعة معينة، مما يجعله عملًا غير أخلاقي يتميز بإساءة استعمال السلطة أو الموقع الوظيفي لمنح بعض الأفراد أفضلية على الآخرين. كما يتمثل الفساد الإداري في قيام الموظف العام با

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 01 2011
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
وقائع ندوة فرع الدراسات الدولية
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وقائع ندوة فرع الدراسات الدولية

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 01 2013
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
Activities of International Studies Branch
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نشاطات فرع الدراسات الدولية

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Publication Date
Sun Mar 19 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
The Level of Inclusion of Citizenship Values in English Language Textbooks “We Can Series” for the Elementary Education in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
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Abstract

The study aims to reveal the level of inclusion of citizenship values in the English language textbooks (We Can) series for elementary education in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. To achieve this objective, the "content analysis" methodology was used. A content analysis card was designed to include (6) main areas of citizenship values, it consisted of (28) sub-indicators of citizenship values that were supposed to be included in the English language textbook series (We Can) for elementary education. The study sample consisted of all the English language textbooks (We Can) series for elementary education, which consisted of (6) textbooks, two for each class. The results of the study indicated that there is a

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Publication Date
Sun Jun 01 2008
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
أستخدام أسلوب البرمجة الخطية على المحاصيل الزراعية باستخدام ستراتيجيات القرار المتعدد
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The idea of this study depends on determining the demand of water to products of aslected project, and determining transformation wastes according to constant scientific formula and measuring value (the depended) to reach the water needed and give the amount of waste in water and additional areas that can be agricuitured if the right administration and possibilities of exploiting water well are available     

 

 

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Publication Date
Sun Oct 21 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
المواد المواد التي يكتب عليها المخطوط
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The research deals with a historical study of the materials written by the manuscript since the beginning of its inception in the Arab era in the pre-Islamic era and the origin of Islamic and the following in successive eras.It is a variety of materials ,including Al-Asab,karanif ,parchment ,leather and many other

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Publication Date
Sat Sep 21 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Problems Facing the Teachers of Kindergartens
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The research aims at:

  1. Identifying the problems facing kindergarten teachers.
  2. Identifying the nature of the problems facing kindergarten teachers.

To achieve the aim of the research, the researcher prepared a questionnaire to identify the problems that face the teachers of kindergartens. The questionnaire was subjected to the consultation of a group of specialized expertise in the educational and psychological sciences to certify the propriety of the items of the questionnaire and it gained a rate of (80%), and the stability of the scale gained (0.91) and it stands for a correlation parameter with a statistical significance and it was calculated by using Person’s R Corre

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Publication Date
Wed May 17 2023
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
Except that of wishing between Sibawayh and grammarians
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The scholars of Arabic - may God reward them with the reward of the doers of good - laid down the rules of this language, the cycle of which never ceases to dazzle minds, so they adopted principles according to which they judged the denomination of this word, and the accusative of that, and determined in its light the worker and the done, until they reached us the rules and foundations of our dear language, and it is obvious that they differ. The origins of grammarians from one school of thought to another, or from one world to another, especially with regard to the subsidiary rules, and this difference was clearly reflected in what we have received from the rules, as we find a difference in the rulings that they restricted to the one fa

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Publication Date
Thu Dec 28 2023
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
Habits Reflected in American Action Films
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The research aims to identify the predominant habits and behaviors promoted by American action films frequently streamed on Cinemana website—a specialized platform for streaming films and series as the most followed platform. This platform offers a range of film genres, including the latest releases, free of charge. Using a simple random sampling method, twenty action films were selected for the study. Consequently, the researcher opted for a descriptive-analytical approach, deemed most appropriate for achieving the research objectives, employing content analysis as a tool to scrutinize these films. The findings highlighted that behavioral habits associated with scenes of violence, destruction, sabotage, revenge

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Publication Date
Wed Nov 01 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Analysis of the effects of foreign direct investment in financial account of the balance of payments iraqi for 2003-2015
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The study aims to make an in-depth  analysis and the financial account components in the Iraqi balance of payments because it reflects the economic center of the country towards outside world, it also helps in making decision about monetary and financial policies, finance and foreign Trade the importance of FDI for Iraq lies as an important sources as wells provides advanced technology  and job chances, It also avoids the country negative effects of borrowing processes from abroad . for analyzing direct and indirect foreign investment on the balance of payments and financial account in a period between (2003 to 2015), a community and research sample have been selected, presented in CBI/ Balance of payments. Department,

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