Preferred Language
Articles
/
Pxc4s40BVTCNdQwCChkw
نمذجة السلاسل الزمنية التي تنتجها اجهزة الاحصاء الدولية وانتاج قيم تنبؤية لمتخذ القرار حالة دراسية : التنبؤ بالمساحة المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة (2015-2020
...Show More Authors

تنفذ أجهزة اإلحصاء الدولية ومنها الجهاز المركزي لإلحصاء في العراقإحدى أجهزة وزارة التخطيط، تقوم بإجراء مسوح سنوية ودورية لإنتاج مؤشرات تقييم وتقويم أنشطة القطاعات الاقتصادية المختلفة. يتيح هذا الكم الهائل من البيانات بشكل سلسل زمني لهذه الأجهزة إنتاج مؤشرات جديدة، بما في ذلك القيم التنبؤية لمؤشرات رئيسية تستخدم في إعداد الخطط طويلة وقصيرة المدى. في عام 2015، قامت مديرية الإحصاء الزراعي في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء ببناء منظومة زمنية لمؤشرات الإحصاء الزراعي، وهذه خطوة أولى نحو بناء نماذج تنبؤية لهذه المؤشرات تساعدنا على رؤية مستقبلية. يهدف البحث إلى تحديد أفضل نموذج إحصائي للاستخدام في تنبؤ المساحات المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة 2015-2020 باستخدام بيانات السلسلة الزمنية للأعوام 1949-2014، بطول فترة 65 سنة. تم تطبيق أسلوب بوكس-جنكينز، وأظهرت النتائج أن النموذج الأنسب هو نموذج ARIMA (0,1,2) مقارنة بعدة نماذج أخرى باستخدام معايير إحصائية مختلفة لاختيار النموذج المناسب. توصي الدراسة وزارة الزراعة ووزارة التجارة بالاعتماد على القيم التنبؤية في إعداد الخطط الزراعية والتسويقية، وتوصي العاملين في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء باعتماد هذا النموذج في تنبؤ مساحات المحاصيل واعتماد منهجية البحث في بناء نماذج تنبؤية لمؤشرات منظومة السلسلة الزمنية للإحصاءات الزراعية الأخرى.

Preview PDF
Quick Preview PDF
Publication Date
Mon Nov 26 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
الموظفون العثمانيون في ايالة الجزائر (دراسة في أوضاعهم الاجتماعية والاقتصادية)
...Show More Authors

        Ottoman Empire created in the state of Algeria staff who manage its affairs on behalf of the Ottomans, who identified their functions and was mostly soldiers Alancksharien, but these soon engaged in Algerian society and coexist with him, and became them their own interests and participated people there in their business and their trades until it became their property and provinces and the interests they manage to order provide for a living.

View Publication
Publication Date
Mon Feb 04 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
دور قبیلة ربیعة في تاریخ المشرق في العصر الراشدي والأموي
...Show More Authors

Rabi’a played an important part in the conquer of the east. This tribe had
asked to conquer the fareway provinces, in spite of these difficulties, Rabi’a
did that and settled in.
This tribe was among the opposition of the Umayyad caliphate in the east,
because this tribe thinks that the caliphate was with the Mudhariyat and
Qaisiat tribes who were their enemies.
In spite of that, they were very limited cases in which Rabi’a was the
adherence of the caliphate against her enemies like Al-Harith b. Surieg , and
were against Qutaiba b. Muslim al- Bahily.
Rabi’a assisted Amr b. Muslim movement against the Umayyad governor
Qutaibe, because the later wanted to sent her faraway from Mawara al- Nahar.
Rabi

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Mon Feb 04 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The Soil Effect on Subsidence in Area of Al- Karkh District A Geomorphologic Study
...Show More Authors

Soil is considered one of the main factors of subsidence phenomena which
became continually happen in Baghdad (Ghazalia, Ameria, and Hay al-Amyl)
causing bad effects as shortage of drinking water, traffic jam and formation
swamps.
This thesis depends on soil study to a depth 15 meters, due to its
importance in subsidence. This done through specifying its chemical physical
properties.
Soil within Iraq climate, in case of water stopping for any reason it contract
and shrink away especially when it exposed to high pressure these factors
finally caused subsidence. In case of leakage underground water or that of
damaged water pipes this will contribute to chemical reactions which damage soil
structure and incr

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Wed Dec 31 2014
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Energy Saving of Heat Gain by Using Buried Pipe Inside a Roof
...Show More Authors

Abstract

    This work deals with a numerical investigation to evaluate the utilization of a water pipe buried inside a roof to reduce the heat gain and minimize the transmission of heat energy inside the conditioning space in summer season.     The numerical results of this paper showed that the reduction in heat gain and energy saving could be occurred with specific values of parameters, like the number of pipes per square meter, the ratio of pipe diameter to the roof thickness, and the pipe inlet water temperature. Comparing with a normal roof (without pipes), the results indicated a significant reduction in energy heat gain which is about 37.8% when the number of pipes per m

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sun Feb 03 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The history of political conflicts in Zimbabwe: The history of political conflicts in Zimbabwe
...Show More Authors

Abstract
This research shows the history of political conflicts in Zimbabwe, the
merits of the political struggle for power in this country since the British
colonial period, especially after the British administration announced that
Zimbabwe is a local colony of the British Crown in 1923, as the settlement
process against the wide white deprive local people to own and lease land
and low income, as well as the 1961 Constitution, which granted access to
the white powers in accordance with the authority of the top menu for the
existing lower allocated to blacks.
These events and factors led to a national rejection in Zimbabwe,
which crystallized in the form of parties and political organizations through the

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Wed Mar 30 2016
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
الدلالة الصوتية للتماثل الصامتي في صيغة ( يتفعّل) في القرآن الكريم
...Show More Authors

 This research, tagged with (phonetic significance of silent symmetry in a form activated in the Qur'an), examines the suggestive images and phonological significance of phonetic symmetries that occur in the form of (activates). Hyacinth, teeth, Karzai, Dal, Dhal, Y, and the Seine, and D, and Taa, and Thaa.
      The research found that this kind of symmetry was mentioned in twenty-seven places in the Holy Quran, with different buildings and suggestive contextual sound indications of affirmation, confinement, exaggeration, generality, and comprehensiveness in (remembers, manages, circulates, praises validates, and implies). , And indicate the cost and difficulty, and trouble, and exaggeration in (fly

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Mon Apr 03 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
The Role of Digital Repositories in Developing Teacher Performance in the Primary Stage
...Show More Authors

Abstract

Digital repositories are considered one of the integrated collaborative educational environments that help every researcher interested in developing the education and educational process. The learning resources provided by the repositories are suitable for every researcher, so digital information can be stored and exchanged by ensuring the participation and cooperation of researchers, teachers, and those who are interested, as well as curricula experts, teachers, and students, to exchange each other’s experiences in constantly updating that information as a reason for developing their performance in education. This reveals the importance of the role of educational digital institutions by providing and

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sun Dec 31 2023
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
The status of prophecy in the Islamic faith in light of the glorious Kharida system
...Show More Authors

Knowing the Messengers, peace and blessings be upon them, and explaining their obligatory, impossible, and permissible qualities is a legal necessity. It is a rooting of the faith, a means of understanding the Sharia, and a preventer from falling into the scourge of denial and bad manners against them. Therefore, sound belief in their presence is a major reason for the validity of the faith in the aspect of divinity and unseen hearing. Studying the status of prophethood is an urgent necessity in a time in which knowledge is scarce and attachment to the Messenger, may God Almighty’s prayers and peace be upon him, his family, and his companions, is weak, and suspicions and ideas hostile to the faith abound until we begin to hear - unfort

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Fri Nov 09 2018
Journal Name
Iraqi National Journal Of Nursing Specialties
Prevalence of obesity among adolescents at secondary schools in Kirkuk city
...Show More Authors

Objective: to identify the secondary school adolescent's obesity, and to find out the relationship between
adolescents obesity characteristics and their family history.
Methodology: A cross-sectional study was carried out among 537 adolescents (270 boys and 267 girls) aged 12-15
years selected by means of a multistage stratified random sampling technique.
Results: the prevalence of obesity among adolescents was 22.3%. (55.8%) of the obese adolescents were male,
(42.5%) their age is (13) years old, and (79.2%) of them coming from middle level of socio economic status score.
There are a significant relationship between obese adolescents and their family history of obesity which indicated
that obese father, and obese br

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Wed Nov 14 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
نهر نهر الخوصر في نينوى في ضوء تقانة التحسس النائي
...Show More Authors

The river "Al Khawser" has a significant role in the history of civilization of Nineveh city in north of Iraq that makes studying river channel and previous geomorphological analysis with its relation to the political and economical in the city in the ancient history depending on remote sensing technology with aerial imagery interpretation because it is easily available, multiple use, engineered integration, and low cost compared to other technology, this paper discovered that the current channel of river "Al Khawaser" is not the real old path

View Publication Preview PDF