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استخدام المحاكاة للمفاضلة بين بعض الطرائق الحديثة لنموذج GM(1,1) لايجاد القيم المفقودة و تقدير المعلمات مع تطبيق عملي
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The grey system model GM(1,1) is the model of the prediction of the time series and the basis of the grey theory. This research presents the methods for estimating parameters of the grey model GM(1,1) is the accumulative method (ACC), the exponential method (EXP), modified exponential method (Mod EXP) and the Particle Swarm Optimization method (PSO). These methods were compared based on the Mean square error (MSE) and the Mean Absolute percentage error (MAPE) as a basis comparator and the simulation method was adopted for the best of the four methods, The best method was obtained and then applied to real data. This data represents the consumption rate of two types of oils a heavy fuel (HFO) and diesel fuel (D.O) and the use of tests to confirm the accuracy of the grey model. After obtaining the results, the best method to estimate the parameters of the grey model GM(1,1) is the method of the Particle Swarm Optimization method (PSO) It has been used to treatment the missing values ​​in the data and in the prediction where it has been shown to have the best results

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Publication Date
Thu Sep 15 2022
Journal Name
Alustath Journal For Human And Social Sciences
کاریگەری ستراتیجیەتی مێزگرد لەسەر دەستکەوتی بابەتی خوێندنەوە و ئەدەبی کوردی
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Publication Date
Sat Dec 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Comparison between the Methods of Ridge Regression and Liu Type to Estimate the Parameters of the Negative Binomial Regression Model Under Multicollinearity Problem by Using Simulation
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The problem of Multicollinearity is one of the most common problems, which deal to a large extent with the internal correlation between explanatory variables. This problem is especially Appear in economics and applied research, The problem of Multicollinearity has a negative effect on the regression model, such as oversized variance degree and estimation of parameters that are unstable when we use the Least Square Method ( OLS), Therefore, other methods were used to estimate the parameters of the negative binomial model, including the estimated Ridge Regression Method and the Liu type estimator, The negative binomial regression model is a nonline

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Publication Date
Mon Jun 05 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Estimating the Population Mean in Stratified Random Sampling Using Combined Regression with the Presence of Outliers
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In this research, the covariance estimates were used to estimate the population mean in the stratified random sampling and combined regression estimates. were compared by employing the robust variance-covariance matrices estimates with combined regression estimates by employing the traditional variance-covariance matrices estimates when estimating the regression parameter, through the two efficiency criteria (RE) and mean squared error (MSE). We found that robust estimates significantly improved the quality of combined regression estimates by reducing the effect of outliers using robust covariance and covariance matrices estimates (MCD, MVE) when estimating the regression parameter. In addition, the results of the simulation study proved

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Publication Date
Tue Dec 15 2020
Journal Name
Al-adab Journal
التدخل المبكر لنموذج دنفر (Denver) لتنمية المهارات الاجتماعية لدى أطفال التوحد الافتراضي
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هدفت الدراسة إلى بناء برنامج التدخل المبكر نموذج دنفر على وفق أساليب معرفية سلوكية، والتعرف على اثر البرنامج في تنمية المهارات الاجتماعية لدى أطفال التوحد الافتراضي ولتحقق من هذا الهدف وضعت الباحثة الفرضية الآتية لا توجد فروق ذو دلاله إحصائية بين متوسط رتب درجات أفراد المجموعة التجريبية في التطبيقين القبلي والبعدي على المقياس (CARS2-ST). اقتصر البحث الحالي على الأطفال من ذوي اضطراب التوحد الافتراضي المسجل

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Publication Date
Wed Jan 01 2014
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
سةرهةلَداني رِؤذنامةنووسيي كوردي و رِؤلَي لة ثةرةسةندني زمان و ئةدةبدا
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Appearance of the Kurdish press in the Kurdish literature was affected by as set of both external and internal factors. The former was realized in the spreading of press and publications especially at the neighboring countries in the second half of the 19th century. The latter factors, external ones ,were concerned the political situations undergone by the Kurdish people who severely suffered injustice practiced by the Othman authority .All these reasons had driven the educated to migrate to search for more safe places to practice their cultural actions with absolute freedom. Consequently, the first newspaper was issued on 22/4/1898 in Cairo which pointed the birth of the Kurdish press inside and outside Kurdistan region which

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Publication Date
Fri Jul 24 2026
Journal Name
Sciences Journal Of Physical Education
صعوبات استخدام المدرسين لأساليب التدريس الحديثة بدرس التربية الرياضية للمرحلة المتوسطة
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من أجل الإجابة على التساؤل المتعلق بمشكلة البحث وهو؛ ماهي الصعوبات التي تواجه المدرسين باستخدام أساليب التدريس الحديثة بدرس التربية الرياضية للمرحلة المتوسطة؟ والعمل على إيجاد الحلول المناسبة لهذه الصعوبات. استخدم الباحثين المنهج الوصفي بالأسلوب المسحي على عينة من مدرسي ومدرسات التربية الرياضية في محافظة ديالى في المدارس المتوسطة والبالغ عددهم (81) مدرساً ومدرسة، وبعد إعداد الاستبانة الخاصة بالبحث وتوزيع

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Publication Date
Tue Jun 30 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Compare Prediction by Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model from first order with Exponential Weighted Moving Average
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The prediction process of time series for some time-related phenomena, in particular, the autoregressive integrated moving average(ARIMA) models is one of the important topics in the theory of time series analysis in the applied statistics. Perhaps its importance lies in the basic stages in analyzing of the structure or modeling and the conditions that must be provided in the stochastic process. This paper deals with two methods of predicting the first was a special case of autoregressive integrated moving average which is ARIMA (0,1,1) if the value of the parameter equal to zero, then it is called Random Walk model, the second was the exponential weighted moving average (EWMA). It was implemented in the data of the monthly traff

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Publication Date
Thu Dec 13 2018
Journal Name
Al-adab Journal
مستويات استخدام اللغة وانواعها
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اللغة هي الأداة  الرئيسة  للتواصل  اللغوي بين أفراد المجتمع . أن المتحدث بأية لغة يحتاج إلى استخدام رموز مشتركة. ومع ذلك، تسهم الظروف الاجتماعية والجغرافية والفردية المختلفة في ذلك, اذ أن هنالك طرقاً مختلفة لاستخدام اللغة نفسها, لذلك فأنها ضرورية للحفاظ على انماط معينة لجعل التواصل ممكنا. وهذا الاستخدام المختلف يؤدي الى  تنوع استخدام اللغة.                     هذا يعني ان المتحدثين في مكان ما لا يتكل

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Publication Date
Sat Oct 20 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The Effect of Extreme Values on Streeter-Phleps Model Parameter Estimators With Application Abstract
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Abstract

   The extremes effects in parameters readings which are BOD (Biological Oxygen Demands) and DO(Dissolved Oxygen) can caused error estimating of the model’s parameters which used to determine the ratio of de oxygenation and re oxygenation of the dissolved oxygen(DO),then that will caused launch big amounts of the sewage pollution  water to the rivers and it’s turn is effect in negative form on the ecosystem life and the different types of the water wealth.

   As result of what mention before this research came to employees Streeter-Phleps model parameters estimation which are (Kd,Kr) the de oxygenation and re oxygenation ratios on respect

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Publication Date
Thu Sep 01 2011
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
BASES PROOF FOR PERIOD (1.1) FOR CORRELATION CONEFFICIENT
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مفهوم معامل الارتباط كمقياس يربط بين متغيرين هذا يجلب انتباهنا إلى موضوع الإحصاء في كل المستويات. أكثر من ذلك هناك ثلاث نقاط خاصة هي اعتيادياً نشدد عليها كما يأتي:-

(1 معامل الارتباط هو الدليل المعياري والذي قيمته لا تعتمد على قياسات  

    المتغيرات الأصلية.

 (2قيمته تقع في المدى] 1,1-[ .

&nb

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