لقد لاقت مواضيع استعمال التحليل الاحصاء المالي رواجاً كبيراً في الآونة الأخيرة سواء على مستوى الافراد والشركات العامة والخاصة مروراً بأسواق الاسهم والاوراق المالية (البورصات) وصولاً الى اقتصاديات الدول والبلدان. وذلك بعد وصول الباحثين والدارسين للظواهر الاقتصادية والمالية بكل أنماطها الى إدراك أهمية التحليل الكميّ عموماً والتحليل الاحصائي على وجه الخصوص، مما دفعنا لتأليف الطبعة الأولى من هذا الكتاب بالعنوان نفسه، والذي أثار إهتماماً وتشجيعاً من غالبية المهتمين بشأن التحليل الكمي في القطاع المالي من الأكادميين (أساتذة وطلبة) ومحللّي المال والأعمال من الأقتصادين والمحاسبيين ومديري الأعمال. وهنا دعت الحاجة الى تلبية طلب الشرائح المذكور آنفاً والمعنية بهذا الكتاب وذلك عبر أصدار طبعة ثـانــيــة (مزيدة ومنقحة) لهذا الكتاب كمنهج علمي يساعد في الوصف والتحليل ومن ثم التنبؤ. ليكون أحد المراجع في المكتبة العربية والتي تبقى بحاجة ماسّة إلى مثل هكذا مرجع، ولحرص الجامعات على تبنّي الإحصاء المالي ضمن خططها التدريسية لتخصصات العلوم المالية والمصرفية. حاولنا من خلال هذه الطبعة الثانية للكتاب أن نغطي الجزء الأكبر من التنقيحات والتعديلات وأضافة بعض المفردات والأمثلة والتمارين في هذا المضمار من خلال سبع فصول.
Artificial Neural networks (ANN) are powerful and effective tools in time-series applications. The first aim of this paper is to diagnose better and more efficient ANN models (Back Propagation, Radial Basis Function Neural networks (RBF), and Recurrent neural networks) in solving the linear and nonlinear time-series behavior. The second aim is dealing with finding accurate estimators as the convergence sometimes is stack in the local minima. It is one of the problems that can bias the test of the robustness of the ANN in time series forecasting. To determine the best or the optimal ANN models, forecast Skill (SS) employed to measure the efficiency of the performance of ANN models. The mean square error and
... Show MoreThis work aims to detect the associations of C-peptide and the homeostasis model assessment of beta-cells function (HOMA2-B%) with inflammatory biomarkers in pregnant-women in comparison with non-pregnant women. Sera of 28 normal pregnant women at late pregnancy versus 27 matched age non-pregnant women (control), were used to estimate C-peptide, triiodothyronine (T3), and thyroxin (T4) by Enzyme-linked-immunosorbent assay (ELISA), fasting blood sugar (FBS) by automatic analyzer Biolis 24i, hematology-tests by hematology analyzer and the calculation of HOMA2-B% and homeostasis model assessment of insulin sensitivity (HOMA2-S%) by using C-peptide values instead of insulin. The comparisons, correlations, regression analysis tests were perfo
... Show Moreيهدف هذا البحث إلى تحليل محتوى كتابي الحاسوب للمرحلة الإعدادية في جمهورية العراق وفقاً للتفكير المنطقي، واتبعت الباحثة منهج البحث الوصفي التحليلي، وتم توظيف أداة تحليل المحتوى، التي صُمِّمت وفقاً للعمليات العقلية المتضمنة في التفكير المنطقي بحسب العالم بياجيه ( Piaget )، واعتماد وحدة الفكرة (الصريحة) في عملية التحليل. تبين من نتائج هذا البحث أنَّ نسبة تضمين مهارات التفكير المنطقي في محتوى كتابي الحاسوب للمرحل
... Show MoreChekhov is well known and perceived in Arab countries. His stories and plays are very popular. They translated it into Arabic by different translators from different languages of the world Many of his stories require new translation solutions to achieve partial, if not complete, equivalence. Chekhov's works are a very difficult subject to analyze and interpret, which is explained by the fact that Chekhov's collections are constantly republished in foreign languages. It is impossible to preserve in translation all the elements of the original text containing historical and national details but, of course, the reader should have the impression that they represent the historical and national situation. When translating, it makes sense to prese
... Show Moreاهمية البحث والحاجة اليه :
ان القياس ضروري في دراسة كل فعالية يقوم بها الكائن الحي ، فلغة العلم ، هي رموز ومصطلحات وتعبيرات احصائية ( العيسى ، 1973 : 3 ) .
والقياس بشكل عام مهم في كل العلوم ، فهي على اختلاف انواعها تقوم بتوجيه اهتمامها نحو دراسة العلاقة بين المتغيرات ( Variables ) ، في الميادين التي تبحثها لذلك يجب ان تكون هذه المتغيرات قابلة للقياس بشكل دقيق لنتمكن من در
... Show MoreThis research aims to shed light on some phonetic linguistic terms used in the Arabic phonetic lesson for the purpose of monitoring, analyzing and tracking its developments. Such a step helps to standardize and weigh between them. The study follows a descriptive-analytical approach; it surveys the problem of the phonetic linguistic term, and its linguistic exactness. Then, it examines some phonetic terms in the Arabic phonetic lesson, such as phonology and phonology; intensity, looseness and mediation; the production, articulatory, transition, position, and the two vocal chords. One of the most prominent conclusions of the study is that the phonetic linguistic terminology enjoyed a tangible development since its infancy, given that phone
... Show MoreThe need for detection and investigation of the causes of pollution of the marshes and submit a statistical study evaluated accurately and submitted to the competent authorities and to achieve this goal was used to analyze the factorial analysis and then obtained the results from this analysis from a sample selected from marsh water pollutants which they were: (Electrical Conductivity: EC, Power of Hydrogen: PH, Temperature: T, Turbidity: TU, Total Dissolved Solids: TDS, Dissolved Oxygen: DO). The size of sample (44) sites has been withdrawn and examined in the laboratories of the Iraqi Ministry of Environment. By illustrating SPSS program) the results had been obtained. The most important recommendation was to increase the pumping of addit
... Show MoreWe refer in this research into linguistic binaries, try rounding of simiaei news analysis. It is known that there are branches of Linguistics called social Linguistics, divided into communicative Linguistics and media. Perhaps the best justification for the inclusion of a new curriculum in media studies is a semiotic analysis of the news. I›ve turned the speech, language and communication studies in relation to different disciplines, many research projects, and returned only old curriculum, speed shift in thought, proportional to the revolution in information and communication technology, for reality imposed on the entire world, researchers are the first affected by this enormous humanitarian Almanza. Alsimiaaeon still shy away from an
... Show MoreSix house-hold Abyssinian pumps distributed in different villages of Mansoura (Mans-I, Mans-II and Mans-III) and Talkha (Talk-I, Talk-II and Talk-III) cities, Egypt, have been selected for regular seasonal water quality assessment during 2017. Water samples have been collected within the mid-periods of four seasons Standard assessment tools were employed for the integrated water quality assessment including Water Quality Index (WQI) and ISO standard algal toxicity test. WQI displayed remarkable local and seasonal variations with excellent (≥ 90) and good (70 - 89) only recorded for water samples collected from Mans-I pump located in sparsely populated area and far 50 meters only from the eastern (Damietta) branch of Nile River. WQI of
... Show MoreAbstract :
In view of the fact that high blood pressure is one of the serious human diseases that a person can get without having to feel them, which is caused by many reasons therefore it became necessary to do research in this subject and to express these many factors by specific causes through studying it using (factor analysis).
So the researcher got to the five factors that explains only 71% of the total variation in this phenomenon is the subject of the research, where ((overweight)) and ((alcohol in abundance)) and ((smoking)) and ((lack of exercise)) are the reasons that influential the most in the incidence of this disease.