لقد لاقت مواضيع استعمال التحليل الاحصاء المالي رواجاً كبيراً في الآونة الأخيرة سواء على مستوى الافراد والشركات العامة والخاصة مروراً بأسواق الاسهم والاوراق المالية (البورصات) وصولاً الى اقتصاديات الدول والبلدان. وذلك بعد وصول الباحثين والدارسين للظواهر الاقتصادية والمالية بكل أنماطها الى إدراك أهمية التحليل الكميّ عموماً والتحليل الاحصائي على وجه الخصوص، مما دفعنا لتأليف الطبعة الأولى من هذا الكتاب بالعنوان نفسه، والذي أثار إهتماماً وتشجيعاً من غالبية المهتمين بشأن التحليل الكمي في القطاع المالي من الأكادميين (أساتذة وطلبة) ومحللّي المال والأعمال من الأقتصادين والمحاسبيين ومديري الأعمال. وهنا دعت الحاجة الى تلبية طلب الشرائح المذكور آنفاً والمعنية بهذا الكتاب وذلك عبر أصدار طبعة ثـانــيــة (مزيدة ومنقحة) لهذا الكتاب كمنهج علمي يساعد في الوصف والتحليل ومن ثم التنبؤ. ليكون أحد المراجع في المكتبة العربية والتي تبقى بحاجة ماسّة إلى مثل هكذا مرجع، ولحرص الجامعات على تبنّي الإحصاء المالي ضمن خططها التدريسية لتخصصات العلوم المالية والمصرفية. حاولنا من خلال هذه الطبعة الثانية للكتاب أن نغطي الجزء الأكبر من التنقيحات والتعديلات وأضافة بعض المفردات والأمثلة والتمارين في هذا المضمار من خلال سبع فصول.
Abstract: -
The concept of joint integration of important concepts in macroeconomic application, the idea of cointegration is due to the Granger (1981), and he explained it in detail in Granger and Engle in Econometrica (1987). The introduction of the joint analysis of integration in econometrics in the mid-eighties of the last century, is one of the most important developments in the experimental method for modeling, and the advantage is simply the account and use it only needs to familiarize them selves with ordinary least squares.
Cointegration seen relations equilibrium time series in the long run, even if it contained all the sequences on t
... Show MoreThe research aims to present a proposed strategy for the North Oil Company, and the proposed strategy took into account the surrounding environmental conditions and adopted in its formulation on the basis and scientific steps that are comprehensive and realistic, as it covered the main activities of the company (production and exploration activities, refining and refining activities, export and transport of oil, research and development activity, financial activity, information technology, human resources) and the (David) model has been adopted in the environmental analysis of the factors that have been diagnosed according to a
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This study aimed to choose top stocks through technical analysis tools specially the indicator called (ratio of William index), and test the ability of technical analysis tools in building a portfolio of shares efficient in comparison with the market portfolio. These one technical tools were used for building one portfolios in 21 companies on specific preview conditions and choose 10 companies for the period from (March 2015) to (June 2017). Applied results of the research showed that Portfolio yield for companies selected according to the ratio of William index indicator (0.0406) that
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ان الاهتمام الاساسي في طرق الادارة الحديثة ينصب على تحقيق رضا المستهلك او الزبون، والذي يشكل الاولية الاولى، فالزبائن يشكلون محور نجاح كل تنظيم، فعدد التنظيمات التي تستهدف استلهام التوجه من العملاء (Customer driven) كبيرة ومتزايدة.
المنظمات الناجحة (Prosper) تركز بشكل كبير على زبائنها في عملية صنع القرار، فالمحاسبون الاداريون فيها يعطون انتباهاً متز
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This research was interested in studying the phrase “I don’t know” in the Lisan al-Arab dictionary, and Lisan al-Arab was based on collecting its material from five dictionaries, including: Tahdhib al-Lugha, al-Muqamah, al-Sahih, and the footnotes of Ibn Berri, al-Nihaya and Gharib al-Hadith. The objection to this phrase, and the discussion of its various implications among linguists and the clarification of the closest and most famous content to it according to the data presented to the researcher in his research journey, and to reach this goal, the research division into a preface, five demands and a conclusion and followed the list of sources and references. To define the lexicon of Lisan al-Ar
... Show MoreLong memory analysis is one of the most active areas in econometrics and time series where various methods have been introduced to identify and estimate the long memory parameter in partially integrated time series. One of the most common models used to represent time series that have a long memory is the ARFIMA (Auto Regressive Fractional Integration Moving Average Model) which diffs are a fractional number called the fractional parameter. To analyze and determine the ARFIMA model, the fractal parameter must be estimated. There are many methods for fractional parameter estimation. In this research, the estimation methods were divided into indirect methods, where the Hurst parameter is estimated fir
... Show MoreThis paper presents a novel idea as it investigates the rescue effect of the prey with fluctuation effect for the first time to propose a modified predator-prey model that forms a non-autonomous model. However, the approximation method is utilized to convert the non-autonomous model to an autonomous one by simplifying the mathematical analysis and following the dynamical behaviors. Some theoretical properties of the proposed autonomous model like the boundedness, stability, and Kolmogorov conditions are studied. This paper's analytical results demonstrate that the dynamic behaviors are globally stable and that the rescue effect improves the likelihood of coexistence compared to when there is no rescue impact. Furthermore, numerical simul
... Show MoreThe spatial variation of regional development means that some regions to be a center of activities and services and job opportunities and economic development, and are usually in major urban centers, while lacking in other regions to such activities and services. Perhaps the studies of spatial variation SPATIAL INEQUALITY, regional development, REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT has had the greatest impact on the operations of regional planning in particular the study of the regional dimension of any city requires that you review the basis and theoretical framework, which refers to the inevitability of the existence of disparities across regions, due to the properties of the regions population and economic political and environmental The study
... Show Moreهدفت الدراسة الى تحليل محتوى كتاب الرياضيات للصف الاول متوسط على وفق مكونات المعرفة الرياضية (المفاهيم الرياضية , التعميمات الرياضية, المهارات الرياضية والمسائل الرياضية )
وتفرعت منه الاسئلة الاتية :
مانسبة المفاهيم الرياضية المتضمنة في كل فصل من فصول كتاب الرياضيات للصف الاول متوسط وللكتاب ككل ؟
مانسبة المهارات الرياضية المتضمنة في كل فص
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Public relations are amongst the social sciences that rely on scientific methods in achieving new knowledge or resolving existing problems by means of its scientific researches that are often applied and require a classification in terms of their results’ analysis. It also requires subtle statistical processes whether in constructing their material or in analyzing and interpreting their results.
This research seeks to identify the relation between public relations and statistics, and the significance a researcher or practitioner in the domain of public relations should assign to statistics being one of the important criteria in identifying the accuracy and object
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