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تحليل وقياس الاستدامة المالية لصندوق التقاعد والضمان الاجتماعي في العراق للمدة 2004-2018
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يعد تحليل السلاسل الزمنية من المواضـيع الهامة في تفسير الظـواهر التي تحدث خلال فترة زمنية معينة. ان الهدف من هذا لتحليل هو الحصـول على وصف وبنـاء أنموذج مناسب من اجل اعطاء صورة مستقبلية واضحة للسلاسل الزمنية المدروسة وان السلاسل الزمنية اهم الادوات المستخدمة في بناء وتقدير والتنبؤ بالظواهر المختلفة وان الاستدامة المالية هي الحالة التي تكون فيها الدولة قادرة على الوفاء بالتزاماتها الحالية والمستقبلية من غير تغيير سياساتها اذ تعتبر من اهم المشاكل التي تواجه الصندوق لارتفاع اعداد الخارجين من الخدمة وارتفاع اعداد المتقاعدين مما يتسبب في ارتفاع حجم انفاق صندوق التقاعد والضمان الاجتماعي ولاعتماد الصندوق على ايرادات الاشتراكات التي يعتمد عليها بشكل شبه تام في تمويل الصندوق اذ استخدمت خصائص السلاسل الزمنية واختبار التكامل المشترك وانموذج متجه تصحيح الخطأ Vector Error Correction Model ومن ثم المقارنة من خلال المعايير,Sum Square Error Root Mean Square Error لإيجاد افضل انموذج من نماذج التمهيد الاسي للتنبؤ بالقيم المستقبلية، اذ تم التوصل الى ان السلاسل الزمنية (الانفاق والايراد) ساكنة بعد اخذ الفرق الاول وفق Augmented Dickey Fuller وتوصل البحث الى ان فترة الابطاء المثلى هي الفترة الثالثة بالاعتماد على معيار Akaike Information Criterion واشار اختبار Johansen – Juselius الى وجود علاقة توازنية طويلة الاجل بين المتغيرات وان هناك علاقة متجه من الايراد الى الانفاق وفق Vector Error Correction Model لان معلمة تصحيح حد الخطأ سالبة ومعنوية وان انموذج متجه تصحيح الخطأ بين نفقات وايرادات الصندوق خالي من مشكلة الارتباط المتسلسل وخالي من مشكلة عدم تجانس التباين وان افضل انموذج للتنبؤ للمتغيرات البحث هو التمهيد الاسي لمعلمتي هولت لأنه اعطى نتائج دقيقة وقريبة من القيم الحقيقية.

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Publication Date
Sun Mar 30 2025
Journal Name
مجلة المستنصرية للدراسات العربية والدولية
أثر العمالة الاجنبية في ارتفاع مستويات البطالة في العراق
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ساهم توافد العمالة الأجنبية في تفاقم مشكلة البطالة في العراق الذي يستقبل المئات منهم سنوياً، في ظل تخرج آلاف الطلاب من الجامعات العراقية وانطلاقهم إلى سوق العمل بالتزامن مع عدم تنشيط دور القطاع الخاص بسبب التجاذبات السياسية والأوضاع الاقتصادية والأمنية التي أثرت بشكل كبير في تفعيله وجذب المستثمرين، وعلى رغم ذلك استمر توافد العمالة الأجنبية التي وجدت في العراق عبارة عن فرص ثمينة لا سيما في قطاع الخدمات، مما

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Publication Date
Sat Feb 09 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The Foreign Investment in Oil Sector in Iraq after 2003
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Iraq has the distinction of being a great potential of non-renewable natural resources,
especially crude oil and natural gas. Since the discovery of crude oil at the beginning of the
twentieth century in Iraq. Although the different of investment types, it contributed to the oil
sector in the provision of financial resources to the state treasury , since that date until the
present time.
Search has been marked by division ((The foreign investment in the oil sector in Iraq after
2003)) into three sections. The first section included a brief history of the development of
Iraq's oil potential in terms of oil reserves, and oil fields, and the quantities of production and
export. The second section reviewed the investm

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Publication Date
Thu Jun 03 2021
Journal Name
Al-academy
مفهومية فن الفخار في عصور قبل التاريخ في العراق
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مفهومية فن الفخار في عصور قبل التاريخ في العراق

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Publication Date
Thu Jun 01 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Measuring the continuity of the demand for money and its impact on the Iraqi dinar exchange rate for the period 1991-2013 function
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 Research Summary

It highlights the importance of assessing the demand for money function in Iraq through the understanding of the relationship between him and affecting the variables by searching the stability of this function and the extent of their influence in the Iraqi dinar exchange rate in order to know the amount of their contribution to the monetary policies of the Iraqi economy fee, as well as through study behavior of the demand for money function in Iraq and analyze the determinants of the demand for money for the period 1991-2013 and the impact of these determinants in the demand for money in Iraq.

And that the problem that we face is how to estimate the total demand for money in

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 21 2025
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
The extent of Concern of the University Press in Students’ Issues (Journal of the University of Technology as a Model) for the Period from 2009 to 2012
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The university press is an essential pillar in building an academic community to achieve its objectives in the service of society. Since the university press is a means of university media, which is issued by the departments or units of media in Iraqi universities as academic governmental-institutions, so it highlights the activities of the university and link them to its internal society in the first place as the university press is a mirror of the university and its voice is sincerely expressed. This research comes to know the extent of interest of the university press in various student issues.

In order to identify the problem of the research, the method of content analysis was adopted within the survey method

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Crossref
Publication Date
Mon Jan 01 2018
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
Political Marketing and the Formation of Trends in Public Opinion on Social Networking Sites: An Analytical Study of the Two F.B. Pages: the Prime Minister and the Parliament President
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The social networking sites have become one of the most important promotional instruments for their characteristic of facilitation of communication and the creation of public platform for discussion and formation of new points of view. These sites were used in the political marketing process where politicians use Facebook pages to promote their ideologies and spread their programs for the purpose of an influencing public opinion.
This research deals with the way by which political products are the Iraqi parliament. We adopt the methodology for analyzing the contents of these pages during three months starting from September,12 2016 to March 1, 2017 characterized by a lot of changes and events, in particular the beginning of the war o

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Publication Date
Mon Apr 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Analysis of the Content of the Computer Textbook for the Second Intermediate Grade According to Scientific and Moral Values
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The purpose of this research is to design a list of the scientific and moral values that should be found in the content of the computer textbook for the second intermediate grade, as well as to analyze the content of the above- mentioned book by answering the following question:

 What is the percentage of availability of scientific and moral values in the content of the computer textbook for Second Intermediate grade issued by the Iraqi Ministry of Education / the general directorate of the curriculum, for the academic year (2017-2018)? 

In order to achieve the research objectives, the descriptive method (content analysis method) was adopted. The research community has been iden

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Publication Date
Sun Apr 02 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
تحليل محتوى كتاب الحاسوب للصف الثاني متوسط وفق مهارات التفكير المنطقي
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يهدف البحث الحالي إلى تحليل محتوى كتاب الحاسوب للصف الثاني متوسط وفق مهارات التفكير المنطقي للعام الدراسي(2015- 2016)م, ولتحقيق ذلك تم استخدام المنهج الوصفي التحليلي (تحليل محتوى) لملاءمته لطبيعة هدف البحث, وتم اعداد أداة البحث بالأعتماد على قائمة مهارات التفكير المنطقي بعد مراجعة الأدبيات والدراسات السابقة, وتم عرضها على مجموعة من المحكمين المتخصصين في المناهج وطرائق التدريس وعلم النفس وعلم الحاسبات والقياس

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 01 2024
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
An excerpt on the analysis of correlate constructions: Exkurs zur Analyse der Korrelatkonstruktionen
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The main idea that led me to write such research paper within the framework of Germanic linguistics is that I have not found any topic dealing with the term correlate in the German language, except in several articles in linguistic journals as well as one topic in a book describing the use of such a linguistic phenomenon in the language system. The research initially deals with the definition of the correlate at the level of the German language system. Correlate is unity describes specific relation of two sentences and identifies denoted constructs. Correlate is called a placeholder at the syntactic level because it does not occupy its original topological fields in the syntactic structure. The correlate (es) or the prepositiona

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Crossref
Publication Date
Mon Jan 02 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Science book second grade content analysis according to the Dimensions Of Sustainable Development
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The objective of this research is to analyze the content of science textbook at the elementary level, according to the dimensions of sustainable development for the academic year (2015-2016). To achieve this goal has been to build a list with dimensions of sustainable development to be included in science textbooks in primary school, after seeing the collection of literature and research and studies, as has been reached to the list of the dimensions of the three sustainable development and social, economic and environmental in the initial image consisted of (63) the issue of sub-divided the three-dimensional, the menu and offered a group of arbitrators and specialists in curriculum and teaching methods, and thus the menu consiste

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