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قياس وتحليل الاستدامة المالية للاقتصاد العراقي للمدة ٢٠٠٤-٢٠١٨
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ان تحليل السلاسل الزمنية من المواضـيع الهامة في تفسير الظـواهر التي تحدث خلال فترة زمنية معينة ان الهدف من هذا لتحليل هو الحصـول على وصف وبنـاء أنموذج مناسب من اجل اعطاء صورة مستقبلية واضحة للسلاسل الزمنية المدروسة وان السلاسل الزمنية اهم الادوات المستخدمة في بناء وتقدير والتنبؤ بالظواهر المختلفة وان الاستدامة المالية هي الحالة التي تكون فيها الدولة قادرة على الوفاء بالتزاماتها الحالية والمستقبلية من غير تغيير سياساتها اهم القضايا التي تواجهها الدولة خصوصا الدولة النفطية لاعتمادها بشكل شبة التام على العوائد النفطية وهذا يؤدي الى تقلب حجم الايراد العام (انخفاض وارتفاع) مما يؤثر على الاستدامة المالية بالإضافة الى ارتفاع حجم الانفاق العام اذ استخدمت خصائص السلاسل الزمنية واختبار التكامل المشترك وانموذج متجه تصحيح الخطأ Vector Error Correction Model ومن ثم المقارنة من خلال المعايير,Sum Square Error Root Mean Square Error لإيجاد افضل انموذج من نماذج التمهيد الاسي للتنبؤ بالقيم المستقبلية , اذ تم التوصل الى ان السلاسل الزمنية (الانفاق العام والايراد العام) ساكنة بعد اخذ الفرق الاول وفق Augmented Dickey Fuller وتوصل البحث الى ان فترة الابطاء المثلى هي الفترة الثالثة بالاعتماد على معيار Akaike Information Criterion واشار اختبار Johansen – Juselius الى وجود علاقة توازنية طويلة الاجل بين المتغيرات وان هناك علاقة متجه من الايراد الى الانفاق وفق Vector Error Correction Model لان معلمة تصحيح حد الخطأ سالبة ومعنوية وان انموذج متجه تصحيح الخطأ بين نفقات والايرادات خالي من مشكلة الارتباط المتسلسل وخالي من مشكلة عدم تجانس التباين وان افضل انموذج للتنبؤ للمتغيرات البحث هو التمهيد الاسي لمعلمتي هولت لأنه اعطى نتائج دقيقة وقريبة من القيم الحقيقية.

Publication Date
Sun Jan 17 2021
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
التنظيمات المالية في العصر العباسي (132-566هـ/749-1170م)
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The Abbasid Caliphate generally paid attention to the financial aspect through the collection of resources , And also in terms of spending these resources

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Publication Date
Mon Jul 02 2018
Journal Name
المجلة العراقية للعلوم الاقتصادية
العولمة المالية واثرها في الضريبة في بعض البلدان العربية
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ظهر التحول نحو العولمة في ضوء التغيرات العالمية السريعة والمتلاحقة والعميقة في آثارها وتوجهاتها المستقبلية وخاصة تلك التي شهدها الربع الاخير من القرن العشرين الماضي .إذ تحول الاقتصاد العالمي بالفعل إلى قرية صغيرة متنافسة الاطراف بفعل الثورة التكنولوجية والمعلوماتية . ولم تتوقف الامور عن هذا الحد إذ ان التطور العالمي الحديث وما سيشهده العالم من سيطرة العولمة الجديدة التي تدعو لحرية التجارة وسهولة تبادل الب

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Publication Date
Tue Jan 28 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
تداعيات الأزمة المالية على أداء الاستثمار الأجنبي المباشر: دراسة حالة : تونس – الجزائر
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تهدف الدراسة إلى معالجة مشكلة تداعيات الأزمة المالية العالمية على أداء الاستثمار الأجنبي المباشر لكل من تونس والجزائر، ومن خلال ما يفرضه النظام العالمي المعولم فانه من المؤكد أن الاستثمارات الأجنبية المباشرة لدول الدراسة ستتأثر سلبا بهذه الأزمة لكن بدراجات متفاوتة نظرا لخصوصية كل اقتصاد ودرجة ارتباطه بالاقتصاد العالمي . وقد خلصت الدراسة إلى أن الأزمة المالية العالمية غيرت خارطة توزيع الاستثمارات الأجنب

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Publication Date
Tue Jun 30 2015
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Market Research And Consumer Protection
Indicators Trends Of Populaion Structure Composition In Iraq And Their Relationship With Dependency Rates For The Period (1986-2010).: Indicators Trends Of Populaion Structure Composition In Iraq And Their Relationship With Dependency Rates For The Period (1986-2010).
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Iraq within the ranks of the fledgling communities characterized by a broad base of the population pyramid, because they pose the age group (under 15 years) of a large proportion of the community, as it exceeded the proportion (40%) during the years of research extended (1986-2010) Despite the relative decline in the rates fertility during that period, but the proportion of young people remained high, especially for groups of at least five years, amounting to about 14% in 2012, a little more than the proportion of what constitutes age group (5-9 above) years, where it was (13%) and this naturally predicts continuing population increases in coming decades, due to the entry of those numbers of individuals in the reproductive stage,

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Publication Date
Tue Sep 07 2021
Journal Name
مجلة دراسات تربوية
Spatial variation of students in secondary school in Iraq for the 2006- 2011 period
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The research, whose goal was to study students' failure in secondary school in Iraq, found that 50% of the Iraqi governorates achieved the lowest student failure rates, and Baghdad governorate had the highest percentage of repeaters. And that half of the provinces in Iraq have males constitute 70% of the repeaters, and failure in the exam represented 79.7% of the reasons for failure, and that half of the students who failed are confined to the first and third intermediate grades at a rate of 51.9% , and the research revealed that the security instability was the most influential factor in Students fai

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Publication Date
Sun Jun 01 2014
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Estimate the Best production function of the General Company for Iraqi Cement for the period (1996-2010)
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     The General Company for Iraqi Cement is regarded as one of the companies that contribute to support the Iraqi economy. It contributes to provide the material of cement which fulfils the consumer and investment need in the markets in competitive prices and not to resort to the importing of the cement from abroad. That would save a great share of the purchase parity of the poor sectors of society. The estimation  of production function will contribute to putting the company.

The application functions of  the standard production of  benefit critical to clarify the actual relationship between production & its components, & allow to clarify the i

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Publication Date
Mon Jun 05 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Effect of Public Debt on The Trade Balance in Iraq For The Period (2003-2021)
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Despite the significant increase in public spending in Iraq, it was not directed toward the important sectors that have an important role in correcting the productive structure. Rather, most of the public expenditure was going to cover the required imports, or to face shocks, whether security or health, and this caused a continuous decrease in the volume of Iraq's exports of goods and services, as the aim of the study was to review the importance of public debt and its impact on the trade balance, as well as to know the economic policies that can contribute to strengthening the trade balance, as the study proved through the (ARDL) model that there is a direct relationship between the domestic debt and the net trade balance, and an invers

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Publication Date
Sun Feb 03 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Radioactive contamination in Iraq and its impact on birth defects for the period (2004-2013)
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In the present time, radioactive contamination is considered one of the most dangerous types of environmental pollution. It usually takes place because of a leakage of radioactive materials to one of the environment natural components, such as, water, air, and soil. Iraq is considered one of the most contaminated environments in the world; this is closely associated with the wars Iraq had suffered from; especially, in 1991 and 2003. Considering the importance of the radioactive contamination and its different health impacts on the population, the current paper is interested in studying this type of environmental contamination and its impact on the birth defects depending on the data available in the annual reports issued by the Iraqi min

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Publication Date
Thu Dec 26 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Factors affecting the support of local investment in iraq for the period(1996-2015)
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This paper aims to explain the effect of the taxes policy including direct & indirect taxes on supporting the domestic Investment in Iraq. This could help the official planners for drawing the future policies that help provoking (istumlating) the domestic investment in Iraq the quantitative analysis approach was adopted using regression model. The results showed the significance of the effects of both direct & indirect taxes policies on domestic as a simple correlation coefficient ( r ) of ( 0.6 ) , ( 0.64 ) respectively.  

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Publication Date
Tue Feb 05 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Geographical distribution of the potato crop in the district of Abo – Ghraib, 2005- 2011
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Source of energy and protein Field crops considered an important needed for human
beings Due of this fact increases should appear in the quantities of their production in order to
meet the needs of continuous increasing in the population of the glope year after year ;
otherwise, an increase in the gap between the amount of production and consumption will
occur .
This study aims to reveal the geographical distribution of the potato crop in the district
of Abu – Ghraib. For this purpose, a study conducted about the cultivated areas, production
and crop yields per Dunam for period of 7 years lasted from 2005-2011.
The study shows that potato is one of the most important field crops that are grown in
the Abu –

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