Researcher Image
مناف يوسف حمود دهام - Munaf Yousif Hmood
PhD - professor
College of Administration and Economics , Statistics
[email protected]
Summary

Bachelor of Statistics (1998) - Master of Science in Statistics (2001) - Ph.D in Statistics (2005) - Professor (2015); Former Director for Continuous Education Center;Former Dean of the College of Administration and Economics-University of BaghdadProfessor (Full) at University of Baghdad-Iraq

Qualifications

Professor of Statistics with a PhD in the field since 2005, I am honored to share my expertise at the Department of Statistics, University of Baghdad. My research focuses on Non-parametric and Semi-parametric Density and Regression function estimations, time series analysis, mathematical statistics, and stochastic processes.

Responsibility

Chairman of the Scientific Committee - Statistics Department - University of Baghdad 2020-2021, 2021-2022 Member of the Preparatory Committee for the 16th Local and 3nd International Conference of the Iraqi Society for Statistical Sciences. 2021 Former Dean of the College of Administration and Economics- University of Baghdad (2018-2019). Former Director of Continuity Center- University of Baghdad (2016-2018). Vice Chairman of the Iraqi Association for Statistical Sciences (2019-2025),

Awards and Memberships

Awards 1- The Reward of the Iraqi super students, (BS.c) 1998 2- Creativity Award presented by the Ministry of Higher Education, Research and Development Department about my master's thesis.2001 3- The first student award at the level of doctoral graduates on administration and economics, presented by the President of the University of Baghdad 2006

Membership: 1- 1. Member of the Administrative Board of the Iraqi Society for Statistical Sciences 2019-2025. 2. Member of the Administrative Board of the Union of Arab Statisticians from 2016-2022. 3. Member of the General Assembly of the Professional Association in ModTech Lasi-Romania- Branch of Iraq.

Research Interests

Stochastic ProcessesStatistical ModelingRegression AnalysisData AnalysisTime SeriesApplied StatisticsStatistical InferenceMarkov ChainsMathematical StatisticsProbabilityMaximum LikelihoodTime Series AnalysisComputational StatisticsHypothesis TestingNormal DistributionPoisson DistributionStatistical TestingDistribution TheoryModel BuildingProbability LearningDensity EstimationKernel Density EstimationStandard DeviationDescriptive StatisticsNonparametric StatisticsRegression ModelingCorrelation CoefficientConfidence IntervalsSemiparametricMultivariate Statistics

Academic Area

Statistics

Teaching

Mathematics (B.Sc), Dept. of Public Administration Index numbers and Time Series (B.Sc), Dept. of Economics Operations Research (B.Sc) , Dept. of Public Administration Operations Research (M.Sc), Dept. of Statistics Time series (MS.c), Dept. of Statistics Numerical Analysis, Dept. of Statistics Stochastic Processes (MS.c), Dept. of Statistics Mathematical Statistics (B.Sc), Dept. of Statistics Probability (B.Sc), Dept. of Statistics Advanced Statistics (MS.c), Dept. of Business Administration Stochastic Processes (BS.c), Dept. of Statistics Biostatistics (BS.c), Dept. of Statistics Biostatistics (MS.c), Dept. of Statistics Biostatistics (MS.c), Dept. of Dental Mathematical Statistics (MS.c), Dept. of Statistics Smoothing Techniques (Ph.D.), Dept. of Statistics Forecasting methods (MS.c) , Dept. of Statistics Advanced Statistics (Ph.D.),Dept. of Public Administration Advanced Statistics (Ph.D.), Dept. of Business Administration Simple Linear Regression, Dept. of Statistics Multiple Linear Regression, Dept. of Statistics

Supervision

1- Comparing some Kernel estimation methods in complete and Incomplete Data. , Statistics (MS.c). 2-Some Semiparametric estimators to estimate the electricity consumption function in the city of Baghdad, , Statistics (MS.c). 3- Use of hidden Markov chains in the discrimination rates of inflation in Iraq. (MS.c) operation research. 4-Estimating Semiparametric Models in the presence missing values. Statistics (MS.c). 5- Building a multi-level hierarchical model with an application in the environmental field. Statistics (MS.c) 6-Methods for estimating and selecting variables for the single-index model. Statistics (Ph.D.). 7-Methods for estimating the parameters of the Levy process with application in the economic field. Statistics (MS.c) 8- Parametric and semi-parametric methods for estimating the transformation function. Statistics (MS.c) 9-Estimation of the semi-parametric regression function with measurement error with practical application. Statistics (MS.c) 10-Using quality control methods and 6-SIGMA to determine the quality of water leaving two government water treatment plants. Statistics (Higher Diploma) 11-Using Copula functions in estimating multivariate probability density functions with practical application. Statistics (Ph.D.) 12 - Comparing wavelet and Kernel estimators in estimating partial linear models with practical application. Statistics (MS.c) 13-Multivariate Fractional Brownian Motion Analysis Using Wavelet Transform Estimators. Statistics (Ph.D.)
14-Regression Model Estimation foe Big Data using Greedy Algorithms with Application. Statistics (Ph.D.) 15- Use of Semiparaetric Methods for Estimating Error Distribution in Single Index Model with Application. Statistics (MS.c) 16-Building a General Additive Hierarchical Model with Application. Statistics (Ph.D.) 17- Estimation of a Partial Linear Single Index Models with Application. Statistics (MS.c) 18- Robust Nonparametric Estimates for Nonstationary Time Series Model with Application. Statistics (MS.c) 19- Estimation of The Nonparametric Density Function Using Kernel Copula Functions Based on The Probit Transformation With Practical Application.Statistics (Ph.D.)

Publication Date
Sat Sep 10 2022
Journal Name
Pakistan Journal Of Statistics And Operation Research
Continuous wavelet estimation for multivariate fractional Brownian motion

 In this paper, we propose a method using continuous wavelets to study the multivariate fractional Brownian motion through the deviations of the transformed random process to find an efficient estimate of Hurst exponent using eigenvalue regression of the covariance matrix. The results of simulations experiments shown that the performance of the proposed estimator was efficient in bias but the variance get increase as signal change from short to long memory the MASE increase relatively. The estimation process was made by calculating the eigenvalues for the variance-covariance matrix of Meyer’s continuous wavelet details coefficients.

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Fri Jan 01 2021
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Wed Dec 01 2021
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International Journal Of Agricultural And Statistical Sciences
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Publication Date
Sat May 01 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of Physics: Conference Series
Discrete wavelet based estimator for the Hurst parameter of multivariate fractional Brownian motion
Abstract<p>In this paper, wavelets were used to study the multivariate fractional Brownian motion through the deviations of the random process to find an efficient estimation of Hurst exponent. The results of simulations experiments were shown that the performance of the proposed estimator was efficient. The estimation process was made by taking advantage of the detail coefficients stationarity from the wavelet transform, as the variance of this coefficient showed the power-low behavior. We use two wavelet filters (Haar and db5) to manage minimizing the mean square error of the model.</p>
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Fri Jan 01 2021
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Sat Jan 01 2022
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International Journal Of Agricultural And Statistical Sciences
ON ERROR DISTRIBUTION WITH SINGLE INDEX MODEL

In this paper, the error distribution function is estimated for the single index model by the empirical distribution function and the kernel distribution function. Refined minimum average variance estimation (RMAVE) method is used for estimating single index model. We use simulation experiments to compare the two estimation methods for error distribution function with different sample sizes, the results show that the kernel distribution function is better than the empirical distribution function.

Scopus
Publication Date
Sat Jul 03 2021
Journal Name
Periodicals Of Engineering And Natural Sciences (pen)
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Wed Jan 01 2020
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Bayesian and non-Bayesian estimation of the lomax model based on upper record values under weighted LINEX loss function

In this article, we developed a new loss function, as the simplification of linear exponential loss function (LINEX) by weighting LINEX function. We derive a scale parameter, reliability and the hazard functions in accordance with upper record values of the Lomax distribution (LD). To study a small sample behavior performance of the proposed loss function using a Monte Carlo simulation, we make a comparison among maximum likelihood estimator, Bayesian estimator by means of LINEX loss function and Bayesian estimator using square error loss (SE) function. The consequences have shown that a modified method is the finest for valuing a scale parameter, reliability and hazard functions.

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Publication Date
Wed Jan 01 2020
Journal Name
Periodicals Of Engineering And Natural Sciences
Estimation of return stock rate by using wavelet and kernel smoothers

This article aim to estimate the Return Stock Rate of the private banking sector, with two banks, by adopting a Partial Linear Model based on the Arbitrage Pricing Model (APT) theory, using Wavelet and Kernel Smoothers. The results have proved that the wavelet method is the best. Also, the results of the market portfolio impact and inflation rate have proved an adversely effectiveness on the rate of return, and direct impact of the money supply.

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Scopus
Publication Date
Wed Jan 01 2020
Journal Name
Periodicals Of Engineering And Natural Sciences
Analyzing big data sets by using different panelized regression methods with application: Surveys of multidimensional poverty in Iraq

Poverty phenomenon is very substantial topic that determines the future of societies and governments and the way that they deals with education, health and economy. Sometimes poverty takes multidimensional trends through education and health. The research aims at studying multidimensional poverty in Iraq by using panelized regression methods, to analyze Big Data sets from demographical surveys collected by the Central Statistical Organization in Iraq. We choose classical penalized regression method represented by The Ridge Regression, Moreover; we choose another penalized method which is the Smooth Integration of Counting and Absolute Deviation (SICA) to analyze Big Data sets related to the different poverty forms in Iraq. Euclidian Distanc

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Sat Sep 01 2012
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2012 International Conference On Statistics In Science, Business And Engineering (icssbe)
A proposal method for selecting smoothing parameter with missing values

In this paper we proposed a new method for selecting a smoothing parameter in kernel estimator to estimate a nonparametric regression function in the presence of missing values. The proposed method is based on work on the golden ratio and Surah AL-E-Imran in the Qur'an. Simulation experiments were conducted to study a small sample behavior. The results proved the superiority the proposed on the competition method for selecting smoothing parameter.

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Wed Mar 30 2022
Using Quadratic Form Ratio Multiple Test to Estimate Linear Regression Model Parameters in Big Data with Application: Child Labor in Iraq

              The current paper proposes a new estimator for the linear regression model parameters under Big Data circumstances.  From the diversity of Big Data variables comes many challenges that  can be interesting to the  researchers who try their best to find new and novel methods to estimate the parameters of linear regression model. Data has been collected by Central Statistical Organization IRAQ, and the child labor in Iraq has been chosen as data. Child labor is the most vital phenomena that both society and education are suffering from and it affects the future of our next generation. Two methods have been selected to estimate the parameter

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Publication Date
Thu Apr 30 2020
Estimate the Partial Linear Model Using Wavelet and Kernel Smoothers

This article aims to estimate the partially linear model by using two methods, which are the Wavelet and Kernel Smoothers. Simulation experiments are used to study the small sample behavior depending on different functions, sample sizes, and variances. Results explained that the wavelet smoother is the best depending on the mean average squares error criterion for all cases that used.

 

 

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Publication Date
Fri Apr 12 2019
Compare between simex and Quassi-likelihood methods in estimation of regression function in the presence of measurement error

       In recent years, the attention of researchers has increased of semi-parametric regression models, because it is possible to integrate the parametric and non-parametric regression models in one and then form a regression model has the potential to deal with the cruse of dimensionality in non-parametric models that occurs through the increasing of explanatory variables. Involved in the analysis and then decreasing the accuracy of the estimation. As well as the privilege of this type of model with flexibility in the application field compared to the parametric models which comply with certain conditions such as knowledge of the distribution of errors or the parametric models may

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Publication Date
Mon Aug 01 2016
"Compared some of the semi-parametric methods in analysis of single index model "

As the process of  estimate for model and variable selection significant is a crucial process in the semi-parametric modeling At the beginning of the modeling process often At there are many explanatory variables to Avoid the loss of any explanatory elements may be important as a result , the selection of significant variables become necessary , so the process of variable selection is not intended to simplifying  model complexity explanation , and also predicting. In this research was to use some of the semi-parametric methods (LASSO-MAVE , MAVE and The proposal method (Adaptive LASSO-MAVE) for variable selection and estimate semi-parametric single index model (SSIM) at the same time .

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Publication Date
Mon Oct 22 2018
Using simulation to compare between parametric and nonparametric transfer function model

In this paper, The transfer function model in the time series was estimated using different methods, including parametric Represented by the method of the Conditional Likelihood Function, as well as the use of abilities nonparametric are in two methods  local linear regression and cubic smoothing spline method, This research aims to compare those capabilities with the nonlinear transfer function model by using the style of simulation and the study of two models as output variable and one model as input variable in addition t

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Publication Date
Thu Dec 01 2016
Use the le'vy Model on stock returns for some Iraqi banks estimate

 

In this article we  study a single stochastic process model for the evaluate the assets pricing and stock.,On of the models le'vy . depending on the so –called Brownian subordinate as it has been depending on the so-called Normal Inverse Gaussian (NIG). this article aims as the estimate that the parameters of his model using my way (MME,MLE) and then employ those  estimate of the parameters is the study of stock returns and evaluate asset pricing for both the united Bank and Bank of North which their data were taken from the Iraq stock Exchange.

which showed the results to a preference MLE on MME based on the standard of comparison the average square e

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Publication Date
Wed Apr 01 2015
Multi-level model of the factors that affect the escalation of dust in Iraq

In this research The study of Multi-level  model (partial pooling model) we consider The partial pooling model which is one Multi-level  models and one of  the Most important models and extensive use and application in the analysis of the data .This Model characterized by the fact that the treatments take hierarchical or structural Form, in this partial pooling models, Full Maximum likelihood FML was used to estimated parameters of partial pooling models (fixed and random ), comparison between the preference of these Models, The application was on the Suspended Dust data in Iraq, The data were for four and a half years .Eight stations were selected randomly  among the stations in Iraq. We use Akaik′s Informa

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Publication Date
Sat Dec 01 2012
Comparing Several Nonlinear Estimators for Regression Function

The aim of this paper is to estimate a nonlinear regression function of the Export of the crude oil Saudi (in Million Barrels) as a function of the number of discovered fields.

 Through studying the behavior of the data we show that its behavior was not followed a linear pattern or can put it in a known form so far there was no possibility to see a general trend resulting from such exports.

We use different nonlinear estimators to estimate a regression function, Local linear estimator, Semi-parametric as well as an artificial neural network estimator (ANN).

The results proved that the (ANN) estimator is the best nonlinear estimator am

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Publication Date
Sun Aug 06 2023
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Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Probit and Improved Probit Transform-Based Kernel Estimator for Copula Density

Copula modeling is widely used in modern statistics. The boundary bias problem is one of the problems faced when estimating by nonparametric methods, as kernel estimators are the most common in nonparametric estimation. In this paper, the copula density function was estimated using the probit transformation nonparametric method in order to get rid of the boundary bias problem that the kernel estimators suffer from. Using simulation for three nonparametric methods to estimate the copula density function and we proposed a new method that is better than the rest of the methods by five types of copulas with different sample sizes and different levels of correlation between the copula variables and the different parameters for the function. The

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Thu Jun 01 2023
Journal Name
International Journal Of Agricultural And Statistical Sciences
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Using Nonparametric Procedure to Develop an OCMT Estimator for Big Data Linear Regression Model with Application Chemical Pollution in the Tigris River

Chemical pollution is a very important issue that people suffer from and it often affects the nature of health of society and the future of the health of future generations. Consequently, it must be considered in order to discover suitable models and find descriptions to predict the performance of it in the forthcoming years. Chemical pollution data in Iraq take a great scope and manifold sources and kinds, which brands it as Big Data that need to be studied using novel statistical methods. The research object on using Proposed Nonparametric Procedure NP Method to develop an (OCMT) test procedure to estimate parameters of linear regression model with large size of data (Big Data) which comprises many indicators associated with chemi

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Wed Oct 17 2018
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Tue Jan 01 2019
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Tue Jun 01 2021
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Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
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Mon Jan 01 2024
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The International Journal Of Central Banking
USING SOME NONPARAMETRIC ESTIMATORS OF THE ERROR CORRECTION MODEL TO MEASURE THE EFFECT OF CHANGES IN BANK DEPOSITS ON THE MONEY SUPPLY

In this paper, the effect of changes in bank deposits on the money supply in Iraq was studied by estimating the error correction model (ECM) for monthly time series data for the period (2010-2015) . The Philips Perron was used to test the stationarity and also we used Engle and Granger to test the cointegration . we used cubic spline and local polynomial estimator to estimate regression function .The result show that local polynomial was better than cubic spline with the first level of cointegration.

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