ان الاستثمار في راس المال البشري االمتمثل بالقوى العاملة مرتبط بالتنمية المستدامة وان الانسان هو الثروة الحقيقية للأمم. والانفاق على التعليم تكون له انعكاسات ايجابية على الواقع الاقتصادي ووالاجتماعي والسياسي. ومن اجل تحديد العوامل المؤثرة على القوى العاملة تم تحليل العلاقة السببية (كرانجر) بين القوى العاملة و عدد الخريجين والسكان وعدد الجامعات والناتج المحلي الاجمالي والانفاق على االتعليم العالي ، بوجود علاقة سببية معنوية وباتجاه واحد عند2 و 3 و4 فترات تباطء زمني متجهة من القوى االعاملة االى السكان وعدد الجامعات ، وقد ظهرت سببية كرانجر معنوية وباتجاهين بين الانفاق على التعليم والناتج المحلي الاجمالي عند3 و4 فترات تباطئ زمني. وكذلك وجود علاقة تكامل مشترك بين المتغيرات المدروسة في حالة كون القوى العاملةا متغيرا تابعاا .ويشير إلى وجود توازن طويل الاجل .كما ان التغير ابنسبة 1% في المتغيرات المدروسة اثر اعلى القوى العاملة بنسب امختلفة لكن عدد االجامعات كان العامل الاكثر تأثيراً في زيادة القوى العاملة.
In this paper, we present a comparison of double informative priors which are assumed for the parameter of inverted exponential distribution.To estimate the parameter of inverted exponential distribution by using Bayes estimation ,will be used two different kind of information in the Bayes estimation; two different priors have been selected for the parameter of inverted exponential distribution. Also assumed Chi-squared - Gamma distribution, Chi-squared - Erlang distribution, and- Gamma- Erlang distribution as double priors. The results are the derivations of these estimators under the squared error loss function with three different double priors.
Additionally Maximum likelihood estimation method
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Abstracto:
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Abstract
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