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ARIMA-NN Model for Drugs Sales Forecasting in the United States
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This study proposes a new version of the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model using Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) denoted by ARIMA-NN. The new model incorporates a multi-layer perceptron with matrix multiplication within a feed-forward network. The logistic, hyperbolic tangent (tanh), and sigmoid activation functions are used for weight updates in ARIMA-NN. A new forecasting algorithm is proposed, and one-step and multiple-steps forecasting procedures are rigorously analyzed. The proposed model was evaluated against existing forecasting model using performance metrics such as the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) and Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) to assess its effectiveness. The U.S. Census Bureau (www.census.gov) provides a data set of monthly drug sales spanning ten years (2014-2024), which is utilized in the study. The ARIMA-NN model is applied to generate forecasts for drug sales in the U.S. for the next four years to demonstrate the models' utility and efficacy. All the computations and visualizations are performed using various R packages in version 4.3.2.

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Publication Date
Sun Jun 01 2025
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
Rebellious Self - A Reading in Madame Bovary's Character of Flubert and Hanna Konin by Amos Oz - Comparative study: האני המורדת - קריאה בדמותה של מאדאם בובארי של פלובר וחנה גונן של עמוס עוז – מחקר השוואתי
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The problem of rebellion is considered one of the features of rapid changes that a society undergoes in all spheres and directions of life, especially in the realm of social relations, customs, traditions, values, and principles. Rebellion may manifest itself in rebellion against oneself, against values or traditions, or against social or governmental authority. One may find that submission plays a vital role in all of these interactions. This study deals with the problem of rebellion in the works of two renowned authors: The French Gustave Flaubert and the Israeli Amos Oz, through two main characters who share similar qualities and traits. Emma Bovary and Henna Konin demonstrate this through their rebellion against themselves, their relati

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Publication Date
Wed Apr 25 2018
Journal Name
Oriental Journal Of Chemistry
Diagnosis, Structure, and In vitro Antimicrobial and Antifungal Evaluation of some Amino benzoic acids, derived Ligand Schiff base and their Mixed Complexes with Cu(II), Hg(II), Mn(II), Ni(II) and Co(II)
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Innovative various Schiff bases and their Co(II), Ni(II) and Cu(II) and Hg(II)  compounds made by the condensation of 4-amino antipyrine with derived aminobenzoic acid (2-aminobenzoic acid, 3-aminobenzoic acid, and 4-aminobenzoic acid ) have been prepared by conventional approaches. These complexes were described by magnetic sensibility analysis, FT-IR spectra, and molar-conductance and elemental analysis. Analytical values appeared which the mixed-ligand complexes presented ratio about 2:1 (ligand: metal) with the chelation 4 or 6. The prepared compounds offered a good effect on the organisms; bacteria Staphylococcus-aurous, Escherichia-coli and fungi C. albicans, A. niger. Also, the biological products signalize which the mixed compl

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Publication Date
Fri Sep 03 2010
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Analysis of Grammatical Forms and Semantic Functions of Hedging in Political Discourse: American Presidential Debate: تحلیل نماذج نحویة ذات وظائف دلالیة مستعملة في الخطاب السیاسي بوصفھ اسلوباً تحوطیاً: المناظرة الرئاسیة الاولى في الانتخابات الامریكیة
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Hedging is a linguistic avoidance of full commitment or precision. It is the use of a vague language. The main objectives of this study are to

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Publication Date
Tue Jan 01 2019
Journal Name
Advances In Materials Physics And Chemistry
The Role of Cooling Condition on the Superconducting Properties of Tl<sub>2-x</sub>Hg<sub>x</sub>Sr<sub>2</sub>Ca<sub>2</sub>Cu<sub>3</sub>O<sub>10+δ</sub> System
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Publication Date
Thu Dec 31 2020
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Market Research And Consumer Protection
STUDY THE INHIBITION ACTIVITY OF PURIFIED BACTERIOCIN FROM LOCAL ISOLATION Lactococcuslactis ssp. lactisagainst SOME PATHOGENIC BACTERIAL SPECIES ISOLATED FROM CLINICAL SAMPLES: دراسة الفعالية التثبيطية للبكتريوسين المنقى من العزلة المحلية Lactococcuslactis ssp. Lactis تجاه بعض البكتريا الممرضة المعزولة من عينات سريرية
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This study aimed to study the inhibition activity of purified bacteriocin produced from the local isolation Lactococcuslactis ssp. lactis against pathogenic bacteria species isolated from clinical samples in some hospitals Baghdad city. Screening of L. lactis ssp. Lactis and isolated from the intestines fish and raw milk was performed in well diffusion method. The results showed that L. lactis ssp. lactis (Lc4) was the most efficient isolate in producing the bacteriocin as well observed inhibitory activity the increased that companied with the concentration, the concentration of the twice filtrate was better in obtaining higher inhibition diameters compared to the one-fold concentration. The concentrate

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Publication Date
Mon Sep 20 2021
Journal Name
Key Engineering Materials
Fabrication of Ge<sub>30</sub>Te <sub>70-x</sub>Sb<sub>x</sub> Glasses Alloys and Studying the Effect of Partial Substitution on D.C Electrical Energy Parameters
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The non-linear components has been emphasized for its multiple applications in rewritable recording and data storage devices. Chalcogenide glasses materials are promising due to their high refractive index. In this paper, alloys for Ge30Te70-xSbxglasses semiconductor (where x =0.0, 5, 10, 15 and 20) will be fabricated by melt quenching method. The effect of partial substitution on DC electric power parameters, and its knowledge of electrical conduction mechanisms, were investigated to determine the effect of Antimony on the density of extended states, local states, and in Fermi energy states. The electrical measurements revealed the existence of three conduction mechanis

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 01 2024
Journal Name
Heliyon
Synthesis and Characterization of Some Metal Ions Complexes with Mixed Ligand of Azo Dye and Metformin and Evaluation of its Effectiveness on the Growth of Some Pathogenic Bacteria Clinically Isolated and Study of its Toxicity on Normal and Cancerous Hepatocytes
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Publication Date
Mon Aug 19 2024
Journal Name
Journal Of Metastable And Nanocrystalline Materials
The Structural, Magnetic, and Electrochemical Properties of Composite PAni/Co<sub>0.2</sub>Mn<sub>0.8</sub>Fe<sub>2</sub>O<sub>4</sub>
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The current work concerns preparing cobalt manganese ferrite (Co0.2Mn0.8Fe2O4) and decorating it with polyaniline (PAni) for supercapacitor applications. The X-ray diffraction findings (XRD) manifested a broad peak of PAni and a cubic structure of cobalt manganese ferrite with crystal sizes between 21 nm. The pictures were taken with a field emission scanning electron microscope (FE-SEM), which evidenced that the PAni has nanofibers (NFs) structures, grain size 33 – 55 nm, according to the method of preparation, where the hydrothermal method was used. The magnetic measurements (VSM) that were conducted at room temperature showed that the samples had definite magnetic properties. Additionally, it was noted that the saturation magnetizatio

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Publication Date
Tue May 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Physics: Conference Series
Partial substitution of Zn Effects on the Structural and Electrical Properties of High Temperature Hg<sub>0.95</sub>Ag<sub>0.05</sub>Ba<sub>2</sub>Ca<sub>2</sub>Cu<sub>3</sub>O<sub>8+δ</sub> Superconductors
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Publication Date
Sun Sep 01 2024
Journal Name
Heliyon
Synthesis and characterization of some Metal ions complexes with mixed ligand of azo dye and Metformin and evaluation of its effectiveness on the growth of some pathogenic bacteria clinically isolated and study of its Toxicity on normal and cancerous Hepatocytes
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