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تحليل مؤشرات الأهلية الائتمانية السيادية للاقتصاد العراقي للمدة (2004- 2015)
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The research aims at analyzing the indicators of the sovereign credit of oil and without oil to determine the face of the Iraqi economy from the challenges that would impede the process of growth and economic development for the period (2004-2015).

       the research tries to show some lessons to be learned from those indicators, Many of the most important conclusions, acceptance of the hypothesis of research and the weakness of sovereign credit capacity in Iraq to bear the sovereign debt and its burden and work to achieve sustainable economic and social development "in an economy in which oil is neutralized as a single commodity depends on them to meet the requirements of efficiency and efficiency The index of the ratio of imports to exports without oil reflects in real terms the ability of the economy to bear the burden of imports, and that the high rates of this index by more than 100%, it demonstrates the weakness of the Iraqi economy and to the significant decline in the credit rating of Iraq and thus weakening its creditworthiness without oil .

          And recommended the research to invest in the productive sectors and encourage exports through the formation of an export sector and follow the strategy of production for export, as well as investment in government securities, along with oil revenues, and tax revenues and revitalize the tourism sector, To be an effective supporter in supporting the budget without resorting to borrowing to fill the deficit.

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Publication Date
Sun Feb 28 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Effects of Macroeconomic Variables on Gross Domestic Product in Saudi Arabia using ARDL model for the period 1993-2019
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This paper analyses the relationship between selected macroeconomic variables and gross domestic product (GDP) in Saudi Arabia for the period 1993-2019. Specifically, it measures the effects of interest rate, oil price, inflation rate, budget deficit and money supply on the GDP of Saudi Arabia. The method employs in this paper is based on a descriptive analysis approach and ARDL model through the Bounds testing approach to cointegration. The results of the research reveal that the budget deficit, oil price and money supply have positive significant effects on GDP, while other variables have no effects on GDP and turned out to be insignificant. The findings suggest that both fiscal and monetary policies should be fo

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Publication Date
Tue Oct 01 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The Impact of Exchange Rate Fluctuations on the Behavior of the Stock Markets in the Turkish Economy
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             A discussion about the repercussions of the exchange rate on the behavior of stock markets became one of the basic principles of financial economics. The Istanbul Stock Exchange , considered  one of the fastest financial markets growing in the region, driven by solid economic activity, for a diversified economy  which classified as one of the the fastest growing economies in the world. However, the aforementioned market witnessed sharp fluctuations in the past few months, coinciding with the continuous fluctuations in the exchange rate of the Turkish lira, posing a serious challenge to the economic and investment environment in a c

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Publication Date
Sun Oct 01 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
discriminate analysis and logistic regression existence of multicolleniarty problem(Empirical Study on Anemia)
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The method binery logistic regression and linear discrimint function of the most important statistical methods used in the classification and prediction when the data of the kind of binery (0,1) you can not use the normal regression therefore resort to binary logistic regression and linear discriminant function in the case of two group in the case of a Multicollinearity problem between the data (the data containing high correlation) It became not possible to use binary logistic regression and linear discriminant function, to solve this problem, we resort to Partial least square regression.

In this, search the comparison between binary lo

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Publication Date
Wed Oct 17 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
discriminate analysis and logistic regression by use partial least square
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Abstract

   The method binery logistic regression and linear discrimint function of the most important statistical methods used in the classification and prediction when the data of the kind of binery (0,1) you can not use the normal regression therefore resort to binary logistic regression and linear discriminant function in the case of two group in the case of a Multicollinearity problem between the data (the data containing high correlation) It became not possible to use binary logistic regression and linear discriminant function, to solve this problem, we resort to Partial least square regression.

In this, search th

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Publication Date
Sat Dec 01 2012
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
ESTIMATION OF COEFFICIENTS AND SCALE PARAMETER FOR LINEAR (TYPE 1) EXTREME VALUE REGRESSION MODEL FOR LARGEST VALUES WITH APPLICATIONS
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In this paper we estimate the coefficients and scale parameter in linear regression model depending on the residuals are of type 1 of extreme  value distribution for the largest values . This can be regard as an improvement for the studies with the smallest values . We study two estimation methods ( OLS  & MLE ) where we resort to Newton – Raphson (NR) and Fisher Scoring methods to get MLE estimate because the difficulty of using the usual approach with MLE . The relative efficiency criterion is considered beside to the statistical inference procedures for the extreme value regression model of type 1 for largest values . Confidence interval , hypothesis testing for both scale parameter and regression coefficients

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Publication Date
Mon Feb 01 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Problematic of Non Performing Banking Loans in Iraq and the Methods of Treatment
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The banking system considered as one of the most important intermediate circle between creditor and debtors it is mean the most important funding rings in economic activity, whether finance takes the a consumer or investment form and therefore it is the main base to stimulate economic activity both on the demand side, both consumption and investment and therefore of the main motivating factors for economic growth.

The banking system depends in achieve its goals on the grants and loan recovery, or what is known credit process and according to what the importance referred to the role of the banking system, it is important to ensure the safety and efficiency of the mechanisms of banking device and safety is

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Publication Date
Fri Jul 01 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Determine the best model to predict the consumption of electric energy in the southern region
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Abstract:          

                Interest in the topic of prediction has increased in recent years and appeared modern methods such as Artificial Neural Networks models, if these methods are able to learn and adapt self with any model, and does not require assumptions on the nature of the time series. On the other hand, the methods currently used to predict the classic method such as Box-Jenkins may be difficult to diagnose chain and modeling because they assume strict conditions.

  

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Publication Date
Sun Jun 01 2014
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Estimation the reliability function of multi state system by using Direct Partial Logic Derivative
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In this research is estimated the function of reliability dynamic of multi state systems  and their compounds and for three types of systems (serial, parallel, 2-out-of-3) and about two states (Failure and repair) depending on calculating the structur function allow to describing the behavior of

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