The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in dete

  The research includes studying melodic and rhythmic properties, In the audio format for Iraqi musicians. The audio form is one of the important methodological forms in Arab music in general and Iraqi music in particular. It showcases its characteristics, features, internal form, and how important it is in Iraqi music.
Addressed ((the systematic framework)) presenting the research problem and the need for it. Its importance, purpose and limitations of its research, which included music ((Khaled Muhammad Ali)) as a human limit to reveal its characteristics in the composition of the audio form. And define the terms included in the research. And included ((theoretical framework)) on three topics .. The first: composing. The second

Baghdad (the capital of the Abbasid Caliphate, and his legacy oldest civilizations in history, with glory ethyl). 1. benediction this city landmarks archaeological evidence of their own Kkabbab mosques and forms gates and (Aelchenachel) 2, which adorn the walls of buildings and Chaababeckha high and palm trees, all these vocabulary inspired artists embody Baghdad warmest dissolved in their artwork and all those who lived and grew up in Baghdad embodied in his memory for the nights Beauties and their lights and Hoa_khasha. Ceramic Arts art one who embodied the most important symbols that represent the beauty and credited with Baghdad. And many Iraqis potters inspired single Baghdadi in their work, notably ceramists late arrows Saudi which

A character is one of the most important pillars of narrative production. Most critics believe that a character is the focus of events.

   Jacob Steinberg, a Jewish writer who is Ukrainian by origin, wrote many stories, most of which spoke about the lives of Jews in the diaspora, especially in Ukraine. The environment there has been reflected in his stories.

    Steinberg focused on the role of characters in shaping these productions.

   In this study, we discuss the conflict of characters in Steinberg's stories. This conflict is characterized by different trends and goals. There is a conflict with the environment, a conflict with society, a conflict with the self,

The research study of the possibility of the application of the quality management system under the international standard ISO ISO9001: 2008 in the station project Rustumiya wastewater treatment of the Department of SEWER BAGHDAD - Baghdad MOREALITY as the first step in the right direction towards the implementation of total quality management (TQM), and the research Find the gap between the international standard and the quality system used in the organization surveyed through the use of checklists to analyze the gap, the checklist have included (191) items distributed on five basic requirements, according to the appearance in the international standard, namely, (quality management system, management responsibility, resource man

The aim of the study was to study the implications of the strategic direction on organizational performance. The research was carried out in the Iraqi Ministry of Defense / Inspector General's Office for the purpose of identifying the nature of the relationship and the impact between the two variables. A sample of 60 people managers, department managers and directorates was targeted.

The researcher tried to test hypotheses in the first chapter, which was devoted to the methodology of research and previous studies and found the following: (1) validity of the first hypothesis of the existence of a relationship of positive significance of the strategic direction in its sub-dimensions with organizational perf

Directional Compact Geographic Forwarding (DCGF) routing protocol promises a minimal overhead generation by utilizing a smart antenna and Quality of Service (QoS) aware aggregation. However, DCGF was tested only in the attack-free scenario without involving the security elements. Therefore, an investigation was conducted to examine the routing protocol algorithm whether it is secure against attack-based networks in the presence of Denial-of-Service (DoS) attack. This analysis on DoS attack was carried out using a single optimal attacker, A1, to investigate the impact of DoS attack on DCGF in a communication link. The study showed that DCGF does not perform efficiently in terms of packet delivery ratio and energy consumption even on a sin

     The theatrical show depends in its formation on the technical system and the   elements that it has for the theatrical show, and among these techniques is the lighting, where every director looked for a style and method of implementing them and giving aesthetic functions and characteristics that give the theatrical show an aesthetic and interpretive dimension, and that is through   multiple expressions and connotations of the lighting in giving the show a functional and aesthetic character. Therefore, light has been shed on the lighting and its action in the theatrical show, due to its significant role in the modern theatrical shows. The current research, thus, has been divided into four chapt

      This research is based on  interaction of two most important variables to the business organizations in the current era ,  these two variables are (marketing orientation and quality of service),  this research is trying to urge the service organizations to reconsider the mechanisms adopted in the formulation of its plans, It was the application of research in Korek Telecom and Asia Cell Telecom as a sector of service active and important in the business sector in Iraq, the information was obtained through the design of the Likert questionnaire , it was distributed (92) questionnaire , (50) for the company Korek Telecom and (42) of the Asia-Cell and represent research population sample

Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is an acute disease that affects the respiratory system which initially appeared in Wuhan, China. In Feb 2019 the sickness began to spread swiftly throughout the entire planet, causing significant health, social, and economic problems. Time series is an important statistical method used to study and analyze a particular phenomenon, identify its pattern and factors, and use it to predict future values. The main focus of the research is to shed light on the study of SARIMA, NARNN, and hybrid models, expecting that the series comprises both linear and non-linear compounds, and that the ARIMA model can deal with the linear component and the NARNN model can deal with the non-linear component. The models