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jih-2631
Bayesian Structural Time Series for Forecasting Oil Prices
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There are many methods of forecasting, and these methods take data only, analyze it, make a prediction by analyzing, neglect the prior information side and do not considering the fluctuations that occur overtime. The best way to forecast oil prices that takes the fluctuations that occur overtime and is updated by entering prior information is the Bayesian structural time series (BSTS) method. Oil prices fluctuations have an important role in economic so predictions of future oil prices that are crucial for many countries whose economies depend mainly on oil, such as Iraq. Oil prices directly affect the health of the economy. Thus, it is necessary to forecast future oil price with models adapted for emerging events. In this article, we study the Bayesian structural time series (BSTS) for forecasting oil prices. Results show that the price of oil will increase to 156.2$ by 2035.

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Publication Date
Mon Oct 09 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Legal Sciences
Experimental Article
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Due to its safety, low cost, real-time nature, and widespread availability, ultrasound has been employed as a diagnostic technique for numerous intraocular disorders. Unfortunately, speckle artifact that depends on the tissue is seen in ultrasound imaging. In this study, we present a technique for lowering speckle noise and enhancing ultrasound images to enhance human diagnostic performance. This technique combines the undecimated wavelet transform (UDWT) with a wavelet coefficient mapping function, which was utilized to improve the contrast of the denoised images acquired from the first component after the noise was removed using the UDWT. This technique can be used to enhance the visual quality of medical photographs as well as to enha

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Publication Date
Sat Apr 01 2023
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Influence of Glow and Afterglow Times on the Discharge Current of Argon at Low Pressure
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     An experimental investigation of the variation of argon discharge current with a glow and afterglow time intervals of a square discharge voltage was carried out at low pressure (6-11 mbar). The discharge was created between two circular metal electrodes of diameter (7.5 cm), separated horizontally by a distance (10 cm) at the two ends of a Pyrex cylindrical tube. A composite of two Gaussian functions has been suggested to fit and explain the variation graphs clearly. It is shown that the necessary times of glow and afterglow needed to attain a maximum discharge current are (70 us) and (60 us), respectively. The discharge current is observed to drop to the lowest value when the two times are serially longer than (85 us) and (72 u

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 01 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Using Fuzzy Inference to Evaluation Suppliers in Diyala General Electric Industries Company
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The research aims to evaluate the suppliers at Diyala general electric industries company conducted in an environment of uncertainty and fuzzy where there is no particular system followed by the company, and also aims to use the problem of traveling salesman problem in the process of transporting raw materials from suppliers to the company in a fuzzy environment. Therefore, a system based on mathematical methods and quantity was developed to evaluate the suppliers. Fuzzy inference system (FIS) and fuzzy set theory were used to solve this problem through (Matlab) and the problem of the traveling salesman in two stages was also solved by the first stage of eliminating the fuzzing of the environment using the rank function method, w

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Publication Date
Fri Feb 05 2021
Journal Name
Research In Intelligent And Computing In Engineering
Implementing Web Testing System Depending on Performance Testing Using Load Testing Method.
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Web testing is very important method for users and developers because it gives the ability to detect errors in applications and check their quality to perform services to users performance abilities, user interface, security and other different types of web testing that may occur in web application. This paper focuses on a major branch of the performance testing, which is called the load testing. Load testing depends on an important elements called request time and response time. From these elements, it can be decided if the performance time of a web application is good or not. In the experimental results, the load testing applied on the website (http://ihcoedu.uobaghdad.edu.iq) the main home page and all the science departments pages. In t

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Publication Date
Tue Nov 30 2021
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
ESJF Algorithm to Improve Cloud Environment: Cloud computing
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Nowadays, after the technological development in societies, cloud computing has become one of the most important technologies. It provides users with software, hardware, and platform as remote services over the Internet. The increasing number of cloud users has caused a critical problem in how the clients receive cloud services when the cloud is in a state of instability, as it cannot provide required services and, thus, a delay occurs. Therefore, an algorithm was proposed to provide high efficiency and stability to work, because all existing tasks must operate without delay. The proposed system is an enhancement shortest job first algorithm (ESJF) using a time slice, which works by taking a task in the shortest time first and then the l

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Publication Date
Sun Apr 30 2023
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Keystroke Dynamics Authentication based on Naïve Bayes Classifier
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Authentication is the process of determining whether someone or something is,
in fact, who or what it is declared to be. As the dependence upon computers and
computer networks grows, the need for user authentication has increased. User’s
claimed identity can be verified by one of several methods. One of the most popular
of these methods is represented by (something user know), such as password or
Personal Identification Number (PIN). Biometrics is the science and technology of
authentication by identifying the living individual’s physiological or behavioral
attributes. Keystroke authentication is a new behavioral access control system to
identify legitimate users via their typing behavior. The objective of thi

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Publication Date
Sat Apr 01 2017
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
Stereotypical Frames if the Image of Women in the Iraqi TV Drama after 2003
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This study aims to deliver the woman’s image and to unveil on how to be introduced in the TV series. The research is based on the survey method-using content analysis tool. The research sample represented in the TV series produced by the IMN, which were displayed in 2014 and used the pattern of Margaret Gallagher to analyze the content of the series in accordance with the frame analysis theory.
The study came up with declination of the woman’s representation compared with man in Iraqi TV drama, also the study finds that the series introduced the woman according to the personal, social, political, and economic frames in a standardizing method. It focuses on the characteristics always attributed to it as showing her obedient of the

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 02 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Structuralism and the Problem of Text
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All modern critical approaches attempt to cover the meanings and overtones of the text, claiming that they are better than others in the analysis and attainment of the intended meanings of the text. The structural approach claims to be able to do so more than any other modern critical approach, as it claimed that it is possible to separate what is read from the reader, on the presumed belief that it is possible to read the text with a zero-memory. However, the studies in criticism of criticism state that each of these approaches is successful in dealing with the text in one or more aspects while failing in one or more aspects. Consequently, the criticism whether the approach possesses the text, or that the text rejects this possession, r

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Publication Date
Fri Dec 30 2022
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Regeneration of Engine Used Oils by Solvent Extraction
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    The regeneration of used oil is one of the essential processes for economical, industrial and environmental targets. Used oil is rich of hydrocarbons, metals (such as: aluminium, chromium, copper, iron, lead, manganese, nickel, silicon and tin), gasoline, water and antifreeze. Due to the high increasing rate of the number of cars, there is a huge quantity of used oil. In this study, different brands of used oil were involved in extraction and adsorption processes as a regeneration process of these used oils. The optimum conditions were determined such as solvents composition, solvent: oil ratio, KOH concentration and temperature. The solvent mixture of 40% of petroleum ether, 11% of 1-butanol and 4% of 2-propanol has shown the bes

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Publication Date
Thu May 17 2018
Journal Name
Ibn Al-haitham Journal For Pure And Applied Sciences
Determination of the Degree of Consumption (DoC) of Lube Engine Oils Using Fluorescence Spectroscopy
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    The accreditation of a fast, inexpensive, and simple way to discriminate between different kinds of oils and their efficacy “degree of consumption (DoC)” has been developed. The fluorescence spectroscopy provides a reliable method for oil inspection without resorting to tedious separation.

Different new and used oil samples available in the local Iraqi market were investigated. While the challenge is to build a directory containing data of all the oils available in the local market. This method expected to control the falsified (forged) trademarks of motor oils and to discriminate between different oils.

The excitation-emission spectra of oil samples were determined in the range of 200 â€

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