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jih-2631
Bayesian Structural Time Series for Forecasting Oil Prices
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There are many methods of forecasting, and these methods take data only, analyze it, make a prediction by analyzing, neglect the prior information side and do not considering the fluctuations that occur overtime. The best way to forecast oil prices that takes the fluctuations that occur overtime and is updated by entering prior information is the Bayesian structural time series (BSTS) method. Oil prices fluctuations have an important role in economic so predictions of future oil prices that are crucial for many countries whose economies depend mainly on oil, such as Iraq. Oil prices directly affect the health of the economy. Thus, it is necessary to forecast future oil price with models adapted for emerging events. In this article, we study the Bayesian structural time series (BSTS) for forecasting oil prices. Results show that the price of oil will increase to 156.2$ by 2035.

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Publication Date
Sat Dec 31 2022
Journal Name
Wasit Journal Of Computer And Mathematics Science
An Improved Method for Hiding Text in Image Using Header Image
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The necessities of steganography methods for hiding secret message into images have been ascend. Thereby, this study is to generate a practical steganography procedure to hide text into image. This operation allows the user to provide the system with both text and cover image, and to find a resulting image that comprises the hidden text inside. The suggested technique is to hide a text inside the header formats of a digital image. Least Significant Bit (LSB) method to hide the message or text, in order to keep the features and characteristics of the original image are used. A new method is applied via using the whole image (header formats) to hide the image. From the experimental results, suggested technique that gives a higher embe

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Publication Date
Tue Nov 01 2016
Journal Name
Iosr Journal Of Computer Engineering
Implementation of new Secure Mechanism for Data Deduplication in Hybrid Cloud
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Cloud computing provides huge amount of area for storage of the data, but with an increase of number of users and size of their data, cloud storage environment faces earnest problem such as saving storage space, managing this large data, security and privacy of data. To save space in cloud storage one of the important methods is data deduplication, it is one of the compression technique that allows only one copy of the data to be saved and eliminate the extra copies. To offer security and privacy of the sensitive data while supporting the deduplication, In this work attacks that exploit the hybrid cloud deduplication have been identified, allowing an attacker to gain access to the files of other users based on very small hash signatures of

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Publication Date
Thu Jan 16 2020
Journal Name
Periodicals Of Engineering And Natural Sciences
Comparison of some reliability estimation methods for Laplace distribution using simulations
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In this paper, we derived an estimator of reliability function for Laplace distribution with two parameters using Bayes method with square error loss function, Jeffery’s formula and conditional probability random variable of observation. The main objective of this study is to find the efficiency of the derived Bayesian estimator compared to the maximum likelihood of this function and moment method using simulation technique by Monte Carlo method under different Laplace distribution parameters and sample sizes. The consequences have shown that Bayes estimator has been more efficient than the maximum likelihood estimator and moment estimator in all samples sizes

Publication Date
Tue Dec 05 2023
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
AlexNet-Based Feature Extraction for Cassava Classification: A Machine Learning Approach
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Cassava, a significant crop in Africa, Asia, and South America, is a staple food for millions. However, classifying cassava species using conventional color, texture, and shape features is inefficient, as cassava leaves exhibit similarities across different types, including toxic and non-toxic varieties. This research aims to overcome the limitations of traditional classification methods by employing deep learning techniques with pre-trained AlexNet as the feature extractor to accurately classify four types of cassava: Gajah, Manggu, Kapok, and Beracun. The dataset was collected from local farms in Lamongan Indonesia. To collect images with agricultural research experts, the dataset consists of 1,400 images, and each type of cassava has

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 01 2024
Journal Name
Recent Research On Geotechnical Engineering, Remote Sensing, Geophysics And Earthquake Seismology
Evaluating the Accuracy of iPhone Lidar Sensor for Building Façades Conservation
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Publication Date
Thu May 15 2014
Journal Name
Monthly Notices Of The Royal Astronomical Society
Gravitational lensing in WDM cosmologies: the cross-section for giant arcs
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The nature of the dark sector of the Universe remains one of the outstanding problems in modern cosmology, with the search for new observational probes guiding the development of the next generation of observational facilities. Clues come from tension between the predictions from Λ cold dark matter (ΛCDM) and observations of gravitationally lensed galaxies. Previous studies showed that galaxy clusters in the ΛCDM are not strong enough to reproduce the observed number of lensed arcs. This work aims to constrain the warm dark matter (WDM) cosmologies by means of the lensing efficiency of galaxy clusters drawn from these alternative models. The lensing characteristics of two samples of simulated clusters in the Λ warm dark matter and ΛCDM

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Publication Date
Sun Jun 06 2010
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Comparison between the efficiency of serological tests for Identification of Brucellosis
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Five serological methods for detection of Brucella were compaired in this study, Four of the methods are commonely used in the detections:- 1-Rose-Bengal: as primary screening test which depends on detecting antibodies in the blood serum. 2-IFAT: which detects IgG and IgM antibodies in the serum. 3-ELISA test: which detects IgG antibodies in the serum. 4-2ME test: which detects IgG antibodies The fifth methods. It was developed by a reasercher in one of the health centers in Baghdad. It was given the name of spot Immune Assay (SIA). Results declares that among (100) samples of patients blood, 76, 49, 49, 37, and 28. samples were positive to Rose Bengal, ELISA, SIA, 2ME and IFAT tests, respectively. When efficiency, sensitivity and specific

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 28 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Alexithymia and its relation with emotional intelleigence for 6th grade students
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This current study aims to:
1st: The recognizing of Alexithymia level for 6th grade students (Study Specimen) through the next Zero Hypothesis:1. There are no statistically significant differences at (0.05) level between the arithmetic mean of the specimen degrees as a whole and the central assumption for the scale of the lack in emotions expression
2. There are no statistically significant differences at (0.05) level between the arithmetic mean of the male students specimen and the arithmetic meanc of the female students specimen for the scale of Alexithymia.
2nd: ldentification the level of the emotional intelligence among 6th grade students (Study Specimen) through the next Zero Hypothesis:
1) There are no statistically si

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 01 2024
Journal Name
Fusion: Practice And Applications
A Hybrid Meta-Heuristic Approach for Test Case Prioritization and Optimization
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The application of the test case prioritization method is a key part of system testing intended to think it through and sort out the issues early in the development stage. Traditional prioritization techniques frequently fail to take into account the complexities of big-scale test suites, growing systems and time constraints, therefore cannot fully fix this problem. The proposed study here will deal with a meta-heuristic hybrid method that focuses on addressing the challenges of the modern time. The strategy utilizes genetic algorithms alongside a black hole as a means to create a smooth tradeoff between exploring numerous possibilities and exploiting the best one. The proposed hybrid algorithm of genetic black hole (HGBH) uses the

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Publication Date
Thu Jan 04 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Electrical Engineering And Technology
An efficient selective method for audio watermarking against de-synchronization attacks
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