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jih-2631
Bayesian Structural Time Series for Forecasting Oil Prices
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There are many methods of forecasting, and these methods take data only, analyze it, make a prediction by analyzing, neglect the prior information side and do not considering the fluctuations that occur overtime. The best way to forecast oil prices that takes the fluctuations that occur overtime and is updated by entering prior information is the Bayesian structural time series (BSTS) method. Oil prices fluctuations have an important role in economic so predictions of future oil prices that are crucial for many countries whose economies depend mainly on oil, such as Iraq. Oil prices directly affect the health of the economy. Thus, it is necessary to forecast future oil price with models adapted for emerging events. In this article, we study the Bayesian structural time series (BSTS) for forecasting oil prices. Results show that the price of oil will increase to 156.2$ by 2035.

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Publication Date
Wed Feb 01 2023
Journal Name
International Journal Of Revolution In Science And Humanity
Nonparametric Estimation of Failure Periods for Log Normal Distribution Using Bootstra
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A non-parametric kernel method with Bootstrap technology was used to estimate the confidence intervals of the system failure function of the log-normal distribution trace data. These are the times of failure of the machines of the spinning department of the weaving company in Wasit Governorate. Estimating the failure function in a parametric way represented by the method of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE). The comparison between the parametric and non-parametric methods was done by using the average of Squares Error (MES) criterion. It has been noted the efficiency of the nonparametric methods based on Bootstrap compared to the parametric method. It was also noted that the curve estimation is more realistic and appropriate for the re

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Publication Date
Fri Feb 28 2025
Journal Name
Journal Européen Des Systèmes Automatisés
Decision-Making Model for Aircraft Landing Based on Fuzzy Logic Approach
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An aircraft's landing stage involves inherent hazards and problems associated with many factors, such as weather, runway conditions, pilot experiences, etc. The pilot is responsible for selecting the proper landing procedure based on information provided by the landing console operator (LCO). Given the likelihood of human decisions due to errors and biases, creating an intelligent system becomes important to predict accurate decisions. This paper proposes the fuzzy logic method, which intends to handle the uncertainty and ambiguity inherent in the landing phase, providing intelligent decision support to the pilot while reducing the workload of the LCO. The fuzzy system, built using the Mamdani approach in MATLAB software, considers critical

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Publication Date
Fri Nov 04 2016
Journal Name
International Journal Of Renewable Energy Development
The Temperature Profile for The Innovative Design of the Perforated Fin
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The development of the perforated fin had proposed in many studies to enhance the heat transfer from electronic pieces. This paper presents a novel derivative method to find the temperature distribution of the new design (inclined perforated) of the pin fin. Perforated with rectangular section and different angles of inclination was considered. Signum Function is used for modeling the variable heat transfer area. Set of parameters to handle the conduction and convection area were calculated. Degenerate Hypergeometric Equation (DHE) was used for modeling the Complex energy differential equation and then solved by Kummer’s series. In the validation process, Ansys 16.0-Steady State Thermal was used. Two geometric models were consider

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Publication Date
Mon Sep 11 2017
Journal Name
Ibn Al-haitham Journal For Pure And Applied Sciences
Thermogravimetric Method for Accurate Determination of Thermodynamic Quantities at High Temperatures
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This researd exhibit's a method to  determine the change in Gibbs function,(enthai py,entropy.     and     specific     heat     capacity)      tor monovariant   heterogeneous   equilibria   .The  thermodynamical quan.tities were obtained jndirectly with m the measurment  of temperature dependent on eql,lilibrium system.

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 20 2018
Journal Name
Al-academy
Directed by Treatment for single-place events in the cinematographic medium
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The cinematographer mediates through the means of cinema and television a set of elements complementing each other in the light of developments in various sciences, culture and arts for the purpose of conveying the meaning to the recipient and achieve aesthetic taste. Despite the diversity of cinematographic media with its multiple forms, The researcher started from the principle of definition and knowledge of a technical phenomenon that emerged in the cinematographic medium through the treatment of dramatic events through the solutions of the exit line depends on the narrative of events in one place contributes to attract Mam spectator since this interesting phenomenon in the mediator, there .van question arises the adoption of that vis

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Publication Date
Sat Jan 01 2022
Journal Name
Aip Conference Proceedings
Evaluation of FEMM software for magnetic analysis of the magnetorheological application
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Publication Date
Fri Jan 02 2015
Journal Name
International Journal Of Engineering Research And General Science
IT Auditing to Assure a Secure Cloud Computing for Enterprise Applications
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Recently, all over the world mechanism of cloud computing is widely acceptable and used by most of the enterprise businesses in order increase their productivity. However there are still some concerns about the security provided by the cloud environment are raises. Thus in this our research project, we are discussing over the cloud computing paradigm evolvement for the large business applications like CRM as well as introducing the new framework for the secure cloud computing using the method of IT auditing. In this case our approach is basically directed towards the establishment of the cloud computing framework for the CRM applications with the use of checklists by following the data flow of the CRM application and its lifecycle. Those ch

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Publication Date
Fri Jul 01 2011
Journal Name
3rd European Workshop On Visual Information Processing
Mean Predictive Block Matching (MPBM) for fast block-matching motion estimation
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Publication Date
Sun Mar 13 2011
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Bacteriological and Cytological study For bronchial washes from lung cancer patients
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The study included the collection of 75 bronchial wash samples from patients suspected to have lung cancer. These samples were subjected to a diagnostic cytological study to detect the dominant type of lung cancer. It was noticed that 33 patients proved to have a lung cancer out of 75 (44%) of these, 19 cases (57.6%)were diagnosed having Squamus cell carcinoma,7cases (21.21%) showed Adenocarcinoma ,6 cases (18.18%) were having small cell carcinoma while only one case (3.03%)was large cell carcinoma .Nearly 70% of cases were correlated with smokers .Bacteria were isolated from 53 patients in which 33 isolates were associated with the cancer cases while 20 of them from non infected patients. By using different morphological ,biochemical test

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Publication Date
Sun Mar 15 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Data-Driven Approach for Teaching Arabic as a Foreign Language: Eygpt
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Corpus linguistics is a methodology in studying language through corpus-based research. It differs from a traditional approach in studying a language (prescriptive approach) in its insistence on the systematic study of authentic examples of language in use (descriptive approach).A “corpus” is a large body of machine-readable structurally collected naturally occurring linguistic data, either written texts or a transcription of recorded speech, which can be used as a starting-point of linguistic description or as a means of verifying hypotheses about a language.  In the past decade, interest has grown tremendously in the use of language corpora for language education. The ways in which corpora have been employed in language pedago

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