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jih-2631
Bayesian Structural Time Series for Forecasting Oil Prices
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There are many methods of forecasting, and these methods take data only, analyze it, make a prediction by analyzing, neglect the prior information side and do not considering the fluctuations that occur overtime. The best way to forecast oil prices that takes the fluctuations that occur overtime and is updated by entering prior information is the Bayesian structural time series (BSTS) method. Oil prices fluctuations have an important role in economic so predictions of future oil prices that are crucial for many countries whose economies depend mainly on oil, such as Iraq. Oil prices directly affect the health of the economy. Thus, it is necessary to forecast future oil price with models adapted for emerging events. In this article, we study the Bayesian structural time series (BSTS) for forecasting oil prices. Results show that the price of oil will increase to 156.2$ by 2035.

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Publication Date
Sun Jun 01 2014
Journal Name
2014 International Conference On Computer And Information Sciences (iccoins)
Proposed conceptual model for E-service quality in Malaysian universities
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Publication Date
Fri Aug 31 2012
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Empirical Equations for Analysis of Two-Way Reinforced Concrete Slabs
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There are many different methods for analysis of two-way reinforced concrete slabs. The most efficient methods depend on using certain factors given in different codes of reinforced concrete design. The other ways of analysis of two-way slabs are the direct design method and the equivalent frame method. But these methods usually need a long time for analysis of the slabs.

In this paper, a new simple method has been developed to analyze the two-way slabs by using simple empirical formulae, and the results of final analysis of some examples have been compared with other different methods given in different codes of practice.

The comparison proof that this simple proposed method gives good results and it can be used in analy

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Publication Date
Fri Jan 01 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Technical analysis of the salary scale for public sector employees
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            The research discusses the mechanism for analyzing the salary scale in the public sector through an analysis of grades, their stages, occupants and their financial entitlements, and the extent to which the information obtained for their investment in strategic planning, conducting correction and treatment can be used. The salaries of the employees in them, whose number is (1117) employees, to be a field of research, as the salary structure in it for the year 2019 was analyzed by relying on a number of statistical tools in the analysis process, including the arithmetic circles, upper limits, minimum limits and percentage, and with

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Publication Date
Sat Jan 01 2022
Journal Name
3rd International Scientific Conference Of Alkafeel University (iscku 2021)
Investigations for the critical vehicle velocities on a curved path
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􀀨􀀅􀀆􀀔􀀜􀀄􀀂􀀆􀀈􀀓􀀌􀀩􀀏􀀆􀀉􀀅􀀆􀀉􀀅􀀉􀀚􀀝􀀔􀀄􀀗􀀉􀀚􀀆􀀂􀀓􀀚􀀁􀀔􀀄􀀓􀀅􀀆􀀄􀀂􀀆􀀔􀀓􀀆􀀃􀀂􀀔􀀄􀀟􀀉􀀔􀀃􀀆􀀔􀀜􀀃􀀆􀀛􀀃􀀜􀀄􀀗􀀚􀀃􀀆􀀗􀀌􀀄􀀔􀀄􀀗􀀉􀀚􀀆􀀂􀀘􀀃􀀃􀀊􀀂􀀆􀀓􀀖􀀆􀀓􀀛􀀃􀀌􀀔􀀁􀀌􀀅􀀄􀀅􀀕􀀢􀀆􀀪􀀜􀀃􀀆􀀄􀀅􀀛􀀃􀀂􀀔􀀄􀀕􀀉􀀔􀀄􀀓􀀅􀀂􀀆 􀀉􀀌􀀃􀀆􀀙􀀉􀀂􀀃􀀊􀀆􀀓􀀅􀀆􀀉􀀁􀀔􀀓􀀟􀀓􀀙􀀄􀀚􀀃􀀆􀀚􀀉􀀔􀀃􀀌􀀉􀀚􀀆􀀂􀀘􀀉􀀗􀀃􀀆􀀟􀀄􀀊􀀂􀀔􀀆􀀔􀀜􀀃􀀆􀀗􀀃􀀅􀀔􀀃􀀌􀀚􀀄􀀅􀀃􀀂􀀆􀀓􀀖􀀆􀀔􀀜􀀃􀀆􀀙􀀉􀀂􀀃􀀆

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Publication Date
Mon Jun 04 2018
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Fabricated of Cu Doped ZnO Nanoparticles for Solar Cell Application
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Copper with different concentrations doped with zinc oxide nanoparticles were prepared from a mixture of zinc acetate and copper acetate with sodium hydroxide in aqueous solution. The structure of the prepared samples was done by X-ray diffraction, atomic force microscopy (AFM) and UV-VIS absorption spectrophotometer. Debye-Scherer formula was used to calculate the size of the prepared samples. The band gap of the nanoparticle ZnO was determined by using UV-VIS optical spectroscopy.

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Publication Date
Fri Dec 01 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Comparison of some methods for estimating Poisson-Weibull distribution parameters
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In this paper was discussed the process of compounding two distributions using new compounding procedure which is connect a number of life time distributions ( continuous distribution ) where is the number of these distributions represent random variable distributed according to one of the discrete random distributions . Based on this procedure have been compounding zero – truncated poisson distribution with weibell distribution to produce new life time distribution having three parameter , Advantage of that failure rate function having many cases ( increasing , dicreasing , unimodal , bathtube) , and study the resulting distribution properties such as : expectation , variance , comulative function , reliability function and fa

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Publication Date
Sat Jan 01 2022
Journal Name
Webology
Efficient Eye Recognition for Secure Systems Using Convolutional Neural Network
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AA Abbass, HL Hussein, WA Shukur, J Kaabi, R Tornai, Webology, 2022 Individual’s eye recognition is an important issue in applications such as security systems, credit card control and guilty identification. Using video images cause to destroy the limitation of fixed images and to be able to receive users’ image under any condition as well as doing the eye recognition. There are some challenges in these systems; changes of individual gestures, changes of light, face coverage, low quality of video images and changes of personal characteristics in each frame. There is a need for two phases in order to do the eye recognition using images; revelation and eye recognition which will use in the security systems to identify the persons. The mai

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Publication Date
Thu Jun 01 2023
Journal Name
International Journal Of Electrical And Computer Engineering (ijece)
An optimized deep learning model for optical character recognition applications
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The convolutional neural networks (CNN) are among the most utilized neural networks in various applications, including deep learning. In recent years, the continuing extension of CNN into increasingly complicated domains has made its training process more difficult. Thus, researchers adopted optimized hybrid algorithms to address this problem. In this work, a novel chaotic black hole algorithm-based approach was created for the training of CNN to optimize its performance via avoidance of entrapment in the local minima. The logistic chaotic map was used to initialize the population instead of using the uniform distribution. The proposed training algorithm was developed based on a specific benchmark problem for optical character recog

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Publication Date
Mon Feb 04 2019
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Physics
Estimation of electron temperature for SiO2 plasma induced by laser
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In this work; Silicon dioxide (SiO2) were fabricated by pulsed
laser ablation (PLA). The electron temperature was calculated by
reading the data of I-V curve of Langmuir probe which was
employed as a diagnostic technique for measuring plasma properties.
Pulsed Nd:YA Glaser was used for measuring the electron
temperature of SiO2 plasma plume under vacuum environment with
varying both pressure and axial distance from the target surface. The
electron temperature has been measured experimentally and the
effects of each of pressure and Langmuir probe distance from the
target were studied. An inverse relationship between electron
temperature and both pressure and axial distance was observed.

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Publication Date
Sat Jul 22 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
Surface Free Energy for the Evaluation of Asphalt Binder Stripping
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Stripping is one of the major distresses within asphalt concrete pavements caused due to penetration of water within the interface of asphalt-aggregate matrix. In this work, one grade of asphalt cement (40-50) was mixed with variable percentages of three types of additives (fly ash, fumed silica, and phosphogypsum) to obtained an modified asphalt cement to resist the effect of stripping phenomena .The specimens have been tested for physical properties according to AASHTO. The surface free energy has been measured by using two methods namely, the wilhelmy technique and the Sessile drop method according to NCHRP-104
procedures. Samples of asphalt concrete using different asphalt cement and modified asphalt cement percentages(4.1,4.6 an

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