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Auto Risk Analysis in Iraq
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يتنامى يوما بعد يوم استخدام السيارات وتتعاضم اعدادها ، فهذا هو عصر السرعة، وخاصة في مجال النقل والمواصلات، والتي تتحقق باستخدام وسائل النقل المختلفة ومن بينها السيارات، وبالتالي اصبحت هذه الوسيلة ضرورية لتحقيق هذه السرعة ومن ضرورات الحياة في انجاز الاعمال.

وتتبارى مصانع السيارات فيما بينها لانتاج انواع السيارات بمواصفات عالية من المتانة والامان والراحة، وفي ذات الوقت اصبحت هندسة الطرق علما متخصصا في مجال تصميم وانجاز الطرق الخارجية والشوارع الداخلية في المدن بهدف الوصول الى اعلى انسيابية في حركة سير السيارات والمشاة وبما يحقق اعلى درجة من الامان فيها. ومن جهة ثالثة يزداد اهتمام الحكومات والمنظمات والاتحادات الوطنية والعالمية بخصوص سن القوانين واصدار الانظمة والتعليمات والتوجيهات الهادفة الى رفع درجة الامان في حركة سير السيارات .

رغم كل هذا وذاك تتعاضم وباتجاه معاكس اخطار السيارات والحوادث المتحققة عنها ، وبالتالي تتعاظم الخسائر البشرية والمادية الناجمة عنها ، حتى اعدت اخطار السيارات من الاوبئة التي تعاني منها الدول ومظهرا معيبا من مظاهر التكنلوجيا مما حدا بالعديد من الباحثين والمنظمات والحكومات الى التصدي لهذه الظاهرة بالبحث والتحليل في محاولة للكشف عن اسبابها والعمل على تحجيم تلك الاسباب والقضاء عليها او تقليل الخسائر الناتجة عنها .

ويعد هذا البحث ضمن سياق الدراسات والبحوث التي تتناول موضوع تحليل اخطار السيارات ، الا انه ذو منحى مختلف بعض الشيء، اذ يعمد الى تحليل هذه الاخطار باربعة اتجاهات في ذات الوقت: الاول في في تحديد اخطار السيارات والاهمية النسبية لكل منها، والثاني في تحديد الاسباب الرئيسة والفرعية والثانوية لهذه الاخطار والاهمية النسبية لكل منها، والثالث في تحديد الخسائر البشرية والمادية المتحققة من هذه الاخطار ، واخيرا فان الاتجاه الرابع هو في تحديد اساليب مواجهة هذه الاخطار من خلال التصدي لأسبابها. ويتكون البحث من اربعة اقسام : تضمن القسم الاول استعراضا لمفهوم الخطر ومفهوم تحليل الخطر اضافة الى الاساليب العلمية المستخدمة في عملية التحليل، فيما يتضمن القسم الثاني منهجية البحث مستعرضا مشكلة البحث وهدفه وحدوده والاساليب المعتمدة في تحليله وفي جمع البيانات، اضافة الى عدد من الدراسات السابقة في هذا المجال ، اما القسم الثالث فيتضمن تحليل اخطار السيارات في العراق معتمدا على استعراض انواع الاخطار وحجم تحقق كل منها واهميتها النسبية وكذلك الاسباب (الرئيسة والفرعية والثانوية) والنتائج السلبية المتحققة منها واساليب المواجهة، واخيرا تضمن القسم الرابع الاستنتاجات والتوصيات التي تمخض عنها البحث.

 

 

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Publication Date
Thu Jun 30 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Analysis of Models (NAGARCH & APGARCH) by Using Simulations
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Simulation experiments are a means of solving in many fields, and it is the process of designing a model of the real system in order to follow it and identify its behavior through certain models and formulas written according to a repeating software style with a number of iterations. The aim of this study is to build a model  that deals with the behavior suffering from the state of (heteroskedasticity) by studying the models (APGARCH & NAGARCH) using (Gaussian) and (Non-Gaussian) distributions for different sample sizes (500,1000,1500,2000) through the stage of time series analysis (identification , estimation, diagnostic checking and prediction). The data was generated using the estimations of the parameters resulting f

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Publication Date
Tue Jun 01 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of Planner And Development
Spatial analysis of rural services in the district of Fallujah, Zgharit village, as a model
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          The study of services in villages is one of the imperative matters that must   be focused on, because it leads to increased attention, which reduces the differences between the countryside and the urban. The extent of its.

  It is well known that community services need to be reached by a person, unlike the anchor services that reach people, here the population distribution plays an important and prominent role in signing these services, so the dispersed distribution pattern and the gathering pattern appeared in the distribution, thus an effect on the time and distance that the person walked to obtain The services are community-based. Therefore

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Publication Date
Fri Jan 01 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Technical analysis of the salary scale for public sector employees
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            The research discusses the mechanism for analyzing the salary scale in the public sector through an analysis of grades, their stages, occupants and their financial entitlements, and the extent to which the information obtained for their investment in strategic planning, conducting correction and treatment can be used. The salaries of the employees in them, whose number is (1117) employees, to be a field of research, as the salary structure in it for the year 2019 was analyzed by relying on a number of statistical tools in the analysis process, including the arithmetic circles, upper limits, minimum limits and percentage, and with

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Publication Date
Tue Jun 30 2015
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Market Research And Consumer Protection
Possibilty Of Implementing Hazard Analysis Critical Control Points (HACCP) In One Of Local Dairy Plants.: Possibilty Of Implementing Hazard Analysis Critical Control Points (HACCP) In One Of Local Dairy Plants.
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To limit or reduce common microbial contamination occurrence in dairy products in general and in soft cheese in particular, produced in locally plants, this study was performed to demonstrate the possibility of implementing HACCP in one of dairy plants in Baghdad city

            HACCP plan was proposed in soft cheese production line. A pre-evaluation was performed in soft cheese line production, HACCP Pre-requisites programs was evaluated from its presence and effectiveness. The evaluation was demonstrated risk in each of: Good Manufacturing Practice (GMP) program, evaluated as microbial and physical risk and considered as critical r

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 28 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Humanize nature in the poetry of childhood in Iraq (2003-2015)
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That the nature of an important role in children's lives, Including offer them fun and freedom of thinking and capacity in the imagination. And its effective role of poets in general and especially apoet of childhood Selecting from diverse elements, And the rise to the level of human nature In order to enrich the child's imagination And the delivery of various ideas and information in a surprising. And are far from the decision-making and direct screed.this importance we set off For the study of poetic texts for children in Iraq During the research stage. Those texts in which the humanization began clearly,and our offer to these texts in style of detail and precision Not without expressing an my opinion during the research We finished th

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Publication Date
Sat Dec 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
(Estimation and Analysis of the Cobb-Duglas Production Function for the Rail Transport Sector in Iraq for the Period 1990-2016 using the ARDL Model)
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Abstract:

Since the railway transport sector is very important in many countries of the world, we have tried through this research to study the production function of this sector and to indicate the level of productivity under which it operates.

It was found through the estimation and analysis of the production function Kub - Duglas that the railway transport sector in Iraq suffers from a decline in the level of productivity, which was reflected in the deterioration of the level of services provided for the transport of passengers and goods. This led to the loss of the sector of importance in supporting the national economy and the reluctance of most passengers an

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Publication Date
Mon Dec 05 2022
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
K-Nearest Neighbor Method with Principal Component Analysis for Functional Nonparametric Regression
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This paper proposed a new  method to study functional non-parametric regression data analysis with conditional expectation in the case that the covariates  are functional and the Principal Component Analysis was utilized to de-correlate the multivariate response variables. It  utilized the formula of the Nadaraya Watson estimator (K-Nearest Neighbour (KNN)) for prediction with different types of the semi-metrics, (which are based on Second Derivative and Functional Principal Component Analysis (FPCA))  for measureing the closeness between curves.  Root Mean Square Errors is used for the  implementation of this model which is then compared to the independent response method. R program is used for analysing data. Then, when  the cov

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Governance and role in increasing the tax outlet in Iraq
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The goal of the research is to highlight the role of the governance and its characteristics in increasing the tax outcome by implementing the laws, regulations and annual controls issued annually from the general authority for taxation for the financing of the general treasury of the state, Additional development and economic capacity, As the search shares a view of the governance and its characteristics and its ideas from increasing tax output. The analytical transparent approach was used by adopting the practice of practicalities of the general authority for tax For quotations in the senior cabinet section ,the revealing of the ongoing operations was relied on the revenue for each financial year, The tools adopted in the process of ana

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Publication Date
Thu Jan 01 2015
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
A Socio-Pragmatic Analysis of Lamentation in Selected Elegies of Gray and AL-Khansaa'
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This research is an attempt to explore a social and pragmatic phenomenon of lamentation in elegies of Gray and AL-Khansaa' who represent two different cultures. It illustrates the intended meaning of lamentation in English and Arabic and finds how the two languages express this purpose of poetry by analysing it socio-pragmatically adopting Searle's models (1969),and its modifications. Lamentation is considered as a mournful poem lamenting the death of  whole humanity as Gray's elegy and of an individual as AL-Khansaa's elegy. So, Gray portrays a universal picture concerning his lamentation, while AL-Khansaa' portrays an individual and subjective picture regarding her lamentation. As  branches of linguistics, sociolinguistics de

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 02 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
A Pragmatic Analysis of Illocutionary Act in a Selected Presidential Speech on COVID-19
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     This paper aims at studying the illocutionary speech acts: direct and indirect to show the most dominant ones in a presidential speech delivered by the USA president. The speech is about the most critical health issue in the world, COVID-19 outbreak.  A descriptive qualitative study was conducted by observing the first speech delivered by president Trump concerning coronavirus outbreak and surveying the illocutionary acts: directive, declarative, commissive, expressive, and representative. Searle's (1985) classification of illocutionary speech acts is adopted in the analysis.

     What are the main types of the illocutionary speech acts performed by Trump in his speech?; Why does

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