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jeasiq-720
Baghdad City Seasonal Forecasts Of Monthly Chronic Diseases patients Numbers Using SARIMA Models
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    One of the most important problems of IRAQI HEALTH MINISTRY and all healthy instruments in IRAQ is Chronic Diseases because it  have a negative effects on IRAQI population, this is the aim of our study ,to specify the important Chronic diseases which make the population fell weakly, they are six diseases as the IRAQ ministry of health specified (  Diabetes, blood pressure diseases ,Brain diseases ,  Cardiology, Asthma, epilepsy) we got these data from IRAQI HEALTH MINISTRY ,bureau of planning and studies ,for the period 2009-2012,as monthly observations , represent sum of peoples have chronic diseases in Baghdad .

     Our research object is to find monthly forecasts of peoples have chronic disease in Baghdad by apply Seasonal integrated moving Average modeling approach (SARIMA) for forecast , which described as most accurate methods for seasonal forecasting.

  We found forecasting model of Diabetes disease as seasonal ARIMA(1,0,0)(1,1,0)12 ,for High pressure disease as seasonal ARIMA(2,0,2)(0,1,1)12 ,for Cardiology as seasonal ARIMA(2,0,1)(0,2,1)12, for Brain  disease as seasonal ARIMA(2,1,0)(2,1,0)12 ,for  epilepsy disease  as seasonal ARIMA(1,1,0)(1,1,0)12,and for  Asthma disease  as seasonal ARIMA(1,0,0)(1,0,0)12 .

    We found monthly forecasts for patients numbers for all diseases under the study for two years 2013 and 2014 , the most important conclusion of the study is the appearance  of seasonality to chronic diseases in Iraq.

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Publication Date
Tue Sep 03 2019
Journal Name
Biochem. Cell. Arch.
CHLAMYDIA PNEUMONIAE INFECTION AND ENDOTHELIAL DYSFUNCTION IN CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASES
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This study designed to evaluate the relationship between the Matrix metalloproteinase -9(MMP-9), soluble Vascular endothelial cadherin(VE-CAD)and Chlamydia pneumonia infection in cardiovascular diseases patients. All blood sample were subjected for molecular detection of C.pneumoniae by using conventional polymerase chain reaction (PCR) depending on 16S rRNA while the level of serum MMP-9, VE-CAD measured by enzyme linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). Seventy patients who suffering from cardiovascular diseases (angina, myocardial infraction and atherosclerosis) aged between 33-86 years have been investigated and compared to twenty of apparently healthy individuals as control group. Twenty six samples (37.14%) revealed positive results for C.

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Publication Date
Sat Jan 18 2025
Journal Name
Cell Biochemistry And Biophysics
Histone Deacetylation in Alzheimer’s Diseases (AD); Hope or Hype
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Publication Date
Fri Jan 15 2021
Journal Name
Frontiers In Cardiovascular Medicine
Association Between Periodontal Disease and Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Diseases: Revisited
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Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ACVD) is an inflammatory disease of the coronary arteries associated with atheroma formation, which can cause disability and often death. Periodontitis is ranked as the sixth most prevalent disease affecting humans affecting 740 million people worldwide. In the last few decades, researchers have focused on the effect of periodontal disease (PD) on cardiovascular disease. The aim of this review was to investigate the association between these two diseases. PD is a potential risk factor that may initiate the development, maturation, and instability of atheroma in the arteries. Two mechanisms were proposed to explain such association, either periodontal pathogens directly invade bloodstream or in

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Publication Date
Mon May 21 2007
Journal Name
Journal Of Planner And Development
Using the Input - Output Model in building the economic plan using the computer
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The origin of this technique lies in the analysis of François Kenai (1694-1774), the leader of the School of Naturalists, presented in Tableau Economique. This method was developed by Karl Marx in his analysis of the Departmental Relationships and the nature of these relations in the models of " "He said. The current picture of this type of economic analysis is credited to the Russian economist Vasily Leontif. This analytical model is commonly used in developing economic plans in developing countries (p. 1, p. 86). There are several types of input and output models, such as static model, mobile model, regional models, and so on. However, this research will be confined to the open-ended model, which found areas in practical application.

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Publication Date
Wed Jan 30 2013
Journal Name
Al-kindy College Medical Journal
Chronic Plaque Pso riasis and Metabolic Syndrome
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AbstractBackground:Psoriasis is an inflammatorydiseasewhichcan be associated with otherdiseases, which may have amajor impact onpatientslife. Psoriasis has also been reported tobe associated with metabolic disorders.Metabolic syndrome(MS)isa combination ofmedicaldisorders that, when occurring together,increasesthe risk of development ofcardiovasculardiseasesanddiabetes.It affectsone in five people in the United States andtheprevalence increases with age. Some studieshave showntheprevalencein the USA to be anestimated 25% of the population.Objective:To investigate the prevalence ofmetabolic syndrome in patients with psoriasis.Methods: We performed a hospital-based case-

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Publication Date
Thu Sep 16 2010
Journal Name
J Bagh Coll Dent
Traumatic injuries to the incisors among patients attending pedodontic clinic of Baghdad dental teaching hospital
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Publication Date
Wed Oct 18 2023
Journal Name
Iraqi National Journal Of Nursing Specialties
Evaluation of Nurses’ Practices Concerning Isolation Techniques for Adult Leukemic Patients in Baghdad Teaching Hospitals
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Objective: To evaluate nurses' practices concerning isolation techniques for Adult Leukemic Patients (ALP).
Methodology: A descriptive study was carried out at the isolation rooms at leukemic wards in Baghdad Teaching
Hospitals, starting from Jan. 27th 2008 up to the 27th of Apr. 2008. To achieve the objectives of study, a non-probability
"purposive" sample of (50) nurse was selected out of four Teaching Hospitals in Baghdad city were selected according
to the criteria of the study sample.
The study instrument consisted of two major parts. It is based on the review of literature. First is concerned with
demographic data for nurses; and the second part is observational tool (checklist) is composed of (83) item. The conte

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 24 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
Using Steel Slag for Stabilizing Clayey Soil in Sulaimani City-Iraq
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The clayey soils have the capability to swell and shrink with the variation in moisture content. Soil stabilization is a well-known technique, which is implemented to improve the geotechnical properties of soils. The massive quantities of waste materials are resulting from modern industry methods create disposal hazards in addition to environmental problems. The steel industry has a waste that can be used with low strength and weak engineering properties soils. This study is carried out to evaluate the effect of steel slag (SS) as a by-product of the geotechnical properties of clayey soil. A series of laboratory tests were conducted on natural and stabilized soils. SS was added by 0, 2.5, 5, 10, 15, and 20% to the soil.

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Publication Date
Sat Feb 09 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Software Security using Aspect-Oriented Software Development
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Aspect-Oriented Software Development (AOSD) is a technology that helps achieving
better Separation of Concern (SOC) by providing mechanisms to identify all relevant points
in a program at which aspectual adaptations need to take place. This paper introduces a
banking application using of AOSD with security concern in information hiding.

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Publication Date
Thu Oct 18 2018
Journal Name
Lambert Academic Publishing
Mathematical Models For Contamination Soil
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