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Baghdad City Seasonal Forecasts Of Monthly Chronic Diseases patients Numbers Using SARIMA Models
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    One of the most important problems of IRAQI HEALTH MINISTRY and all healthy instruments in IRAQ is Chronic Diseases because it  have a negative effects on IRAQI population, this is the aim of our study ,to specify the important Chronic diseases which make the population fell weakly, they are six diseases as the IRAQ ministry of health specified (  Diabetes, blood pressure diseases ,Brain diseases ,  Cardiology, Asthma, epilepsy) we got these data from IRAQI HEALTH MINISTRY ,bureau of planning and studies ,for the period 2009-2012,as monthly observations , represent sum of peoples have chronic diseases in Baghdad .

     Our research object is to find monthly forecasts of peoples have chronic disease in Baghdad by apply Seasonal integrated moving Average modeling approach (SARIMA) for forecast , which described as most accurate methods for seasonal forecasting.

  We found forecasting model of Diabetes disease as seasonal ARIMA(1,0,0)(1,1,0)12 ,for High pressure disease as seasonal ARIMA(2,0,2)(0,1,1)12 ,for Cardiology as seasonal ARIMA(2,0,1)(0,2,1)12, for Brain  disease as seasonal ARIMA(2,1,0)(2,1,0)12 ,for  epilepsy disease  as seasonal ARIMA(1,1,0)(1,1,0)12,and for  Asthma disease  as seasonal ARIMA(1,0,0)(1,0,0)12 .

    We found monthly forecasts for patients numbers for all diseases under the study for two years 2013 and 2014 , the most important conclusion of the study is the appearance  of seasonality to chronic diseases in Iraq.

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Publication Date
Thu Feb 07 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Healthy awareness Clothes associated with diseases symptoms
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The majority of used clothes represented a passion for brilliant
appearance and could be a reason for hiding body defects , as to avoid
criticism .
This may lead to purchase and wear un healthy or uncomfortable clothes
such as tide .As to appreciate the differences between wearing healthy clothes or
otherwise .
The study was carried out to assess healthy cloth awareness for university
girls as related to possibility of being subjected to harm caused by wearing tide
clothes .
The measurement items was determined and numbered ( 23 ). The answer
for these scale criteria was ( Always , Sometime ,Never ) for the weights (3,2,1)
. The scale was applied to a randomly selected sample of research community
that

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Publication Date
Sun Jul 03 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
The relationship between shyness and depression among Baghdad University students
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study aimed to recognize the relationship shyness and depression and to recognize the differences between the genders, according to the variable of shyness and depression, the sample consisted (214) students, (141) female (73) male, and the sample responded scale of shyness and Inventory beck for depression, The Results of this study show that: the sample has a low degree shyness and a high degree depression, . There are no statistically significant differences according to gender variable in shyness, and there are statistically significant differences according to gender variable in depression favor for male, and there are statistically significant relationships between the variables of the study at lev

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 30 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Design a supply chain model for Baghdad Soft Drinks Company
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In this paper, a mathematical model was built for the supply chain to reduce production, inventory, and transportation in Baghdad Company for Soft Drink. The linear programming method was used to solve this mathematical model. We reduced the cost of production by reduced the daily work hours, the company do not need the overtime hours to work at the same levels of production, and the costs of storage in the company's warehouses and agents' stores have been reduced by making use of the stock correctly, which guarantees reducing costs and preserving products from damage. The units transferred from the company were equal to the units demanded by the agents. The company's mathematical model also achieved profits by (84,663,769) by re

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Publication Date
Sat Feb 02 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Jamal Basha: His Administrative and Political Effort in Baghdad
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Jamal Basha: His Administrative and Political Effort in Baghdad

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Publication Date
Mon Mar 29 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
Numerical Simulation of Water Distribution with Uptake Root in Drip Irrigation using Different Soil Hydraulic Models
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Surface drip irrigation is one of the most conservative irrigation techniques that help control providing water directly on the soil through the emitters. It can supply fertilizer and providing water directly to plant roots by drippers. One of the essential needs for trickle irrigation nowadays is to obtain more knowledge about the moisture pattern under the trickling source for various types of soil with various discharge levels with trickle irrigation. Simulation numerical using HYDRUS-2D software, version 2.04 was used to estimate an equation for the wetted area from a single surface drip irrigation in unsaturated soil is taking into account water uptake by roots. In this paper, using two soil types were used, namely

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Publication Date
Fri Jan 01 2021
Journal Name
Environmental Pollution
Prediction of sediment heavy metal at the Australian Bays using newly developed hybrid artificial intelligence models
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Publication Date
Sun Jul 07 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
الكفاءة النوعية لطلبة الدراسات العليا في التخصصات التربوية والنفسية في كليات مدينة بغداد
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This thesis aims at identifying:

  1. The level of qualitative efficiency of higher studies students in educational and psychological fields in the colleges of education Baghdad according to the perspectives of both teachers and students.
  2. The statistical differences in levels of qualitative efficiency of higher studies students in educational and psychological fields in the colleges of education in  Baghdad Collegeteacher's viewpoints with reference to the two variables of the scientific title and gender.
  3. The statistical differences in levels of qualitative efficiency of higher  studies students in the educational and psychological fields

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Publication Date
Fri Nov 01 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of Cosmetics, Dermatological Sciences And Applications
Treatment of chronic paronychia: A double blind comparative clinical trial using singly vaseline, nystatin and fucidic acid ointment
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KE Sharquie, AA Noaimi, SA Galib, Journal of Cosmetics, Dermatological Sciences and Applications, 2013 - Cited by 4

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Publication Date
Mon Jun 08 2026
Journal Name
Journal Of Baghdad College Of Dentistry
Evaluation of Andrews' six keys of normal occlusion in a sample of Iraqi adults in Baghdad city
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Background: The Andrews’ six keys of normal occlusion contribute individually and collectively to the total scheme of occlusion and, therefore, are viewed as essential to successful orthodontic treatment. The present research aims to evaluate the presence of the parameters of the Andrews’ Six Keys of normal occlusion in a sample of 100 Iraqi adults with complete permanent dentition and clinically acceptable normal occlusion (Angle’s Class I) in Baghdad city. Their age range 18-25 years (60 males and 40 females). Materials and methods: Each patient was subjected to clinical examination and then study cast models were made, with their occlusal records. The measuring tools that have been used involved: Three-dimensional goniometer to me

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Publication Date
Fri Oct 07 2011
Journal Name
Ibn Al- Haitham J. For Pure & Appl. Sci.
Assessment of the Level of Trace Metals in Commonly Edible Vegetables and Fruits of Baghdad City (Iraq)
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A study was carried out to determine the concentrations of trace metals in vegetables and fruits, which are locally available in the markets of Baghdad-samples of fourteen varieties of vegetables and fruits, belonging to Beta vulgaris, Brassica rapa, Daucus carota, Allium cepa, Eurica sativa, Malva silvestris, Coriandrum Sativum, Trigonella Foenum craecum, Anethum graveolens, Barassica oleracea, Phaseolus vulgaris, citrus reticulata, Py rus malus, and Punica granatum. Analysis for Cd,Pb, Mn, Fe, Co, Ni, Cu and Zn were determined by flame atomic absorption sp ectrophotometry. The results indicated that the Malva silvestris recorded the highest concentrations of Cd and Mn while Allium cepa showed the highest concentrations of Pb and Cu. But E

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