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Determine the best model to predict the consumption of electric energy in the southern region
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Abstract:          

                Interest in the topic of prediction has increased in recent years and appeared modern methods such as Artificial Neural Networks models, if these methods are able to learn and adapt self with any model, and does not require assumptions on the nature of the time series. On the other hand, the methods currently used to predict the classic method such as Box-Jenkins may be difficult to diagnose chain and modeling because they assume strict conditions.

               So there was a need to compare the traditional methods used to predict the time chained with neural networks method to find the most efficient method to predict, and this is the purpose of this study.

              Contributes to predict future demand for electricity in the electric power sector to solve problems through future planning to meet changes in the demand for electricity increases. Experience has shown there is no way of certain predict appropriate for all cases, but that in each case the way of a private predict is needed to find and use. However, taking more than one way may lead to raising the future accuracy of the estimates.

               The present study aims to shed light on some of the statistical methods used to predict future demand for electricity for the Southern District, as well as a reference to more accurate methods to predict the future of energy. It has been used a number of methods to predict , such as econometric modeling technique, style and Box- Jenkins method of artificial neural network. And service to the goal of the study, which is based upon the premise that search: the neural network models more accurate than traditional models in long-term. As it is the most efficient and more accurate than other conventional models in dealing with non-linear time-series data.

                We have been using the annual electrical energy consumption data for the Southern District to conduct a comparison of the program through the application of SPSS and Minitab for statistical analysis, and Matlab language has been used to build a program in neural networks, and through the practical application it was found that neural networks gives better results and more efficient than the classic way.

 

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Publication Date
Fri Sep 30 2022
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
Style ''Affirmative say'' in the holy Quran Ibn Ashour's interpretation is a model
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Abstract

This study talks about a wonderful Qur'anic style. relates to one of the methods used in it. And it's the rhetorical style:  ''Affirmative say''. It is useful in arguing with the opponent, nullifying his reasoning, and proving the opposite meaning of the opponent. The study will be conducted from a Qur'anic perspective based on the study of examples of it, and partly in interpretive treatment through the book of editing and enlightenment of Taher Ibn Ashour, known for his art in matters of rhetoric and methods of controversy. This is with the rooting of this issue, and the relationship of industrial sciences to it as a Qur'anic style.

Keywords: ''Affirmative say, style, Qur'anic rhetoric, Arabic rhetoric, Co

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Publication Date
Tue Aug 15 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Industries Based on the Petrochemical Industry in Iraq-Plastics Industry as a Model
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This study came to discuss the subject of industries dependent on petrochemical industries in Iraq (plastic as a model) during the period 2005–2020, and the study concluded that the plastic industries contribute to areas of advancement and progress and opportunities to deal efficiently with the challenges posed by the new variables, the most important of which is the information revolution. communications and trade liberalization, and this is what contributes to the competitiveness of these industries. And because the petrochemical industry in Iraq has an active role in establishing plastic industrial clusters and clusters of micro, small, and medium industries by providing the necessary feedstock for these industries in various fields

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Publication Date
Mon Oct 01 2018
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
Electronic media and social issues in Algeria The podcast technique is a model
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This study we have made a subject of fanny podcast in electronic media, as a new way to express different issues by the public, This study focuses started on how to address social issues in Alegria by ANAS TINA vidéo on the youtube network , you are to know the trends of young amateur about the various issues dealt with as well as the most important methods used to convince browsers.
The researcher used the survey method based on studying 10 episodes videos of blogger ANAS TINA.
The result of the study found that the most important issues are the abduction of children, teaching in Algeria; women in Algeria, The negative aspects of the issues addressed have been established in order to direct public opinion and awareness of ph

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Publication Date
Mon Mar 07 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
The Effect of Renzulli Model on Achievement and Holistic Thinking among Fifth Grade Students in the Holy Quran and Islamic Education
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The present study aims at identifying the effect of Renzulli model on achievement and holistic thinking among the fifth grade students in the Holy Quran and Islamic Education. The experimental method with partial control was used, and the sample was chosen randomly. The sample consisted of (62) students distributed into experimental and control groups. 164 behavioral goals were formulated based on Bloom's first three levels taxonomy (knowledge and comprehension, application, analysis and installation, and evaluation). The researchers designed a post-test to measure the achievement of students in the subject of Holy Quran and Islamic Education which consisted of (40) objective items and a measure of holistic thinking which consisted of (3

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Publication Date
Fri Jan 02 2026
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Research
The Effect of the Inquiry Wheel Model on the Achievement of Chemistry among the Second Grade Intermediate Female Students
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The research aims to identify the effect of the inquiry wheel model on the achievement of chemistry among second-grade middle school students in public daytime middle and secondary schools. Umm Al-Qura intermediate school for girls was chosen intentionally, where students were assigned as a research sample affiliated with the Third Rusafa Directorate for the academic year (2024-2025). Two classes of the secondgrade classes were randomly selected, one of which was the first group that studied according to the inquiry wheel model, and the other was the second group that studied according to the traditional method. Equivalence was carried out between the two research groups considering chronological age in months, previous achievement in chemi

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Publication Date
Thu Aug 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Analyzing current and future direction of non-oil primary balance: Case Study of Iraq Using Exponential Smoothing model
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In recent years, non-oil primary balance indicator has been given considerable financial important in rentier state. It highly depends on this indicator to afford a clear and proper picture of public finance situation in term of appropriate and sustainability in these countries, due to it excludes the effect of oil- rental from compound of financial accounts which provide sufficient information to economic policy makers of how economy is able to create potential added value and then changes by eliminating one sided shades of economy. In Iraq, since, 2004, the deficit in value of this indicator has increased, due to almost complete dependence on the revenues of the oil to finance the budget and the obvious decline of the non-oil s

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 30 2015
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
Linguistic correction To some modern narrators In the book (Reforming the error of the modernists) For the Orator (d. 388 AH)
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Il semble que Khattabi était un linguiste, avec un endroit linguistique pour comprendre les textes de conversations et des mots étranges en particulier. Langue, et chacun avait ses arguments et ses preuves. Ses corrections incluaient la mélodie dans les mouvements, telle qu'une dilution plus serrée, la dilution de l'agitateur, le remplacement d'un autre mouvement, ou une autre rotation des mouvements, et le changement de structure morphologique du mot qui en résultait, ainsi que l'alerte sur les conséquences des lettres, Certaines de ces erreurs sont dues à la langue, et certaines sont considérées comme un type de déformation ou de fausse représentation connue de certains spécialistes, ce qui constitue un précédent louable

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 01 2017
Journal Name
Pakistan Journal Of Biotechnology
Sequences of mitocondrial D-loop region in Iraqi persons
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Scopus (5)
Scopus
Publication Date
Mon Jan 02 2017
Journal Name
Al-academy
The contribution of the arts to interdisciplinary sciences: Art Therapy
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The history of the arts is closely connected with the history of humankind, since it is impossible to separate our scientific and artistic advances’. Therefore, the current research focuses on the close bond between art and other disciplines. The connection of the arts to the sciences is unequivocal and undisputed; the contributions of artists to the various scientific domains are clear. If one scrutinises the ability of artists to participate in building societies, one will find that the arts have penetrated deeply into a range of products and inventions, starting with the pencil and ending with the missile. The artist’s contributions play a part in the minutest of details across all fields of industry: production, craftsmanship, me

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Publication Date
Fri Jan 01 2021
Journal Name
Psychology And Education
The effect of Daniel's model on the development of critical thinking in the subject of Arabic language among students of the College of Management and Economics
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This research aims to identify the impact of Daniel's model on the development of critical thinking. In order to achieve this objective, the following hypotheses are formulated: 1. There is no statistically significant difference at the significance level (0.05) between the average differences in the posttest scores of the experimental group taught according to Daniel's model and the control group taught according to the traditional method in the measure of critical thinking. 2. There is no statistically significant difference at the significance level (0.05) between the average differences in the preand post-tests scores of the experimental group taught according to Daniel's model in the measure of critical thinking. The current research i

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