Preferred Language
Articles
/
jeasiq-518
Determine the best model to predict the consumption of electric energy in the southern region
...Show More Authors

Abstract:          

                Interest in the topic of prediction has increased in recent years and appeared modern methods such as Artificial Neural Networks models, if these methods are able to learn and adapt self with any model, and does not require assumptions on the nature of the time series. On the other hand, the methods currently used to predict the classic method such as Box-Jenkins may be difficult to diagnose chain and modeling because they assume strict conditions.

               So there was a need to compare the traditional methods used to predict the time chained with neural networks method to find the most efficient method to predict, and this is the purpose of this study.

              Contributes to predict future demand for electricity in the electric power sector to solve problems through future planning to meet changes in the demand for electricity increases. Experience has shown there is no way of certain predict appropriate for all cases, but that in each case the way of a private predict is needed to find and use. However, taking more than one way may lead to raising the future accuracy of the estimates.

               The present study aims to shed light on some of the statistical methods used to predict future demand for electricity for the Southern District, as well as a reference to more accurate methods to predict the future of energy. It has been used a number of methods to predict , such as econometric modeling technique, style and Box- Jenkins method of artificial neural network. And service to the goal of the study, which is based upon the premise that search: the neural network models more accurate than traditional models in long-term. As it is the most efficient and more accurate than other conventional models in dealing with non-linear time-series data.

                We have been using the annual electrical energy consumption data for the Southern District to conduct a comparison of the program through the application of SPSS and Minitab for statistical analysis, and Matlab language has been used to build a program in neural networks, and through the practical application it was found that neural networks gives better results and more efficient than the classic way.

 

Crossref
View Publication Preview PDF
Quick Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sat Dec 30 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The Importance of Strategic Orientation Dimensions in the Iraqi National Security Service: An Analytical Study
...Show More Authors

The current research aims to identify the level of strategic orientation and its dimensions (vision, mission, goals, and values) in the Iraqi National Security Service (INSS). The researchers followed the descriptive analytical approach as one of the forms of analysis and organized scientific interpretation to describe a specific phenomenon or problem, adopting the form questionnaire being the main source in collecting data and preparing for this. Based on the program of the Statistical Package of Social Sciences (SPSS 26) to analyze the data and come up with the final research results to identify the opinions of the intended sample on the subject of research, and the questionnaire of (20) paragraphs included the search variable, and was

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Sun Jun 30 2013
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
ا Hadiths prohibiting the intimidation of a Muslim in the six books - an analytical study
...Show More Authors

This research deals with the hadiths of intimidation. An analytical study of the serious effects of intimidation in society. Intimidation and intimidation of a Muslim is a serious matter, because of the anxiety, intimidation, and dispossession of others ’rights, but some consider it easy, and others intimidate jokingly or seriously, which may lead to such intimidation to have effects Serious.
For intimidation entails the death of the individual, the disappearance of his mind, or the loss of his money, etc., from here the need was urgent; to show the vision of the prophetic Sunnah in denouncing intimidation, so we had this humble research tagged with (hadiths prohibiting the intimidation of a Muslim in the books The six are an analyt

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Mon Jun 05 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Effect of Public Debt on The Trade Balance in Iraq For The Period (2003-2021)
...Show More Authors

Despite the significant increase in public spending in Iraq, it was not directed toward the important sectors that have an important role in correcting the productive structure. Rather, most of the public expenditure was going to cover the required imports, or to face shocks, whether security or health, and this caused a continuous decrease in the volume of Iraq's exports of goods and services, as the aim of the study was to review the importance of public debt and its impact on the trade balance, as well as to know the economic policies that can contribute to strengthening the trade balance, as the study proved through the (ARDL) model that there is a direct relationship between the domestic debt and the net trade balance, and an invers

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref (1)
Crossref
Publication Date
Sat Dec 01 2012
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The use of two indicators of market value-added and return on capital invested in measuring the performance of the Iraqi banking sector
...Show More Authors

For a long time, the intensification of profit represented a major goal for the company management ,but this goal confirmed a series of restrictions such the constriction on short period, the time rather than on long and medium strategic goal, the relationships with customers ,the supplies, employees , This goal is replaced by another one (intensification of the company's value) ,and the fortune of the share holders itself ,for the purpose  of creating value, the company must generate  great outcomes to cover the operating expense and to insure the a suitable compensation to the invested capital (the market value added) is  the indication used to estimate the company ability to create value –added the development

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Sun Apr 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
The social organization of the Iraqi society "sociological study on the social arrangement in light of sociological analysis of some deviant behavior theories"
...Show More Authors

The current article focuses on studying the social organization reality of the Iraqi society; it aims to construct an Iraqi organized personality that believe in the principles of Islamic religion by making use of the sociology thoughts in explaining the strength of social organization, and the causes of social deviance in attempt of decreasing the deviance and strengthening the cohesion of Iraqi character.

The researchers put forward some questions: to what extent the western theoretical pattern can succeed in explaining the social organization of the Iraqi society? What is the more appropriate western theory for diagnosing the cohesion and deviance of the society? What is the s

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Mon Feb 04 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Tax Planning Policy Directions for The Development of The Tax Outcome in Iraq for The Years (1990- 2010): An Applied Research at The General Board of Taxes
...Show More Authors

The importance of research is to be considered by highlighting the tax policy in Iraq which extended for successive measurement of the amount of tax receipts for respective periods, the research problem represents security, economic and political issues that Iraq suffered which were very difficult since Nineties of the last century until now that led to a lake of clarity in tax policy trends, volatility in it and finally reflected on the tax revenues increase or decrease. One of the main recommendations of the research is: (The necessity to develop a deliberate strategy for tax policy in Iraq which should take into account financial, economic, and social goals in appropriate way).

View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Tue Dec 01 2009
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The role of knowledge management in achieving outstanding university performance (Applied study in the Faculty of Management and Economics / University of Kufa)
...Show More Authors

The research aims to determine the role of knowledge management to measure performance on a sample of faculties of Administration and Economics the University of Kufa, and to achieve this goal through a researcher from the theoretical literature and research and studies related to the construction of the scheme shows the hypothetical relationship between the variables, which was adopted by the independent variable knowledge management, distributed four variables are: (knowledge generation, knowledge storage, knowledge dissemination, the application of knowledge), as well as four variables representing the variables adopted for the performance of the university are:
(to reduce costs and increase profits, improve quality, scie

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Tue Dec 01 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The role of marketing recovery in improving the organization's reputation An applied study of a sample of private bank managers in Baghdad
...Show More Authors

This research aims to know and the role of the marketing recovery dimensions in improving the organization's reputation through an exploratory study of private banks in the city of Baghdad. The aim of the research is to define the role of the marketing recovery through its dimensions (compensation, apology, speed of response, assistance and problem solving), in improving the organization's reputation, as the research will attempt to provide a theoretical framework for the dimensions studied through the most important of what researchers presented and then conduct the applied aspect of the research. Data were collected using a questionnaire-based survey consisting of 35 questions and distributed to 110 managers of private banks in

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Sat Sep 15 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Baghdad College Of Dentistry
Evaluation of the efficacy of ultrasound in the diagnosis of cervical lymphadenopathy
...Show More Authors

Background: Cervical lymph nodes are prone to involved by a number of pathologic processes. They are common sites for lymphoma, metastasis, and reactive enlargement in a number of conditions. Aims of the study:-Clinical evaluation of patients with cervical lymphadenopathy. Differentiation between benign and malignant lymph nodes by means of ultra sounds (US) and Correlate the US findings with cytological and/or histopathological findings of cervical lymph nodes. Subjects, Materials and Methods:-The present study was carried out over a period of 6 months and included 81 patients of different age groups presenting with cervical lymphadenopathy. Each patient was examined clinically, then comprehensive sonographic examination of the neck for

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Sun Dec 01 2024
Journal Name
Научный Форум: филология, искусствоведение и культурология
Motivating signs of the concept of "Summer" in the linguoculture of Iraqis.
...Show More Authors