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Determine the best model to predict the consumption of electric energy in the southern region
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Abstract:          

                Interest in the topic of prediction has increased in recent years and appeared modern methods such as Artificial Neural Networks models, if these methods are able to learn and adapt self with any model, and does not require assumptions on the nature of the time series. On the other hand, the methods currently used to predict the classic method such as Box-Jenkins may be difficult to diagnose chain and modeling because they assume strict conditions.

               So there was a need to compare the traditional methods used to predict the time chained with neural networks method to find the most efficient method to predict, and this is the purpose of this study.

              Contributes to predict future demand for electricity in the electric power sector to solve problems through future planning to meet changes in the demand for electricity increases. Experience has shown there is no way of certain predict appropriate for all cases, but that in each case the way of a private predict is needed to find and use. However, taking more than one way may lead to raising the future accuracy of the estimates.

               The present study aims to shed light on some of the statistical methods used to predict future demand for electricity for the Southern District, as well as a reference to more accurate methods to predict the future of energy. It has been used a number of methods to predict , such as econometric modeling technique, style and Box- Jenkins method of artificial neural network. And service to the goal of the study, which is based upon the premise that search: the neural network models more accurate than traditional models in long-term. As it is the most efficient and more accurate than other conventional models in dealing with non-linear time-series data.

                We have been using the annual electrical energy consumption data for the Southern District to conduct a comparison of the program through the application of SPSS and Minitab for statistical analysis, and Matlab language has been used to build a program in neural networks, and through the practical application it was found that neural networks gives better results and more efficient than the classic way.

 

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Publication Date
Wed Mar 10 2021
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Study to modify the fat cow's milk for children and infants
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This study Ajert to modify the chemical composition of milk fat cows and make it similar to the installation of milk fat mother through the addition of protein and soybean oil to be given Alkhltatnsp sensory protein that the best plan is the ratio of 1:1

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Publication Date
Tue Mar 01 2022
Journal Name
International Journal Of Nonlinear Analysis And Applications
The suggested threshold to reduce data noise for a factorial experiment
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In this research, a factorial experiment (4*4) was studied, applied in a completely random block design, with a size of observations, where the design of experiments is used to study the effect of transactions on experimental units and thus obtain data representing experiment observations that The difference in the application of these transactions under different environmental and experimental conditions It causes noise that affects the observation value and thus an increase in the mean square error of the experiment, and to reduce this noise, multiple wavelet reduction was used as a filter for the observations by suggesting an improved threshold that takes into account the different transformation levels based on the logarithm of the b

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Publication Date
Sat Mar 26 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The Role of Big Data applications in forecasting corporate bankruptcy: Field analysis in the Saudi Business Environment
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This study aimed to investigate the role of Big Data in forecasting corporate bankruptcy and that is through a field analysis in the Saudi business environment, to test that relationship. The study found: that Big Data is a recently used variable in the business context and has multiple accounting effects and benefits. Among the benefits is forecasting and disclosing corporate financial failures and bankruptcies, which is based on three main elements for reporting and disclosing that, these elements are the firms’ internal control system, the external auditing, and financial analysts' forecasts. The study recommends: Since the greatest risk of Big Data is the slow adaptation of accountants and auditors to these technologies, wh

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 03 2020
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
nternational will in the Security Council Towards the Syrian crisis
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Nations witnessed since its existence a state of wills conflict as a result of the intersection and intertwining of interests, through which it sought to achieve its goals and objectives, and this has often led to direct military conflicts and countless wars, and witnessed the entry into global wars in which humanity lost millions of lives and losses .Despite the great changes in the international arena, especially in recent decades, the conflict of wills has not ceased, although some of its features and forms have changed, and it has become more complicated after the withdrawal of this conflict to international organizations and bodies, including the Security Council. It is mandated under the Charter of the United Nations to wor

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Publication Date
Tue Jan 14 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The factors effecting the discovery of insurance fraud from the perspective of the National Insurance Company's employees
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This research aims to identify the factors effecting the investigation of insurance fraud from the perspective of the National Insurance Company employees, by analyzing the study variables and make recommendations on how to enhance the company and employees performance, and to achieve the objectives of the study and test hypotheses a questionnaire was designed after referring to the international standards  and the 1969 Iraqi punishment law, and it was answered by 20 employees that were approved for the purposes of  this research and analysis.

      The study found that lack of employee training was a strong factor, while the supervisory staff and operational procedures was a weak one.

G

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Publication Date
Mon Nov 17 2025
Journal Name
Al-fatih Journal
The impact of the use of mirrors in the level of performance of some skills epeeEmpirical researchStudents on the third stage in the Faculty of Physical Education for Girls
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يهدف البحث الى أعداد بعض تمرينات الاساسية لسلاح الشيش بأستخدام المرايا في تطوير قدرة مستوى تعلم الطالبات في المبارزة ومعرفة الفروق بين المجموعتين التجريبي والضابطة بتأثير استخدام المرايا في مستوى اداء بعض مهارات سلاح الشيش لطالبات المرحلة الثالثة , وقد أستخدمت الباحثتان المنهج التجريبي على عينة من طالبات المرحلة الثالثة , وقد بلغ عددهم (45) طالبة , وقد خرجت الباحثتين بعدة أستنتاجات وهي:- - أن المنهاج التعليمي

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Publication Date
Sun Oct 01 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
THE MACROECONOMIC ENVIRANMENT OF THE FOOD INDUSTRY IN IRAQ AND ITS FUTURE PROSPECTS
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Food industries are variety to include number of agricultural products (plantbotential and animal) which can be manufactured locally, thus, Iraqi market is full by different types of food products from neighbor countries, because of un equivalence and inability of competence, in away to cover (90%) average of local request need under commercial  opening.

In Iraq although its importance, this industry suffers from difficulties, the most important one is the rising  in  products costs, shortage in agricultural products, experience, and qualification, besides, the challenges , by flooding market in food products and what are contained of higher competitive features from quality and prices side

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Publication Date
Wed Feb 20 2019
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
The political role of social movements In Iraq for the period 2003-2014
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The phenomenon of the social movements of researchers, based on the scope of their influence on political events, and the nature of the wide role played, and its ability to influence, through its activities and various activities and various. It has practiced its activities through new and non-traditional peaceful means, with clear slogans and specific objectives. And was able to mobilize activists from different strata of the Iraqi people, and its categories and social strata. As the demands focused on freedoms, rights, dignity and social justice

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Publication Date
Mon Sep 03 2018
Journal Name
Al-academy
Simplicity and complexity in the visual layout of the designs Children magazine covers
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The magazine covers the subjects of (simplicity and complexity in the visual layout of the designs of magazine coverings of children) Chapter I The problem and importance of the goal and limits of research and addition to Terminology. In the second chapter the theoretical framework in which the first topic the role of simplicity and complexity in the design and the second section Visual design and design relations and the third research design in magazine covers and the third chapter includes the methodology of research and analysis and the results and conclusions and sources and the most important result of the research is (simplicity and complexity of design, Continuity and vitality and attract the attention of the receiver through the

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Crossref
Publication Date
Sat Jul 01 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The Impact of the Real Estate Tax in Maximizing Tax Revenues : applied research
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Tax revenues are considered one of the important sources of public revenues for the state as one of the tributaries that finance the public treasury to implement development plans. Real estate taxes are one of the sources of obtaining tax revenues in the state, as it follows that there are a number of factors that affect these revenues, which requires the development of necessary solutions and recommendations to address the resulting effects. Accordingly, this research sheds light on tax revenues in general and real estate tax revenues in particular to indicate the extent of their contribution to the total tax proceeds, as the tax proceeds of the real estate tax were analyzed into the total tax proceeds for the years (2017-2021). A numbe

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