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Determine the best model to predict the consumption of electric energy in the southern region
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Abstract:          

                Interest in the topic of prediction has increased in recent years and appeared modern methods such as Artificial Neural Networks models, if these methods are able to learn and adapt self with any model, and does not require assumptions on the nature of the time series. On the other hand, the methods currently used to predict the classic method such as Box-Jenkins may be difficult to diagnose chain and modeling because they assume strict conditions.

               So there was a need to compare the traditional methods used to predict the time chained with neural networks method to find the most efficient method to predict, and this is the purpose of this study.

              Contributes to predict future demand for electricity in the electric power sector to solve problems through future planning to meet changes in the demand for electricity increases. Experience has shown there is no way of certain predict appropriate for all cases, but that in each case the way of a private predict is needed to find and use. However, taking more than one way may lead to raising the future accuracy of the estimates.

               The present study aims to shed light on some of the statistical methods used to predict future demand for electricity for the Southern District, as well as a reference to more accurate methods to predict the future of energy. It has been used a number of methods to predict , such as econometric modeling technique, style and Box- Jenkins method of artificial neural network. And service to the goal of the study, which is based upon the premise that search: the neural network models more accurate than traditional models in long-term. As it is the most efficient and more accurate than other conventional models in dealing with non-linear time-series data.

                We have been using the annual electrical energy consumption data for the Southern District to conduct a comparison of the program through the application of SPSS and Minitab for statistical analysis, and Matlab language has been used to build a program in neural networks, and through the practical application it was found that neural networks gives better results and more efficient than the classic way.

 

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 24 2016
Journal Name
Al-academy
The Creative Imagination In the structure of Designed work: أيمان طه ياسين
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In the marsh of the vast technical development and its reflections on the public life in all of its forms man lives in the shade of this and that and he is in a disprate need to took attentively at his reality through a new artistic vision which the imagination gives it , its value, from this point we find the designers pay great efforts in creating advertising designs that creation and fertile imagination are consisting one unit, and through her flying study on the reality of employing the creative imagination in the designing of printed advertisements, the researcher submitted her questions where some of which are: -What are the requirements of employing the creative imagination in the designing process? And -What are the machineries o

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Publication Date
Tue Jun 15 2021
Journal Name
Al-academy
The aesthetics of the imagined in Saad Shaker ceramics: صبا علي حسن
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The study of the current study (to the concept of the aesthetics of the imagined in Iraqi ceramics (Saad Shaker) as a model for the study, as it represents one of the most important plastic arts that was characterized by renewal and modernity and its possession of many creative potentials. And by glazing, and the use of color oxides or by the creative act of borrowing the cultural heritage to turn it into a vocal piece of art for creation and innovation.
The researcher (Saad Shaker), being one of the first potters, his ceramics had a lot of development and semantic transmission, studying and decoding codes written in ceramic works. The current study included the theoretical framework in the first research (the philosophical beauty) an

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Publication Date
Mon Apr 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
The role of the woman in protecting children from wrong behavioral deviations
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Wrong behavioral deviations among youth witnessed an obvious growing, some of these deviations are, robbery, drug and internet addiction, and smoking. Additionally, intellectual extremism and the disrespect of the traditions and genuine customs, In light of this issue, the research aims to shed light on the educational and preventative role of the woman in protecting and immunizing children from the wrong behavioral deviations. The woman has a significant and influential role in the society in general and in her family, in particular to the responsibility lies on her. The research shed light on the manifestations of behavioral deviation in children and the mechanisms of prevention and treatment. The research concluded with a set of recom

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 01 2022
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
Political Transformations in The Republic of Turkmenistan During the Period (1991-2021)
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After the fall of the Soviet Union, a number of Eastern Bloc countries and Soviet republics have witnessed political transition. However, Turkmenistan, as one of the former Soviet republics, succeeded to preserve the authoritarian nature of the former Soviet regime. This study seeks to answer a number of research questions, the most prominent of which are: How were the political elite in Turkmenistan able to preserve the legacy of the Soviet policy based on centralization of power and individual rule?. The study reaches a set of conclusions, the most important of which are:

1-The roots of the tyranny in Turkmenistan are du to internal and external structural factors. The most important of which are: the former Soviet policies of m

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Publication Date
Tue Jun 14 2016
Journal Name
Al-academy
Space Treatment in the Ceramic Sculpture of the Potter "Shinyar Abdua – Allah"
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Space is considered as an important element in constructing artwork, it can be a dominant and fulfilled part that adds new existence to the content. Each artwork must have a space artistically or analytically. The internal and eternal space of artwork have associated with each other in order to be ann important connected unit that establishes the work epressions and helps the audience to understand it. Such kind of works can be represented by the works of the potter (Sheinyor Abdu Allah) which have uarious expressions of space which this study is based on.The study aims at finding out the treatment of apace in the ceramic sculpture works of the potter (Sheinyar Abdu Allah).The second chapter has many sections. T

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Publication Date
Tue Mar 01 2011
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The feasibility of re-enacting the Export Support Fund Act in Iraq
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Economists agree upon the importance of exports and their positive impacts on the economic variables. Therefore، they studied policies encouraging exports and set out the instrumentalities supporting them. These instrumentalities included a combination of fiscal، monetary، commercial، production policies like the tax policy that is encouraging to the exports، exchange rates reduction، establishing commercial free zones، better production quality، fostering investment climate، and preparation of the necessary financing before the exporting process and afterwards.

This research is interested in the finding aspect amongst the instrumentalities encouraging exports which is parallel t

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Publication Date
Thu Feb 07 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The Redemptive Vision of the Heart and Mind in Margaret Edson's Wit
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Approaching the turning of the millennium, the American theatre witnessed an arousing
interest much shown in patients suffering of severe diseases as a subject matter to drama. In a
discussion of Margaret Edson's Wit, the light is shed on how far such patients, who were literally
involved in secular visions during their life-time, become apt to create a different one on their
death beds. The vision newly blossomed becomes much rooted in the spiritual life; it is a
redemptive vision that can amend what those patients' hearts and minds have long ignored.
Further, the human touch that has been ignored during man's healthy secular life is ultimately
needed for the time being. It helps to enhance man's vision towards the

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 20 2018
Journal Name
Al-academy
the mechanism of employing the numbered personality in structuring scientific imaginary movies
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The researcher chose her research which is imprinted ( the mechanism of employing the numbered personality in structuring scientific imaginary movies) because it’s found in modern employing of the numbered personalities of the movies that are designed by computers which made the directors and the producers to exploit these numbered development technologies in designing numbered personalities, in order to make them heroes instead of the actual actors in the cinema scene, it’s divided the research to five chapters, the first chapter, the methodical fine which includes, the problem of the research, the aim of the research includes, the importance of the research and it’s details, and the chapter concludes limiting the important terms,

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Publication Date
Mon Mar 25 2019
Journal Name
Al-academy
The Effectiveness of the Symbol in Iraqi Monodrama Texts: محمد علي ابراهيم
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This research studies the effectiveness of the symbol in the Iraqi monodrama texts. The methodological framework is devoted to the research problem and the need for conducting it, its importance, the purpose of research, and the definition of the most important terms. The research problem dealt with the concept of the effectiveness of the symbol, the monodrama, and the working levels of the symbol in the monodrama texts of the author, in addition to the disclosure of the artistic vision embodied by the playwright in the use of the symbol within the literary product, as well as the development of the creative process. The research problem was defined by the following question: How effective is the symbol in the Iraqi Monodrama texts?
T

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Publication Date
Thu Dec 26 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The effective role of computer information systems in the tax assessment process
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The objective of this study is to enable the role of modern and advanced computerized information systems. The model or mechanism should be developed by collecting the necessary information about the taxpayers and the sources of the taxpayers' income, on the basis of which the accuracy of the inventory process will be adopted. In addition to studies related to computerized information systems and showing their importance to the tax institution. To achieve the objectives of the study and to answer its questions, the researcher relied on collecting data and information on the subject on the literature and previous studies The secondary sources, which also formed the theoretical framework of the study, were obtained either as a practical fr

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