Preferred Language
Articles
/
jeasiq-518
Determine the best model to predict the consumption of electric energy in the southern region
...Show More Authors

Abstract:          

                Interest in the topic of prediction has increased in recent years and appeared modern methods such as Artificial Neural Networks models, if these methods are able to learn and adapt self with any model, and does not require assumptions on the nature of the time series. On the other hand, the methods currently used to predict the classic method such as Box-Jenkins may be difficult to diagnose chain and modeling because they assume strict conditions.

               So there was a need to compare the traditional methods used to predict the time chained with neural networks method to find the most efficient method to predict, and this is the purpose of this study.

              Contributes to predict future demand for electricity in the electric power sector to solve problems through future planning to meet changes in the demand for electricity increases. Experience has shown there is no way of certain predict appropriate for all cases, but that in each case the way of a private predict is needed to find and use. However, taking more than one way may lead to raising the future accuracy of the estimates.

               The present study aims to shed light on some of the statistical methods used to predict future demand for electricity for the Southern District, as well as a reference to more accurate methods to predict the future of energy. It has been used a number of methods to predict , such as econometric modeling technique, style and Box- Jenkins method of artificial neural network. And service to the goal of the study, which is based upon the premise that search: the neural network models more accurate than traditional models in long-term. As it is the most efficient and more accurate than other conventional models in dealing with non-linear time-series data.

                We have been using the annual electrical energy consumption data for the Southern District to conduct a comparison of the program through the application of SPSS and Minitab for statistical analysis, and Matlab language has been used to build a program in neural networks, and through the practical application it was found that neural networks gives better results and more efficient than the classic way.

 

Crossref
View Publication Preview PDF
Quick Preview PDF
Publication Date
Thu Aug 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Development of methods of treatment of medical waste in the hospitals of Baghdad health Department / (Rusafa survey)
...Show More Authors

Purpose: To contribute to the development of an appropriate program for the management of medical waste based on clear-cut principles in order to reach the overall goal of improving the public health and environment of the population in our country.

Design / Approach / Introduction: The research is based on the analytical descriptive approach as a method of study in the field of data collection using a check list and analysis of the data through the use of some statistical treatments.

 Results: The need is to establish a medical waste management in hospitals and follow international standards in all stages of waste management from sorting, collection, transportation and treat

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref (1)
Crossref
Publication Date
Wed Jun 20 2018
Journal Name
Al-academy
the mechanism of employing the numbered personality in structuring scientific imaginary movies
...Show More Authors

The researcher chose her research which is imprinted ( the mechanism of employing the numbered personality in structuring scientific imaginary movies) because it’s found in modern employing of the numbered personalities of the movies that are designed by computers which made the directors and the producers to exploit these numbered development technologies in designing numbered personalities, in order to make them heroes instead of the actual actors in the cinema scene, it’s divided the research to five chapters, the first chapter, the methodical fine which includes, the problem of the research, the aim of the research includes, the importance of the research and it’s details, and the chapter concludes limiting the important terms,

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Mon Mar 25 2019
Journal Name
Al-academy
The Effectiveness of the Symbol in Iraqi Monodrama Texts: محمد علي ابراهيم
...Show More Authors

This research studies the effectiveness of the symbol in the Iraqi monodrama texts. The methodological framework is devoted to the research problem and the need for conducting it, its importance, the purpose of research, and the definition of the most important terms. The research problem dealt with the concept of the effectiveness of the symbol, the monodrama, and the working levels of the symbol in the monodrama texts of the author, in addition to the disclosure of the artistic vision embodied by the playwright in the use of the symbol within the literary product, as well as the development of the creative process. The research problem was defined by the following question: How effective is the symbol in the Iraqi Monodrama texts?
T

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Thu Dec 26 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The effective role of computer information systems in the tax assessment process
...Show More Authors

The objective of this study is to enable the role of modern and advanced computerized information systems. The model or mechanism should be developed by collecting the necessary information about the taxpayers and the sources of the taxpayers' income, on the basis of which the accuracy of the inventory process will be adopted. In addition to studies related to computerized information systems and showing their importance to the tax institution. To achieve the objectives of the study and to answer its questions, the researcher relied on collecting data and information on the subject on the literature and previous studies The secondary sources, which also formed the theoretical framework of the study, were obtained either as a practical fr

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Tue Mar 01 2011
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The feasibility of re-enacting the Export Support Fund Act in Iraq
...Show More Authors

Economists agree upon the importance of exports and their positive impacts on the economic variables. Therefore، they studied policies encouraging exports and set out the instrumentalities supporting them. These instrumentalities included a combination of fiscal، monetary، commercial، production policies like the tax policy that is encouraging to the exports، exchange rates reduction، establishing commercial free zones، better production quality، fostering investment climate، and preparation of the necessary financing before the exporting process and afterwards.

This research is interested in the finding aspect amongst the instrumentalities encouraging exports which is parallel t

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Thu Feb 07 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The Redemptive Vision of the Heart and Mind in Margaret Edson's Wit
...Show More Authors

Approaching the turning of the millennium, the American theatre witnessed an arousing
interest much shown in patients suffering of severe diseases as a subject matter to drama. In a
discussion of Margaret Edson's Wit, the light is shed on how far such patients, who were literally
involved in secular visions during their life-time, become apt to create a different one on their
death beds. The vision newly blossomed becomes much rooted in the spiritual life; it is a
redemptive vision that can amend what those patients' hearts and minds have long ignored.
Further, the human touch that has been ignored during man's healthy secular life is ultimately
needed for the time being. It helps to enhance man's vision towards the

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Thu Mar 30 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The Possibility of Applying Agile Internal Auditing in the Iraqi Economic Units
...Show More Authors

The research problem is that the traditional methods of internal auditing are somewhat heavy with long and rigid procedures for the members of the audit process team, especially in light of the current developments that are reflected in the business environment and internal audit reports, so it is necessary to reconsider the traditional internal audit work method and assess the extent of its development by agile methods to reduce the time of the audit process on the activities and elements that add value and direct the effort and time to the activities and elements that add value to the work of the economic unit and the report of the internal auditor.

The research aims to study the possibility of applying agile internal auditing

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref (1)
Crossref
Publication Date
Sun Dec 31 2017
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
The role of the media in promoting tolerant religious values: intellectual study
...Show More Authors

Research summary

Informing means informing and informing, which is conveying information to someone and confirming his narration with it. Accordingly, information is its main content..and it has multiple means, including visual, audio and read, and it has become the dominant role in the process of socialization, and much of what we hear, read, or watch in the media is not devoid of a goal, and expresses that scientifically as “charged with values” ( Value Loaded)..Values that are: the set of beliefs that the individual holds towards things, meanings, and various aspects of activity, which direct his desires and attitudes towards them, and determine for him acceptable and unacceptable behavior, right and wrong, and all of this

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Tue Jun 15 2021
Journal Name
Al-academy
The aesthetics of the imagined in Saad Shaker ceramics: صبا علي حسن
...Show More Authors

The study of the current study (to the concept of the aesthetics of the imagined in Iraqi ceramics (Saad Shaker) as a model for the study, as it represents one of the most important plastic arts that was characterized by renewal and modernity and its possession of many creative potentials. And by glazing, and the use of color oxides or by the creative act of borrowing the cultural heritage to turn it into a vocal piece of art for creation and innovation.
The researcher (Saad Shaker), being one of the first potters, his ceramics had a lot of development and semantic transmission, studying and decoding codes written in ceramic works. The current study included the theoretical framework in the first research (the philosophical beauty) an

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Sun Jan 24 2016
Journal Name
Al-academy
The Creative Imagination In the structure of Designed work: أيمان طه ياسين
...Show More Authors

In the marsh of the vast technical development and its reflections on the public life in all of its forms man lives in the shade of this and that and he is in a disprate need to took attentively at his reality through a new artistic vision which the imagination gives it , its value, from this point we find the designers pay great efforts in creating advertising designs that creation and fertile imagination are consisting one unit, and through her flying study on the reality of employing the creative imagination in the designing of printed advertisements, the researcher submitted her questions where some of which are: -What are the requirements of employing the creative imagination in the designing process? And -What are the machineries o

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref