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Determine the best model to predict the consumption of electric energy in the southern region
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Abstract:          

                Interest in the topic of prediction has increased in recent years and appeared modern methods such as Artificial Neural Networks models, if these methods are able to learn and adapt self with any model, and does not require assumptions on the nature of the time series. On the other hand, the methods currently used to predict the classic method such as Box-Jenkins may be difficult to diagnose chain and modeling because they assume strict conditions.

               So there was a need to compare the traditional methods used to predict the time chained with neural networks method to find the most efficient method to predict, and this is the purpose of this study.

              Contributes to predict future demand for electricity in the electric power sector to solve problems through future planning to meet changes in the demand for electricity increases. Experience has shown there is no way of certain predict appropriate for all cases, but that in each case the way of a private predict is needed to find and use. However, taking more than one way may lead to raising the future accuracy of the estimates.

               The present study aims to shed light on some of the statistical methods used to predict future demand for electricity for the Southern District, as well as a reference to more accurate methods to predict the future of energy. It has been used a number of methods to predict , such as econometric modeling technique, style and Box- Jenkins method of artificial neural network. And service to the goal of the study, which is based upon the premise that search: the neural network models more accurate than traditional models in long-term. As it is the most efficient and more accurate than other conventional models in dealing with non-linear time-series data.

                We have been using the annual electrical energy consumption data for the Southern District to conduct a comparison of the program through the application of SPSS and Minitab for statistical analysis, and Matlab language has been used to build a program in neural networks, and through the practical application it was found that neural networks gives better results and more efficient than the classic way.

 

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Publication Date
Wed Apr 11 2012
Journal Name
Diyala Journal For Pure Sciences
Synthesis and Characterization of 3-(4-Antipyrene azo)-4-amino benzoic acid Complexes with Selected Metal Ions
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Coupling reaction of 4-amino antipyrene with 4-amino benzoic acid gave bidentate azo ligand. The prepared ligand was identified by Microelemental Analysis, 1HNMR, FT-IR and UV-Vis spectroscopic techniques. Treatment of the prepared ligand with the following metal ions (CoII, NiII, CuII and ZnII) in aqueous ethanol with a 1:2 M:L ratio and at optimum pH, yielded a series of neutral complexes of the general formula [M(L)2]Cl2 . The prepared complexes were characterized using flame atomic absorption, (C.H.N) Analysis, FT-IR and UV-Vis spectroscopic methods as well as magnetic susceptibility and conductivity measurements. Chloride ion content was also evaluated by (Mohr method). The nature of the complexes formed were studied following the mol

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Publication Date
Thu Oct 01 2020
Journal Name
Palarch's Journal Of Archaeology Of Egypt / Egyptology
"Guarantees of Disciplinary Punishment on University Service Employee and Mechanisms for their Cancellation" Comparative study
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The university Service employee is considered one of the categories of public employees, However, The academic and administrative tasks duties that undertakes have made him a special importance and a distinguished legal status, Therefore, we find That the Iraqi legislatures assigned this category a special Law, it is the university Service law No (23) of 2008 as amended who dealt with some aspects related to serving this category, such as duties, right, condition for appointment and award of academic titles, and financial allocation, such as university service allocation, academic title allocations, and some other Provisions leaving other matters to the general service laws and employee discipline, among the matters that the legislator negl

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Publication Date
Mon Apr 01 2024
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Simultaneous spectrophotometric method for determination of both ciprofloxacin and cephalexin by using H-point standard addition method
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طريقة سهلة وبسيطة ودقيقة لتقدير السبروفلوكساسين  في وجود السيفاليكسين او العكس بالعكس في خليط منهما. طبقت الطريقة المقترحة بطريقة الاضافة القياسية لنقطة بنجاح في تقدير السبروفلوكساسين بوجود السيفاليكسين كمتداخل عند الاطوال الموجية 240-272.3 نانوميتر وبتراكيز مختلفة من  السبروفلوكساسين 4-18 مايكروغرام . مل-1 وكذلك تقدير السيفاليكسين بوجود السبروفلوكساسين الذي يتداخل باطوال موجية 262-285.7 نانوميتر وبتراكيز مخ

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Publication Date
Tue Jul 31 2012
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education - University Of Tikrit
Synthesis, Spectroscopic and Biological Studies of some Metal Complexes with 1-phenyl-2(1-phenyl ethylidene) hydrozine.
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Publication Date
Tue Feb 04 2014
Journal Name
Al-mustansiriyah
Synthesis, Spectroscopic and Biological Studies of some Metal Complexes with 2, 4-dinitro-2-amino hydrozo benzene.
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Publication Date
Mon Dec 05 2016
Journal Name
Iraqi
Synthesis, spectroscopic and Antibacterial activity study of N-]2(2-phenyl hydrazinyl) phenyl benzothiazol-2-amine complexes.
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Publication Date
Sat Oct 19 2024
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Synthesis, Characterization and Biological Activity of New Ligand     Derived from 4-‎(Dimethylamino) Benzaldehyde and Nano Copper Complex
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الصيغة العامة للمعقدات الجديدة [M2(BDS)Cl4] الناتجة من تفاعل الليكاند الجديد] ن1,ن4-ثنائي(1أ –بنزو]د[ اميدازول-2-يل)-ن1,ن4-ثنائي(4-ثنائي مثيل امينو) بنزيل) سكسنمايد[ (BDS) مع الايونات الفلزية الكادميوم, الكوبلت, الزئبق, النحاس والنيكل. تم اشتقاق هذا الليكاند من تفاعل المواد الثلاث 4-(ثنائي ميثيل أمينو) بنزالدهيد، 2-أمينو بنزيميدازول، وكلوريد السكسينيل. تم تشخيص المركبات باستخدام مطيافية طيف الاشعة تحت الحمراء وطيف الرن

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Publication Date
Sun Jun 30 2013
Journal Name
International Journal For Sciences And Technology
Synthesis and anti-bacterial study of novel compounds with bis (four-, five-, and seven-membered) heterocyclic rings
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New twin compounds having four-, five-, and seven- membered heterocyclic rings were synthesized via Schiff bases (1a,b) which were obtained by the condensation of o-tolidine with two moles of 4- N,N-dimethyl benzaldehyde or 4- chloro benzaldehyde. The reaction of these Schiff bases with two moles of phenyl isothiocyanate, phenyl isocyanate or naphthyl isocyanate as in scheme(1) led to the formation of bis -1,3- diazetidin- 2- thion and bis -1,3- diazetidin -2-one derivatives (2-4 a,b). While in scheme (2) bis imidazolidin-4-one (5a,b) ,bistetrazole (6a,b) and bis thiazolidin-4-one (7a,b) derivatives were produced by reacting the mentioned Schiff bases(1a,b)with two moles of glycine, sodium azide or thioglycolic acid, respectively. The new b

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Publication Date
Tue Sep 11 2018
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Physics
An experimental cross-section measurement of 10B(n,α)7Li reaction on counting alpha particles track density
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The present work determines the particle size based only on the number of tracks detected in a cluster created by a hot particle on the CR-39 solid state nuclear track detector and depending on the exposure time. The mathematical model of the cross section developed here gives the relationship between alpha particle emitting from the (n, α) reaction and the number of tracks created and distribution of tracks created on the surface of the track detector. In an experiment performed during this work, disc of boron compound (boric acid or sodium tetraborate) of different weights were prepared and exposed to thermal neutron from the source. Chemical etching is processes of path formation in the detector, during which a suitable etching solut

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Publication Date
Thu Sep 13 2018
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Assessment of Radiological Air Contamination for Selected Places at Al-Tuwaitha Nuclear Site during Winter and Spring
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This study presents the results of atmospheric particulates sampling using high volume air sampler for selected places at Al Tuwaitha nuclear site. The collected samples were analyzed for gross alpha /beta radioactivity using Ludlum model 3030 and measurement particles activity in Al Tuwaitha nuclear site and the surrounding areas for the period from 28/12/2016 to 13/4/2017.The measurement of activity concentrations ranged from (0.42±0.03 to 4.18±0.13) Bq/m3 for alpha particles and from(0.93±0.06 to 9.21±0.26) Bq/m3for beta particles. The activity concentration of nuclides inversely proportional with air temperature and wind speed while humidity is directly proportional with it. Highest value of activity concentration has been found at(

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