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Determine the best model to predict the consumption of electric energy in the southern region
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Abstract:          

                Interest in the topic of prediction has increased in recent years and appeared modern methods such as Artificial Neural Networks models, if these methods are able to learn and adapt self with any model, and does not require assumptions on the nature of the time series. On the other hand, the methods currently used to predict the classic method such as Box-Jenkins may be difficult to diagnose chain and modeling because they assume strict conditions.

               So there was a need to compare the traditional methods used to predict the time chained with neural networks method to find the most efficient method to predict, and this is the purpose of this study.

              Contributes to predict future demand for electricity in the electric power sector to solve problems through future planning to meet changes in the demand for electricity increases. Experience has shown there is no way of certain predict appropriate for all cases, but that in each case the way of a private predict is needed to find and use. However, taking more than one way may lead to raising the future accuracy of the estimates.

               The present study aims to shed light on some of the statistical methods used to predict future demand for electricity for the Southern District, as well as a reference to more accurate methods to predict the future of energy. It has been used a number of methods to predict , such as econometric modeling technique, style and Box- Jenkins method of artificial neural network. And service to the goal of the study, which is based upon the premise that search: the neural network models more accurate than traditional models in long-term. As it is the most efficient and more accurate than other conventional models in dealing with non-linear time-series data.

                We have been using the annual electrical energy consumption data for the Southern District to conduct a comparison of the program through the application of SPSS and Minitab for statistical analysis, and Matlab language has been used to build a program in neural networks, and through the practical application it was found that neural networks gives better results and more efficient than the classic way.

 

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Publication Date
Mon Mar 08 2021
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Impact the quality of the food in the rates of malnutrition in the city of Baghdad and Baquba - Iraq
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This research aims to identify the nutritional status of the individual's relationship to malnutrition using anthropometric measurements such as weight, height and impact on the values ??of the blood study sample included 200 male and 200 female of the inhabitants of the cities of Baghdad and Baquba reviewers Central Mahtbrat

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Publication Date
Wed Jan 29 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The Role of Benchmarking in Developing the Curricula of Accounting Departments in Iraqi Universities
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             The economical units in the world face great and rapid challenges in all aspects, a matter that requires facing these challenges throughout continuous improving and developing in their performance to keep their competitive position "place".

       The Benchmarking Technique is one of the modern managerial tools that are proved to be successful in application throughout making continuous comparisons between products or services and the best – performance levels the compete with it . This is achieved to develop its performance and give it the competitive criterion with which it faces its competitors.

  

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Publication Date
Thu Apr 25 2019
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Market Research And Consumer Protection
The Correlation between the Dimensions of Organizational Silence and the F Function Life an Exploratory Study of the Views of a Sample of Workers in the Health Center / Sulaykh: The Correlation between the Dimensions of Organizational Silence and the F Function Life an Exploratory Study of the Views of a Sample of Workers in the Health Center / Sulaykh
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The research aims to test the effect of the behavioral factors (intangible) represented by an explanatory variable represented by organizational silence and a responsive variable of quality of Function life. The problem was the negative effects of the organizational silence on the morale of the employees and consequently their performance and the quality of function life. To collect the data and information needed to measure the two variables of research conducted in the health center / Sulaikh by taking a sample of (40) employees to test the hypotheses of research through the survey of their views, using statistical tools non parametric using the program. The most important recommendations were the establishment of training workshops fo

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Publication Date
Mon Nov 30 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Impact the Organizational downsizing in organizational health: Analytical research in the Directorate of Education in Nineveh
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This research aims to determine the extent of the contribution of organizational downsizing strategies to enhance the health of the researched organization represented by the Directorate of Education in Nineveh, and to achieve this goal, the study provided a simplified intellectual framework for the most important topics covered by writers and researchers for search variables, reinforced by an applied analytical framework for the opinions of (79) individuals responsible for the researched organization. The research adopted organizational downsizing as an independent variable that includes three dimensions represented by (reduction of human resources, job redesign, systemic strategy), while the organizational health represented th

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Publication Date
Tue Jun 14 2016
Journal Name
Al-academy
Expressive and aesthetic role of the scenes in the initiation speech the picture (Cinema Togravea)
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Construction is the opening of the important pillars of the construction of the film as a whole for this, we find that the first of any narrative of my film begin at the borders of this construction is the window that we look through the contents tale and puzzle narrative is of significance that degrade traveler when reservoirs expression later in reasoning and find justifications ills that came by those initiation, this initiation may be the window that lead us to the core, understanding the story through signals received to the recipient to sail because of the paths of pickling what is which is encoded, but this initiation may serve as keys that understanding the be puppies and signals that beset and surrounded to what He holds inevita

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Publication Date
Sun Sep 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Global Pharma Technology
Calculation of Stabilization Energy of Tetrahedrane with its Nitrogen Substituted Derivatives by DFT Method and Driving an Empirical Relation Connect it with Charge Functions of the Molecule
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In this work the strain energy of tetrahedrane and its nitrogen substituted molecules were calculated by isodesmic reaction method according to DFT quantum chemical fashion, the used basis set was 6-31G/B3-LYP, in addition all structures were optimized by RM1 semi-empirical method. From the obtained data we estimate an empirical equation connect between strain energy of the molecule with charge functions represented by dipole moment of the molecule plus accumulated charge density involved within the tetrahedron frame plus the number of nitrogen atoms. The results indicate the charge spreading factors by polarization and processes are the most important factors in decreasing the strain energy.

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Publication Date
Tue Mar 01 2011
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The impact of cognitive processes in the areas of organizational changeApplied Study in the Directorate General of Training and Development / Ministry of Electricity
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Centric study on the interest of the Directorate General of Training and Development / Ministry of Electricity to consolidate the concept of process and enhancement of knowledge in the areas of organizational change، it reached a sample of the study (44) people who are highly heads of departments، technicians and administrators in different sections of the Directorate and by using the correlation coefficient (Spearman) & coefficient of simple regression been tested correlations between variables and the impact of the study، as has been reached to integrate the role of cognitive processes with the areas of organizational change and relationships that were significant at the level of overall dimensions and subsidiary organs.

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Publication Date
Thu Sep 15 2022
Journal Name
Al-academy
The philosophy of physical and sensory communication in the dramatic show
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Modern critical theories revealed polemical views about the reality of the existence of communication - as a necessity for building a deliberative discourse - in the theater or not. To the theory of communication with all the conditions it imposes on thinking, interaction, and emancipation of selves in different contexts.
Therefore, the current research included four chapters, the first chapter dealt with the research problem, which was represented in (the philosophy of sensory and physical communication in theatrical performance), and the first chapter included the importance of the research, its goal and its limits, and ended with defining the terminology, and the second chapter included (theoretical framework) the first topic (ph

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Publication Date
Tue Jun 30 2015
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
· Bug selection for names                   In the interpretation of the long sea
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Whoever contemplates the Qur'an and recites its texts finds that the Qur'an did not invent or invent words that were unknown before it. Rather, it is the language of the Qur'an which deals with all the matters of the saying. He chose the most honorable of the materials and connected them to the meaning. And in the places of prosperity or sweetness, we find his words easy, to go into the midst of the ills for which it is The Holy Quran chose vocabulary and structures without The son of Ajeeba was one of those distinguished by high taste and linguistic sciences. This ability helped him to analyze and draw, and to explain the ills for which he influenced the singular On the other, and installed on another, and to show the efforts of Ibn Aje

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 30 2015
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
The causes of fear in the world An original Quranic study
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The subject of fear is one of the most important tasks that one should seek to find out the reasons behind it, and push it up with all its sound mental concepts.
     The main reason for the lack of security and fear and disturbance in the world is to commit the legitimate violations that God warned us in his Holy Book as well as in the Sunnah of His Prophet (peace be upon him).
    The talk about the causes of fear in the Koran is not limited to the word (fear) Fakk but came in different and varied methods such as (horror) and (awe) and (shares) and (narrow).

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