Preferred Language
Articles
/
jeasiq-518
Determine the best model to predict the consumption of electric energy in the southern region
...Show More Authors

Abstract:          

                Interest in the topic of prediction has increased in recent years and appeared modern methods such as Artificial Neural Networks models, if these methods are able to learn and adapt self with any model, and does not require assumptions on the nature of the time series. On the other hand, the methods currently used to predict the classic method such as Box-Jenkins may be difficult to diagnose chain and modeling because they assume strict conditions.

               So there was a need to compare the traditional methods used to predict the time chained with neural networks method to find the most efficient method to predict, and this is the purpose of this study.

              Contributes to predict future demand for electricity in the electric power sector to solve problems through future planning to meet changes in the demand for electricity increases. Experience has shown there is no way of certain predict appropriate for all cases, but that in each case the way of a private predict is needed to find and use. However, taking more than one way may lead to raising the future accuracy of the estimates.

               The present study aims to shed light on some of the statistical methods used to predict future demand for electricity for the Southern District, as well as a reference to more accurate methods to predict the future of energy. It has been used a number of methods to predict , such as econometric modeling technique, style and Box- Jenkins method of artificial neural network. And service to the goal of the study, which is based upon the premise that search: the neural network models more accurate than traditional models in long-term. As it is the most efficient and more accurate than other conventional models in dealing with non-linear time-series data.

                We have been using the annual electrical energy consumption data for the Southern District to conduct a comparison of the program through the application of SPSS and Minitab for statistical analysis, and Matlab language has been used to build a program in neural networks, and through the practical application it was found that neural networks gives better results and more efficient than the classic way.

 

Crossref
View Publication Preview PDF
Quick Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sun May 08 2011
Journal Name
Journal Of Planner And Development
The use of GIS in the analysis of existing condition of spatial distribution of wire communications network in the city of Baghdad
...Show More Authors

The increasing efficiency of the telecommunications network in the city contributes to the increase in spatial interaction between activities (to influence and mutual influence) This study is based on the idea that the upgrading of telephone services provided to citizens are done exclusively through the growth and development of all levels of the service using advanced technologies to know the problems and appropriate solutions in short time and less cost. Thus, crystallized the objectives of the study which was built for the importance of GIS in the planning of services in general, and infrastructure services, in particular, including telephone services, which is represent a point of contact between individuals on the one hand a

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sat Oct 01 2022
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
ETHICAL JOURNALISM IN IRAQ AFTER 2003: Baghdad edition as a model
...Show More Authors

The fact of having Journalism being open to people from different orientations professions, working as journalists requiring protection just to spread corruption, is one of the biggest threats faced by journalism.

Journalists noticed the spread of unprincipled journalists with no journalistic ethics amongst them, they tried to protect their profession from these corrupt outsiders who might annihilate the mighty of journalism. The principles of the journalism profession known as journalistic ethics, are one the most important formulations of the law concluded by the journalists and those concerned by the the profession, they were then published in public in order to prove their professionalism, especially for those who don’t und

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Sat Dec 30 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Civilizational Manifestations in the City of Astrabath in the Sixth Century AH
...Show More Authors

The current study is concerned with presenting a descriptive study of the history of the city of Astrabath in the sixth century AH. The problem that the research tried to answer is represented in the investigation of historical news, and the study of the most prominent cultural aspects which characterizing that city. The research also aims to reach the geographical location of that city, its name and its suburbs. The importance of the research lies in the knowledge of everything related to the role of the civilization of Astrabath, as well as tracing the entry of the Arabs to it, so that it became a cultural, economic and scientific center and its historical role in the sixth century AH. The research reminde us with the scientific role o

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Wed Mar 15 2023
Journal Name
Al-academy
The role of Iraqi nature in the style of the artist Ayath Abdul Rahman Ameen
...Show More Authors

This research aims to clarify the role of Iraqi nature in the style of the artist Ayath Al-Doori. Through it, the spotlight was shed on the aesthetic of Iraqi nature, its importance and its relationship to art, and its pioneering role in the style of the Doori artist. The research included two axes: the theoretical axis and the applied axis. The first theoretical axis deals with two topics: The first topic: the aesthetic of Iraqi nature as part of the life and methods of Iraqi artists from ancient times until today, including the periodic artist. The second topic: the league artist touched on the private life of the league artist. As for the second (applied) axis, it includes the research community, the research sample models, the resear

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Fri Sep 30 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The impact of the risks of foreign currency positions in the audit procedures : Applied research
...Show More Authors

The research aims to know the extent of the impact of the risks of foreign exchange centers represented in the risks of commitment, exchange rate changes and liquidity risks in audit procedures, and accordingly the research will provide an applied framework of knowledge that shows the relationship between the variables addressed, and the importance of the research lies in the light of its presentation of intellectual, cognitive and applied contributions On the risks of foreign exchange centers and audit procedures, the research community is represented in the banking sector. The sample included nine private commercial banks listed in the Iraqi Stock Exchange. The research relied on a time series consisting of four years that extended fro

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Wed Apr 01 2015
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
The Reasons of the Student of Secondary School Abstention From Participation in The Theatrical Activity
...Show More Authors

The present study aims at knowing the reasons of the student of secondary school abstention from participation in the theatrical activity, and to know the reasons that resulted in this abstention. In addition to that, the study aims at knowing the differences according to variables (gender, scholastic stage, and major of study). The sample of the study was chosen from the secondary schools in Baghdad in the random manner from Al-Karakh and Al-Rusafa districts of (147) students. The questionnaire was used to collected data.

          The result showed that all the items are intense, the item of (Students do not know how to use their leisure time) obtained the hi

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Mon Jun 15 2020
Journal Name
Al-academy
Kinetic diversity of the camera in the structure of the cinematographic scene: وفاء سعدي صالح
...Show More Authors

  Highlighting the role of the movement and its dramatic dimensions, as an artistic product, whether at the level of cinema or television in general, and the stages of its influence within the structure of the cinematographic scene in particular, had an effective role in the continuation of the structure of the event according to its dramatic and aesthetic process, and from this the research problem crystallized in the following question: What is How the kinetic diversity of the camera in the structure of the cinematographic scene is achieved to achieve the maximum possible benefit by extrapolating all opinions in line with the objectives of the research, the research presented and two topics and the introduction were divided, which

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Mon Dec 30 2019
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
His eloquence of Quranic verses in the verses of the Resurrection
...Show More Authors

 The research tagged (eloquence of the Qur’anic verses in the resurrection verses) deals with study and analysis of the aesthetics of miracles in the Qur’anic poems centered on the horrors of the Day of Resurrection, and aims to clarify the role of the Qur’anic unique and its impact the miraculousness of the Qur’anic style systems, the accuracy of the unique selection and its wonderful harmony in form and content, voice and meaning, composition And a picture with its context and denomination; based on that, the research was based on the analytical method to reach its goal, and the research plan imposed its division into two preamble and two topics, the first topic dealt with: the rhetoric of the nominal Qur’anic verses in

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Thu Feb 07 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
(Love and Love) in the light of the significance of Quranic
...Show More Authors

Thanks allah and peace be upon our prophet muhammed and upon his family and his
followers……
Love means in holy quran what comes to people s mind nowadays and what it inspired its
signi ficence is related with sensual desire and it means adore and passion .by the waythe
word (ishiq) adore wasn’t mentioned in holy quran which means that both of their bases are
farfrom each oiter in m eaning.
The significance of love means virtue while adore means the excess and desire so adore is
dis praised . as al askari said (died 395h )between love and adore.adore is the strain of desire
to get the purpose from lovers if it was ahuman who intended to make love affairs.
Today both of love and adore changed in their meani

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sun Sep 27 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The Effectiveness of PDEODE Strategy in Acquiring Historical Concepts in the Subject of History for Students of the Fourth Literary Grade
...Show More Authors

The research aims to know (the effect of the pdeode strategy) in acquiring historical concepts among the fourth-grade literary female students in the history module. To achieve the goal of this research, the following null hypothesis was formulated. There is no statistically significant difference at the level of (0.05) between the average scores of the experimental group students, who study history according to the PDEODE strategy, and the average scores of the control group students who study the same module in the traditional way of the historical concepts acquisition test.The researcher chose the experimental method for the current research and adopted the experimental design of partial control with a post-test, which depends on the

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref