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Determine the best model to predict the consumption of electric energy in the southern region
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Abstract:          

                Interest in the topic of prediction has increased in recent years and appeared modern methods such as Artificial Neural Networks models, if these methods are able to learn and adapt self with any model, and does not require assumptions on the nature of the time series. On the other hand, the methods currently used to predict the classic method such as Box-Jenkins may be difficult to diagnose chain and modeling because they assume strict conditions.

               So there was a need to compare the traditional methods used to predict the time chained with neural networks method to find the most efficient method to predict, and this is the purpose of this study.

              Contributes to predict future demand for electricity in the electric power sector to solve problems through future planning to meet changes in the demand for electricity increases. Experience has shown there is no way of certain predict appropriate for all cases, but that in each case the way of a private predict is needed to find and use. However, taking more than one way may lead to raising the future accuracy of the estimates.

               The present study aims to shed light on some of the statistical methods used to predict future demand for electricity for the Southern District, as well as a reference to more accurate methods to predict the future of energy. It has been used a number of methods to predict , such as econometric modeling technique, style and Box- Jenkins method of artificial neural network. And service to the goal of the study, which is based upon the premise that search: the neural network models more accurate than traditional models in long-term. As it is the most efficient and more accurate than other conventional models in dealing with non-linear time-series data.

                We have been using the annual electrical energy consumption data for the Southern District to conduct a comparison of the program through the application of SPSS and Minitab for statistical analysis, and Matlab language has been used to build a program in neural networks, and through the practical application it was found that neural networks gives better results and more efficient than the classic way.

 

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Publication Date
Tue Sep 15 2020
Journal Name
Al-academy
Forbidden Montage and the transition Technique in one-snapshot Movies 1917 Film- A model: محمد عبد الجبار كاظم-عذراء محمد حسن
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  Starting from the term (forbidden montage) initiated by the French critic (Andre Bazin) as a method of processing the movies that depend on (mise en scene) achieved by the action of the camera and its ability to photograph and employ the depth of the field, in addition to the possibility of free movement without interruption in the filming environment in order to avoid montage as much as possible (the montage that distorts focus and distracts attention and moves away from realism, which is the most important theoretical pillar of Bazin in photography). The pursuit was behind a cinema that depicts its topics in one integrated snapshot with all its details thus approximating reality without any interference of montage. Our study sta

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Publication Date
Fri Dec 15 2023
Journal Name
Al-academy
The use of metal in ancient Syria in the manufacture of jewelry (ornamental tools in the third and second millennium BC and the molds used in their manufacture)
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 This research sheds light on the use of metal in the manufacture of jewelry, which is represented by ornamental tools in the period between the third and second millennium BC, in addition to the most important molds used in their manufacture. Man has been interested in metals since early ages, and was able to make tools that he uses in his daily life, especially jewelry. And the Syrian people got acquainted with the types of minerals, their characteristics, and how to deal with them. Minerals played an effective and prominent role in the economy of ancient Syria. Trade with those countries and secure their roads.

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Publication Date
Fri Jan 01 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Tax audit and examination of electronic accounting information systems: proposed model / Applied research at the General Tax Authority
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Technology is one of the important influences in the development of professions in general and the profession of tax auditing and examination in particular because of the importance of this section in the General Tax Authority because of the service it provides is auditing the financial accounts provided to the department by the taxpayers to ensure the correctness of revenue and the achievement of tax justice. Where the research aims at the importance of using electronic accounting information systems in developing the work of the Tax Audit and Examination Department, to reduce the difficulties that the department may be using using manual systems, which is the need for time and effort to accomplish it, and to develop methods and procedu

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Publication Date
Sat Dec 01 2007
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
سلوك السائح ودوره في تحديد النمط السياحي
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المقدمة

تعد السياحة احد مستلزمات الحضارة الحديثة لما تفرزه من آثار ايجابية ودور متميز في دعم الاقتصاد الوطني وتقليل نسبة البطالة وتنشيط الحركة التجارية بين البلدان، اذ لا يمكن ان نتصور وجود بلد متحضر بلا فنادق ولا سياحة وتقديم مختلف السلع والخدمات سياحية التي يمكن ان تسبع الحاجات والرغبات واذواق السياح من خلال  وجود منشآت سياحية تعكس النمط السياحي القائم على اختلاف انواعه

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Publication Date
Wed Feb 01 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Evaluating the performance of inspectors general offices in reducing corruption According to global indicators(Field research comparative)
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Abstract

        This research aims to evaluate the application of the inspectors general of global indicators offices according to the axles (leadership, strategy and planning, employees, partners and resources, process management) and through the assumption main research which states that (there is an application for global indicators to evaluate performance in the offices of the ministries under study) which are subdivided into five sub-hypotheses according to the classification and division of the five axes of the checklist.

The researchers have taken refuge in the process of assessing the performance of the check list which included global i

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Publication Date
Sat Aug 13 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The effect of the information of the supporting bodies on the tax inventory: An Applied research in the General Commission of Taxes
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The research aims to show the impact that the information of the supporting bodies can have and its dimensions represented by (information credibility, efficiency and effectiveness of information, cooperation with the tax administration, obligating the taxpayer, accuracy and completeness of information and the appropriate time) in tax inventory, as well as clarifying the moral differences in  The response of the surveyed sample according to the personal variables represented by (gender, educational attainment, scientific specialization, job title, years of service), and the descriptive analytical approach was adopted and in light of it, the questionnaire was designed as a main tool in collecting data from the sample of (80)

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Publication Date
Wed Sep 28 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The Effect of the Rapid Learning Method in Developing Creative Thinking Among Second-Grade Students in the Middle School in the Subject of History
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The current research aims to examine the effect of the rapid learning method in developing creative thinking among second-grade female students in the subject of history. Thus, the researcher has adopted an experimental design of two groups to suit the nature of the research. The sample of the study consists of (36) randomly selected students from Al-Shafaq Secondary School for Women, which are divided randomly into two groups. The first group represents the experimental; it includes (31) students who studied the subject of history using the quick learning method. The second group, on the other hand, is the control group, which consists of (32) students, who studied the same subject using the traditional way. Before starting with the exp

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 01 2005
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
The Picture of the romantic hero in: A Bridge Towards the Basific and The Lover
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This research deals with number of novels for Marguerit Doras , specially A Bridge Towards Basfic and The Lover . we specialize the first chapter for discussing a very important issue , which is the Maraguerit Doras novelist world in another word the most important themes . that we discuss and through that we tried to clerify the privacy the characters of Marguerit Doras in comparative with her own generation and in the second chapter we discussed the most important characteristics of the romantic hero spedially the characteristics of women in her novels.

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Publication Date
Sun Feb 03 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The role of thclimate in the development of the performance of the administrative bodies of sports clubs
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The role of the climate in the development of the performance of the administrative bodies of sports clubs

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Publication Date
Mon Jul 14 2025
Journal Name
Modern Sport
The reasons for the failure of simple assault and its relationship to the level of levelp performance skill players weapon sword
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The method of analysis is one of the tools the coach to identify strengths andweaknesses of each player, and how to avoid mistakes that in the course ofperformance on the other hand, Voslob analysis is important for the player, as throughthe analysis will determine the capacity enjoyed by both the coach and player, as wellas being the possibility of progress in a scientific manner thoughtful, and also helps inthe evaluation of physical and skill level and tactical, psychological and trainingcapacity of the coach in order to avoid obstacles and make the coach is movingtowards the right track to improve the good level, and then an investigation tocomplete higher education.Hence the importance of research in the analysis of simple attack and n

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