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Determine the best model to predict the consumption of electric energy in the southern region
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Abstract:          

                Interest in the topic of prediction has increased in recent years and appeared modern methods such as Artificial Neural Networks models, if these methods are able to learn and adapt self with any model, and does not require assumptions on the nature of the time series. On the other hand, the methods currently used to predict the classic method such as Box-Jenkins may be difficult to diagnose chain and modeling because they assume strict conditions.

               So there was a need to compare the traditional methods used to predict the time chained with neural networks method to find the most efficient method to predict, and this is the purpose of this study.

              Contributes to predict future demand for electricity in the electric power sector to solve problems through future planning to meet changes in the demand for electricity increases. Experience has shown there is no way of certain predict appropriate for all cases, but that in each case the way of a private predict is needed to find and use. However, taking more than one way may lead to raising the future accuracy of the estimates.

               The present study aims to shed light on some of the statistical methods used to predict future demand for electricity for the Southern District, as well as a reference to more accurate methods to predict the future of energy. It has been used a number of methods to predict , such as econometric modeling technique, style and Box- Jenkins method of artificial neural network. And service to the goal of the study, which is based upon the premise that search: the neural network models more accurate than traditional models in long-term. As it is the most efficient and more accurate than other conventional models in dealing with non-linear time-series data.

                We have been using the annual electrical energy consumption data for the Southern District to conduct a comparison of the program through the application of SPSS and Minitab for statistical analysis, and Matlab language has been used to build a program in neural networks, and through the practical application it was found that neural networks gives better results and more efficient than the classic way.

 

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Publication Date
Tue Jan 18 2022
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
The Limitation of Pre-processing Techniques to Enhance the Face Recognition System Based on LBP
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Most systems are intelligent and the industrial world is moving now towards
technology. Most industrial systems are now computerized and offer a high speed.
However, Face recognition is a biometric system that can identify people from their
faces. For few number of people to be identified, it can be considered as a fast
system. When the number of people grew to be bigger, the system cannot be adopted
in a real-time application because its speed will degrade along with its accuracy.
However, the accuracy can be enhanced using pre-processing techniques but the
time delay is still a challenge. A series of experiments had been done on AT&TORL
database images using Enhanced Face Recognition System (EFRS) that is

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Publication Date
Wed Mar 30 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Content analysis of the chemistry textbook for the third intermediate grade according to visual thinking
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The aim of this research is to identify the availability of visual thinking skills in the chemistry textbook scheduled for the third intermediate grade for the academic year (2020-2021) in the Republic of Iraq. The study sample consisted of all (85) images contained in the chemistry course for the third intermediate grade, which are (85) form using the curriculum.  Analytical descriptive A list of visual thinking skills was prepared, and the unit of form was adopted as a unit of analysis and repetition as a unit of counting, and frequencies and percentages were used for statistical treatment, and validity and reliability were calculated.  And using the Holste equation.  The following results were reached: The skill

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Publication Date
Sat Jun 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Measuring the Performance of IT Governance According to COBIT5 Framework by Using the Balanced Scorecard
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The research aims to clarify the COBIT5 framework for IT governance and to develop of a criterion based on Balanced Scorecard that contributes in measuring the performance of IT governance. To achieve these goals, the researchers adopted the deductive approach in the design of balanced scorecard to measure the IT governance at the Bank of Baghdad that was chosen because it relied heavily on IT.

The research has reached a number of conclusions, the most important of which is that the performance of IT department in the Bank of Baghdad falls within the good level that requires constant monitoring, the most committed items of Balanced Scorecard by the Bank were customer, internal operation, growth and finally the financial item; IT

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Publication Date
Sun Jul 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
The healthy personality and its relation to the academic achievement of school and university teacher
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Personality regard as one of the human soul pillars that has been built throughout the life of people, starting from the fertilizing process to different stages of people ages. Over time, numerous scientific studies have shown that fetus has the ability to hear and feel and he is being stereotyped since the first stages of formation. Accordingly, the process of forming human personality set up since that date. Besides, the socialization means that take different resources to enhance human personality such as holy Quran, school, social media, and social environment. The emergence of social media made the world as a small village which gives the chance for all people, over the world, to obtain the knowledge easily and limitless. Thus, the

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Publication Date
Wed May 25 2022
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Using Persistence Barcode to Show the Impact of Data Complexity on the Neural Network Architecture
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    It is so much noticeable that initialization of architectural parameters has a great impact on whole learnability stream so that knowing  mathematical properties of dataset results in providing neural network architecture a better expressivity and capacity. In this paper, five random samples of the Volve field dataset were taken. Then a training set was specified and the persistent homology of the dataset was calculated to show impact of data complexity on selection of multilayer perceptron regressor (MLPR) architecture. By using the proposed method that provides a well-rounded strategy to compute data complexity. Our method is a compound algorithm composed of the t-SNE method, alpha-complexity algorithm, and a persistence barcod

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Publication Date
Wed Aug 31 2022
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Geology and Correlative Analysis of Borehole Logs with Geo-electric Sections of Some Parts of Ibadan, Southwestern Nigeria
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       The property of rocks varies from one geological location to another or even disappears laterally, and these properties are important factors in determining groundwater quantity. This makes this research work focused on the correlative analysis of lithologies and borehole logs with geo-electric sections in the basement terrain of Ibadan, southwestern Nigeria, using Borehole logging and geophysical electrical method. Twenty-two vertical electrical sounding stations and borehole Logsare acquired within the study area with a maximum Schlumberger electrode separation of 100m. The data are interpreted qualitatively and quantitatively by partial curve matching and computer iteration to obtain the first-order geo-electric model par

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Publication Date
Tue Jun 20 2023
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Determination of Molecular Weight and Viscosity of Irradiated Polystyrene
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The varied applications of polystyrene in various fields of life led to examining the cause of radiation influence on some rheological behavior of commercial Polystyrene (PS) solution in the chloroform (CHCl3) solvent. Polystyrene grains shape samples were irradiated using the radioactive element Cesium- 137 with (9 µci) activity for 10, 20, and 30 minutes. The viscosity of the polymer solution depends on the concentration and size (i.e. molecular weight) of the dissolved polymer. Experimental data showed that the radiation dose affected the value of viscosity (shear, relative, specific, and reduced). The viscosity value significantly reduced at 10 min radiation dose and when increasing the dose, the viscosity value increased

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Publication Date
Sun May 08 2011
Journal Name
Journal Of Planner And Development
the reality of the transportation network in Iraq
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Transportation network could be considered as a function of the developmental level of the Iraq, that it is representing the sensitive nerve of the economic activity and the corner stone for the implementation of development plans and developing the spatial structure.
The main theme of this search is to show the characteristics of the regional transportation network in Iraq and to determine the most important effective spatial characteristics and the dimension of that effect negatively or positively. Further this search tries to draw an imagination for the connection between network as a spatial phenomenon and the surrounded natural and human variables within the spatial structure. This search aiming also to determine the nat

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Publication Date
Mon Feb 19 2018
Journal Name
Al-academy
The Effectiveness of the Movement in Graphic Design
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The movement is considered one of the important factors which attracts the receiver attention in designing artificial works in general, and especially in the advertisements, moreover the subject of the movement in the designing advertisements needs more care and study by the scholars. From this importance and from reaching to the basic streams of the research topic (the effect of the movement in the graphic design) the problem of the research has been set according to the following wonder:

  • What is the designing process that establishes the movement in the commercial advertisements designs?

           

      The researche

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 31 2017
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
The wisdom of diversity in the Holy Quran
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Research summary

 


The first step towards the goal of coexistence with diversity, we must all recognize each one of us the rights of others regardless of his religion, color, gender, and point of view, and that each one agrees with his partnership with others, and a person’s belonging to a religion or doctrine must be based on conviction and self-motivation, and that the true Sharia prohibits a Muslim To impose on others what they do not believe and believe in, for God Almighty did not give His Prophet this right, so how about others, and it is not surprising for everyone that disharmony and rivalry impede the attempt to advance in society, and it is natural that our enemies take advantage of our division among us,

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