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Determine the best model to predict the consumption of electric energy in the southern region
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Abstract:          

                Interest in the topic of prediction has increased in recent years and appeared modern methods such as Artificial Neural Networks models, if these methods are able to learn and adapt self with any model, and does not require assumptions on the nature of the time series. On the other hand, the methods currently used to predict the classic method such as Box-Jenkins may be difficult to diagnose chain and modeling because they assume strict conditions.

               So there was a need to compare the traditional methods used to predict the time chained with neural networks method to find the most efficient method to predict, and this is the purpose of this study.

              Contributes to predict future demand for electricity in the electric power sector to solve problems through future planning to meet changes in the demand for electricity increases. Experience has shown there is no way of certain predict appropriate for all cases, but that in each case the way of a private predict is needed to find and use. However, taking more than one way may lead to raising the future accuracy of the estimates.

               The present study aims to shed light on some of the statistical methods used to predict future demand for electricity for the Southern District, as well as a reference to more accurate methods to predict the future of energy. It has been used a number of methods to predict , such as econometric modeling technique, style and Box- Jenkins method of artificial neural network. And service to the goal of the study, which is based upon the premise that search: the neural network models more accurate than traditional models in long-term. As it is the most efficient and more accurate than other conventional models in dealing with non-linear time-series data.

                We have been using the annual electrical energy consumption data for the Southern District to conduct a comparison of the program through the application of SPSS and Minitab for statistical analysis, and Matlab language has been used to build a program in neural networks, and through the practical application it was found that neural networks gives better results and more efficient than the classic way.

 

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Publication Date
Tue Oct 08 2002
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Laser
Visible Enhanced Photodetector Made by Spray Pyrolysis
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Barium–doped TiO2 / n-Si photodetector was fabricated by spray pyrolysis exhibited visible enhancement responsivity profile with peak response at 600 nm flat response between 650 and 900 nm. The quantum efficiency was 30% and specific detectivity was 5x1012 W-1Hz1/2cm at peak response. The GaAlAs laser diode was used to estimate the rise time of the detector.

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Publication Date
Sun Apr 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Business Risk Assessment Using Client Strategy Analysis Approach in order to Increase the Efficiency and Effectiveness of the Audit Process
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Abstract

This study aimed to identify the business risks using the approach of the client strategy analysis in order to improve the efficiency and effectiveness of the audit process. A study of business risks and their impact on the efficiency and effectiveness of the audit process has been performed to establish a cognitive framework of the main objective of this study, in which the descriptive analytical method has been adopted. A survey questionnaire has been developed and distributed to the targeted group of audit firms which have profession license from the Auditors Association in the Gaza Strip (63 offices). A hundred questionnaires have been distributed to the study sample of which, a total of 84 where answered and

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Publication Date
Thu Jan 04 2018
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Market Research And Consumer Protection
STUDY THE EFFECT OF MICROENCAPSULATION OF PROBIOTIC TO INCREASE SURVIVALITY TOWARDS MILK PASTEURIZERTREATMENT WHICH AVAILABLE IN LOCAL MARKETS.: STUDY THE EFFECT OF MICROENCAPSULATION OF PROBIOTIC TO INCREASE SURVIVALITY TOWARDS MILK PASTEURIZERTREATMENT WHICH AVAILABLE IN LOCAL MARKETS.
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Lactobacillus Plantarum and Lactobacillus rhamnosus GG were encapsulated using 3% of alginate via extrusion technique. And the probiotics capsules produced were further coated used 1% chitosan to increase the survival of probiotics, and evaluation of The heat resistance of the slow pasteurization and fast pasteurization for Lb,pla and Lb.GG for control and bacteria coated one layer and bacteria coated two layer at 63°C/ 30 minutes and 72°C/ 15 seconds. The results indicate that the Probiotic coated two layer are more resistant to pasteurization temperatures at 63°C/ 30 minutes and 72°C/ 15 seconds than the Probiotic coated one layer. While the results of the control follow a significant reduction for viability of cell toward pasteuri

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Publication Date
Thu Oct 18 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Effect of Attitudes in the ethics of the public job of the individual
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Attitude is an important subject that has attracted researchers and thinkers in organizational theory and organizational behavior because of its great importance in various field studies. Field evidence suggests that individuals in their daily lives or careers respond to specific events through a set of internal tendencies Internal tendencies are negative or positive and systematic. These trends tend to be invisible, not limited to certain boundaries, and involve a significant number of individuals within organizations or society.

 The research aims to identify the impact of trends in the ethics of public service workers for individuals, through a sample of (72) doctors and (60) administrative staff

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Publication Date
Sun Jun 20 2021
Journal Name
Bulletin Of The Iraq Natural History Museum (p-issn: 1017-8678 , E-issn: 2311-9799)
SURVEY OF PREDATOR AND PARASITOID INSECTS IN DUHOK PROVINCE, KURDISTAN REGION, IRAQ
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A total of 47 species belonging to 46 genera, 34 subfamilies, 23 families and 7 orders of predator and parasitoid insects were collected and identified. The survey was conducted throughout the program held by the General Directorate of Agriculture-Duhok, in cooperating with the College of Agricultural Engineering Sciences in Duhok Province, Kurdistan Region, Iraq from May 2013 to April 2014.
The species hosts, collecting date, locality and distributions are given. The current checklist also included some species previously collected by other researchers in Duhok Province.

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Publication Date
Wed Mar 04 2015
Journal Name
Environmental Earth Sciences
Isotopic study of water resources in a semi-arid region, western Iraq
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Publication Date
Sat Feb 01 2025
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
Evaluation of the Iraqi Community for Election Campaigns for Candidates of the House of Representatives and Media Coverage in March 2010: (Cairo as a Model)
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The elections of the Council of Representatives in Iraq are one of the manifestations of political participation, which makes it attracts the attention of researchers. Where Iraq witnessed in 2005 important political events in the Iraqi arena, a pluralist parliamentary elections or elections in Iraq by direct free election on January 30, the first almost half a century ago. On November 15 of the same year, Iraq adopted a permanent constitution for the country through a popular referendum.

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Publication Date
Mon Sep 03 2018
Journal Name
Al-academy
Employing lighting to express the cinematic personality duplication
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Represents light a sovereign and importance in cinematography element of what possessed the physical characteristics make it a sharp image detail or opaque, or any other form as he wants the director, Valdu away from the main function, which emerged with the beginnings of cinema, any access to endanger the proper and good, the Alachtgalat dramatic and psychological are deepened performance lighting and functioned in adjacent with the shadows, all the two complement each other, which affects the image details or even the ability to express their personal depths or the social and psychological same place, and this prompted the researcher to determine the search in the following address: (employing lighting to express their personal duplica

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Publication Date
Thu Dec 30 2021
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
Al-Hajjaj in pre-Islamic poetry hangs Imru 'al-Qays and the Twrfa of Ibn al-Abd as a model
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The topic of (pilgrims) of the old and modern subjects at the same time, as it extends his foot and is associated with the beginning of speech and argument, a modern because it is based on studies and research (and the theory of pilgrims) from (Austin and Cyril) through (Charles Breman) to (Aristotle) ), It is worth mentioning here to mention the role of (Hazem al - Qartagni) in mentioning the value of the pilgrimage of hair and saying the use of persuasion in the hair, is palatable and acceptable. Hence our research applied these views, and we chose the pendants as a model for that matter.

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Publication Date
Tue Jan 29 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Student services provided to university students at the Faculty of Education for Girls at Baghdad University In light of the overall quality indicators
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The goal of current research is marked "student services for the university student at the Faculty of Education for Girls at Baghdad University in light of the overall quality indicators)" to identify the relative importance of the availability of student services offered by the College of Education at the University of Baghdad, from the viewpoint of the students. The research was Aaguetdy followers researcher Find descriptive approach to suitability research topic and in order to achieve the purposes of research, the researcher designed questionnaire examined consisted of (18) items and has been questionnaire on arbitrators and experts to verify the validity and reliability that's been applied to the questionnaire on a group of students

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