Preferred Language
Articles
/
jeasiq-518
Determine the best model to predict the consumption of electric energy in the southern region
...Show More Authors

Abstract:          

                Interest in the topic of prediction has increased in recent years and appeared modern methods such as Artificial Neural Networks models, if these methods are able to learn and adapt self with any model, and does not require assumptions on the nature of the time series. On the other hand, the methods currently used to predict the classic method such as Box-Jenkins may be difficult to diagnose chain and modeling because they assume strict conditions.

               So there was a need to compare the traditional methods used to predict the time chained with neural networks method to find the most efficient method to predict, and this is the purpose of this study.

              Contributes to predict future demand for electricity in the electric power sector to solve problems through future planning to meet changes in the demand for electricity increases. Experience has shown there is no way of certain predict appropriate for all cases, but that in each case the way of a private predict is needed to find and use. However, taking more than one way may lead to raising the future accuracy of the estimates.

               The present study aims to shed light on some of the statistical methods used to predict future demand for electricity for the Southern District, as well as a reference to more accurate methods to predict the future of energy. It has been used a number of methods to predict , such as econometric modeling technique, style and Box- Jenkins method of artificial neural network. And service to the goal of the study, which is based upon the premise that search: the neural network models more accurate than traditional models in long-term. As it is the most efficient and more accurate than other conventional models in dealing with non-linear time-series data.

                We have been using the annual electrical energy consumption data for the Southern District to conduct a comparison of the program through the application of SPSS and Minitab for statistical analysis, and Matlab language has been used to build a program in neural networks, and through the practical application it was found that neural networks gives better results and more efficient than the classic way.

 

Crossref
View Publication Preview PDF
Quick Preview PDF
Publication Date
Wed Oct 14 2026
Journal Name
Journal Of Physical Education
The impact of a computerized program (cogniplus) to develop the strength to focus and perform kinetic chain on the balance beam
...Show More Authors

View Publication
Publication Date
Mon Nov 01 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
Numerical Study for the Tube Rotation Effect on Melting Process in Shell and Tube Latent Heat Energy Storage LHES System
...Show More Authors

Although renewable energy systems have become an interesting global issue, it is not continuous either daily or seasonally. Latent heat energy storage (LHES) is one of the suitable solutions for this problem. LHES becomes a basic element in renewable energy systems. LHES compensate for the energy lack when these systems are at low production conditions. The present work considered a shell and tube LHES for numerical investigation of the tube rotation influence on the melting process. The simulation and calculations were carried out using ANSYS Fluent software. Paraffin wax represents the phase change material (PCM) in this work, while water was selected to be the heat transfer fluid (HTF). The calculations were carried o

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref (8)
Crossref
Publication Date
Thu Mar 19 2026
Journal Name
Journal Of Petroleum Research And Studies
Improving the Reliability of Well Log Data Recorded in Oil and Gas Wells through Quality Control Approaches: A Case Study from a Southern Iraqi Field
...Show More Authors

Quality control of well logs has always been an important objective in reservoir studies because of the key role played by well logs as input data. This study aims to make a quality control on well logs data for two wells of Yamama formation in southern Iraqi field to ensuring and enhancing the measurement accuracy. In the beginning, the calibration data of before and after surveys are applied as initial evaluation for the quality of density log in well R-1. Then, depth matching is used to fit the depth of all logs in each well. After that, the comparison between the main and repeat sections is helped to check the repeatability. Finally, all uncorrected logs are environmentally corrected to remove the effects of the borehole conditi

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Sat Feb 09 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The biography of King Faisal I from the early period of his life to his building to the first step of the modern Iraqi state (1883-1924)
...Show More Authors

The environment and the placesthat prince Faisal Bin AL-Husein influenced his childhood ,
behaviourand future . his expereence in his early life in leading the battles and
arabRevoluionenriched him . inspite of his short periedand harsh experience of leadersmp.
he gained an experienencein ruling iraqadter 1921 . The Syrian experiencetaught him how to
deal with the strong and establish the government as he beliered in the slogan: independence
is taken not given. He established the consititution and the election . he made a solid
basefeconomy of in his time, Iraq , Iraq be came the country number ( 53) as an
independency country on the third of November 1932 . he died peacefuliy after Iraq's
indepence.

View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Tue Feb 05 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Measures of the British Force in Iraq and their managements to limitate the pread of Malaria among its troops (Documentary Study)
...Show More Authors

Historical scripts and Academic studies have bestrewed almost all the events of the movement of march 1941 . Yet the need was present to shine more light on important sides . These important sides were neglected due to some reasons among which came the absence of the historical material which can make a new historical detection. Then there were historical topics concerning our research which comes within context of sanitarily conditions , rarely seizes the attention of the researchers for many reasons some of them were not subjective.
The spread of Malaria among the British force was one of the sanitarily conditions that were related to the movement of march since their arrival to Basra city and its continuous spread after the second

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Wed May 29 2019
Journal Name
Indian Journal Of Physics
Effect of lasing energy on the structure and optical and gas sensing properties of chromium oxide thin films
...Show More Authors

View Publication
Scopus (4)
Crossref (2)
Scopus Clarivate Crossref
Publication Date
Mon May 27 2019
Journal Name
Al-academy
Pluralism in Tuning the Contemporary Arab Oud Strings - Egyptian and Iraqi Schools Model: فراس ياسين جاسم
...Show More Authors

The Egyptian and Iraqi schools are one of the most important musical schools in the style of playing the oud. The influence of the style of these schools extended in the contemporary Arab world, and there were important names that emerged characterized with their style of playing. Thus, the ways of tuning the strings of oud varied between the two schools because of the difference in the ways of playing and the difference in the style of expression. The aim of the research was to identify the pluralism of the variable tunings of the strings of the contemporary Arab oud of the Egyptian and Iraqi schools, along the historical period extending from the late nineteenth and twentieth centuries to the present time. The oud has been classified i

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Mon Jun 01 2009
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Breast Tumor Diagnosis Using Diode Laser in Near Infrared Region
...Show More Authors

In the last years, new non-invasively laser methods were used to detect breast tumors for pre- and postmenopausal females. The methods based on using laser radiation are safer than the other daily used methods for breast tumor detection like X-ray mammography, CT-scanner, and nuclear medicine.  

      One of these new methods is called FDPM (Frequency Domain Photon Migration). It is based on the modulation of laser beam by variable frequency sinusoidal waves. The modulated laser radiations illuminate the breast tissue and received from opposite side.

      In this paper the amplitude and the phase shift of the received signal were calculated according to the orig

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Mon Mar 02 2020
Journal Name
Iraqi Geological Journal
RESERVOIR MODELING OF MISHRIF FORMATION IN MAJNOON OIL FIELD, SOUTHERN IRAQ
...Show More Authors

The Middle Cenomanian-Early Turonian Mishrif Formation includes important carbonate reservoirs in Iraq and some other surrounding countries due to their high reservoir quality and wide geological extension. The 2D models of this study for facies, effective porosity and water saturation indicate the vertical and lateral heterogeneity of the Mishrif Formation reservoir properties in the Majnoon oil field. Construction of 2D reservoir model of the Mishrif Formation to explain the distribution of facies and petrophysical properties (effective porosity and water saturation) by using RockWorks software. The increase of effective porosity is attributed to the presence of shoal facies.The high water saturation is attributed to the existence of rest

... Show More
View Publication
Scopus (22)
Crossref (7)
Scopus Crossref
Publication Date
Sun Dec 29 2019
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Reservoir units of Mishrif Formation in Majnoon Oil field, Southern Iraq
...Show More Authors

The reservoir units of Mishrif Formation in Majnoon oil field were studied by using available wireline logs (gamma ray, porosity and resistivity) and facies that derived from core and cutting samples for three wells including Mj-1, Mj-15, and Mj-20. The reservoir properties were determined and interpreted by using IP software. The results showed that unit D have the best reservoir properties due to high effective porosity, low water saturation and very low volume of shale. Furthermore, a large part of this unit was deposited in shoal environment. The other reservoir units are then graded in reservoir properties including units B, A, F & E respectively, except unit C, which is considered as a cap unit, because it consists of rest

... Show More
Scopus (15)
Crossref (13)
Scopus Crossref