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Analysis the context of Uncertainty (Nature and management) under two school of strategic thinking (theoretical perspective
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Purpose: studying and analyzing the nature of uncertainty as part of strategy formulation, through analyzing the uncertainty faced by managers in the modern business environment characterized by high complexity and dynamism, though developing of an idea about the uncertainty cases and how enable the mind to understand these cases.

Methodology: It was the use of inductive and analytical approach, in order to study the accumulation of knowledge towards development areas that could contribute to strengthening the strategy formulation.

Findings: Mentoring the future will not make the success for business organization but thought business organization ability to developing share mental model for the future will make the future successful. through multiple mental models we can enhance the learning process from the future and that contribute to developing memory of the future that help managers to manage the uncertainty.

Originality and value: development approach to strategy formulation as organic process through which to understand the uncertainty, by focusing on the expansion the ideas of cognitive and learning school through orientation towards learning from the future and future memory. Mintzberg consider both cognitive and learning school as Natural by contras with planning school tend to be rational, and as oriented to External word considered both cognitive and learning school tend to be able to deal with Unpredictable and confusing by compare with planning school tend to by controllable and comprehensible, that result lead to expanding in the ideas of both cognitive and learning school

 

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Publication Date
Mon Sep 01 2008
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
مقارنة طرائق تقدير معلمات توزيع كاما ذي المعلمتين في حالة البيانات المفقودة باستخدام المحاكاة
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The estimation of the parameters of Two Parameters Gamma Distribution in case of missing data has been made by using two important methods: the Maximum Likelihood Method and the Shrinkage Method. The former one consists of three methods to solve the MLE non-linear equation by which the estimators of the maximum likelihood can be obtained: Newton-Raphson, Thom and Sinha methods. Thom and Sinha methods are developed by the researcher to be suitable in case of missing data. Furthermore, the Bowman, Shenton and Lam Method, which depends on the Three Parameters Gamma Distribution to get the maximum likelihood estimators, has been developed. A comparison has been made between the methods in the experimental aspect to find the best meth

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Publication Date
Tue Feb 14 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Vocabulary Learning Strategies Employed by English as Foreign Language Students at NBU University
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ABSTRACT

Learning vocabulary is a challenging task for female English as a foreign language (EFL) students. Thus, improving students’ knowledge of vocabulary is critical if they are to make progress in learning a new language. The current study aimed at exploring the vocabulary learning strategies used by EFL students at Northern Border University (NBU). It also aimed to identify the mechanisms applied by EFL students at NBU University to learn vocabulary. It also aimed at evaluating the approaches adopted by EFL female students at Northern Border University (NBU) to learn a language. The study adopted the descriptive-analytical method. Two research instruments were developed to collect data namely, a survey qu

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 01 2005
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
Türk Halk Edebiyatında Manzum Atasözleri ve Irak Türkmenleri Arasında Atasözü İçerikli Hoyrat Örnekleri
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Özet
Sözlü Türk halk edebiyatı ürünleri içinde önemli yere sahip olan türlerden biri de atasözleridir. Atasözleri, nesilden nesile halk ağzında dolaĢan, kimin söylediği bilinmeyen, birtakım gerçekleri kısa ve öz bir Ģekilde ifade eden sözlerdir. Türk atasözleri Orhun Abideleri‟nde ilk kez karĢımıza çıkmakla birlikte, Uygur dönemi yazıtlarında ve özellikle Dîvânü Lûgati‟t Türk‟te geniĢ yer bulmuĢtur. Dilin anlatım ve kullanım imkânlarını geliĢtiren atasözlerine, dünyanın bütün dillerinde rastlanabilir. Bunun için, söyleyiĢte güzel, anlatımda güçlü, kavramda önemli unsurlar içeren kalıplaĢmıĢ sözler halinde bulunurlar. Bu çalıĢmada, Türk halk edebiyatında atas

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Publication Date
Tue Mar 31 2020
Journal Name
مجلة العلوم النفسية
اثر انموذج التفكير النشط في تحصيل طلاب الصف الثاني المتوسط لمادة العلوم وتفكيرهم البصري
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ان الهدف من هذا البحث هو التعرف على أثر انموذج التفكير النشط في تحصيل طلاب الصف الثاني المتوسط لمادة العلوم و تفـكيرهم البصري. تكونت عينة البحث من (58) طالباً، يتوزعون بين مجموعتين احدهما تجريبية و اخرى ضابطة. تم اعداد اداتين مقننتين احداهما لقياس التحصيل والاخرى لقياس التفــكير البصري، وبعد تطبيق تجربة البحث والحصول على البيانات، التي تمت معالجتها احصائيا باستخدام البرنامج الاحصائي(SPSS)؛ كشفت النتائج عن تفوق

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Publication Date
Tue Jan 01 2008
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
أثر تدريس المواد البيئية في تنمية الاتجاهات البيئية لطالبات كلية العلوم للبنات – جامعة بغداد
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يهدف البحث إلى استقصاء أثر دراسة طالبات كلية العلوم للبنات في جامعة بغداد لمقرر التلوث البيئي في تنمية اتجاهاتهن البيئية، وذلك من خلال التعرّف على النمو في المستوى العام لاتجاهات الطالبات البيئية والكشف عن الفروق الإحصائية في اتجاهاتهن قبل وبعد دراسة المقرر.

وقد تألفت عينة البحث من(50) طالبة من طالبات قسم الفيزياء / الفيزياء الطبية المرحلة الأولى في كلية العلوم للبنات- جامعة بغداد. اعتمدت ا

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Publication Date
Sun Jul 02 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
(دور الارشاد التربوي في محاربة المخدرات وتحقيق الامن النفسي من وجهة نظر المدرسين المرشدين )
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The research study aims to investigate the prevalence of the phenomenon of drags and the causes of this phenomenon from the teachers point  of view Two  hundred   Teachers  participated in this study Questionnaire  was used to  collect  the  data .                                 

The results emphasized the importance 0f the  educational  counseling  through  different  procedure  to prevent  drugs  abuse .   the results  also&

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Publication Date
Sun Apr 02 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
أثر برنامج تدريبي لمدرسي الكيمياء على وفق جانبي الدماغ معا في التحصيل الدراسي لطلبتهم
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 This research aims to investigate the impact of a training program for teachers of chemistry according to the strategies for both sides of the brain together in academic achievement for their students, the sample consisted of a 12 teachers of both genders who are teaching chemistry for the students of the fifth scientific secondary schools of the General Directorate for the Education in Garmiyan/Sulaymaniyah governorate, Iraqi Kurdistan region, where five teachers of them randomly selected to involve the training program, and seven teachers did not participate in the proposed training program, where a sample of students was selected for each group of teachers about 147 male and female students for teachers of the experiment

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Publication Date
Wed Sep 25 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
كنائس وأديرة بغداد في العصر العباسي ودورها الإجتماعي والإقتصادي والثقافي (132- 656هـ/ 749- 1258م)
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اقيمت الكنائس على جانبي مدينة بغداد الغربي(الكرخ) والشرقي(الرصافة)، أما الأديرة فقد انشئت في موضع مدينة بغداد قبل بنائها وبعد البناء حافظ البعض منها على مكانته وانشئ البعض الآخر، في جانبيها الغربي(الكرخ) والشرقي(الرصافة)، وهو ما سنركز عليه في بحثنا عن كنائس وأديرة بغداد لمختلف الطوائف المسيحية فيها، فضلاً عن تسليط الضوء على دورها الإجتماعي والإقتصادي والثقافي، وإن كان محدوداً جداً وقاصراً على الأديرة أكثر

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 18 2019
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
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The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in dete

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Publication Date
Tue Feb 21 2023
Journal Name
مجلة علوم الرياضة
دراسة واقع مستوى التحكيم في العراق للموسم الكروي 2009-2008 ومقارنتها مع الموسمين السابقين
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