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A Comparative Study for Estimate Fractional Parameter of ARFIMA Model

      Long memory analysis is one of the most active areas in econometrics and time series where various methods have been introduced to identify and estimate the long memory parameter in partially integrated time series. One of the most common models used to represent time series that have a long memory is the ARFIMA (Auto Regressive Fractional Integration Moving Average Model) which diffs are a fractional number called the fractional parameter. To analyze and determine the ARFIMA model, the fractal parameter must be estimated. There are many methods for fractional parameter estimation. In this research, the estimation methods were divided into indirect methods, where the Hurst parameter is estimated first, and then the fractional integration parameter is estimated from it by a relation between them. As for direct methods, the fractional integration parameter is estimated directly without relying on Hurst's parameter, and most of them are semi parametric methods. In this paper, some of the most common direct methods were used to estimate the fraction modulus namely (Geweke-Porter-Hudak, Smoothed Geweke-Porter-Hudak, Local Whittle, Wavelet and weighted wavelet), using simulation method with different value of (d) and different size of time series. The comparison between the methods was done using the mean squared error (MSE). It turns out that the best methods to estimate the fractional parameter is (Local Whittle).

      The ARFIMA model was generated by a function programmed by the MATLAB statistical program

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Publication Date
Thu Nov 21 2013
Journal Name
المؤتمر العلمي الدولي الرابع لاتحاد الاحصائيين العرب / بغداد
Estimating Fertility Rates in Iraq by using (Lee-Carter) Model And Forecasting for the Period (2012_2031)

A large number of researchers had attempted to identify the pattern of the functional relationship between fertility from a side and economic and social characteristics of the population from another, with the strength of effect of each. So, this research aims to monitor and analyze changes in the level of fertility temporally and spatially in recent decades, in addition to estimating fertility levels in Iraq for the period (1977-2011) and then make forecasting to the level of fertility in Iraq at the national level (except for the Kurdistan region), and for the period of (2012-2031). To achieve this goal has been the use of the Lee-Carter model to estimate fertility rates and predictable as well. As this is the form often has been familiar

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Publication Date
Sat Dec 01 2012
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
ESTIMATION OF COEFFICIENTS AND SCALE PARAMETER FOR LINEAR (TYPE 1) EXTREME VALUE REGRESSION MODEL FOR LARGEST VALUES WITH APPLICATIONS

In this paper we estimate the coefficients and scale parameter in linear regression model depending on the residuals are of type 1 of extreme  value distribution for the largest values . This can be regard as an improvement for the studies with the smallest values . We study two estimation methods ( OLS  & MLE ) where we resort to Newton – Raphson (NR) and Fisher Scoring methods to get MLE estimate because the difficulty of using the usual approach with MLE . The relative efficiency criterion is considered beside to the statistical inference procedures for the extreme value regression model of type 1 for largest values . Confidence interval , hypothesis testing for both scale parameter and regression coefficients

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Publication Date
Fri Mar 31 2017
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Comparative Study for Organic and Inorganic Draw Solutions in Forward Osmosis

The present work aims to study forward osmosis process using different kinds of draw solutions and membranes. Three types of draw solutions (sodium chloride, sodium formate, and sodium acetate) were used in forward osmosis process to evaluate their effectiveness with respect to water flux and reverse salt flux. Experiments conducted in a laboratory-scale forward osmosis (FO) unit in cross flow flat sheet membrane cell.  Three types of membranes (Thin film composite (TFC), Cellulose acetate (CA), and Cellulose triacetate (CTA)) were used to determine the water flux under osmotic pressure as a driving force. The effect of temperature, draw solution concentration, feed and draw solution flow rate, and membrane types, were studied with

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Publication Date
Thu Dec 30 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of Legal Sciences
Violation of the rights of sound record producers (piracy): A Comparative study

Piracy is one of the most important problems faced by sound record producers, because it is a problem that evolves with the development of time and technology, and although piracy is not a new problem, it has received great attention in recent years, because of the means by which (the Internet) and its size result from it, even In many of the ruler, describing it as (the crime of the electronic age) and she participated in the great harm it causes to all the groups involved in it producing the sound recording, because there are three categories that contribute to the production of the sound recording, which is (the author of the recorded work, the artist who performs the work and the producer who performs an operation Performance recordi

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Publication Date
Fri Dec 01 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Comparing the Sequential Nonlinear least squared Method and Sequential robust M method to estimate the parameters of Two Dimensional sinusoidal signal model:

Estimation of the unknown parameters in 2-D sinusoidal signal model can be considered as important and difficult problem. Due to the difficulty to find estimate of all the parameters of this type of models at the same time, we propose sequential non-liner least squares method and sequential robust  M method after their development through the use of sequential  approach in the estimate suggested by Prasad et al to estimate unknown frequencies and amplitudes for the 2-D sinusoidal compounds but depending on Downhill Simplex Algorithm in solving non-linear equations for the purpose of obtaining non-linear parameters estimation which represents frequencies and then use of least squares formula to estimate

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
The Word " בַּיִת " (House) in the Book of Joshua A Comparative Semitic Linguistic Study

In this paper we have dealt with the word "  בַּיִת" in the Book of Joshua because it makes one of those that highly employed the  word    בַּיִת"  " in the Old Testament. The Book of Joshua comes  sixth   in the order of tanakh wich was written by Joshua son of  Noon in Palestine during the fifteenth century  B.C. and it covers a three-decade era extending from the death  of Moses til the death of Joshua son of Noon.

      The word " בַּיִת " in this paper refers to the place, where expressions are made by a noun modified by a noun . The modifier is"" בַּיִת , and the modified is another noun. Herein, we

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Publication Date
Thu Feb 01 2024
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Comparative Study of Gamma- Ray Shielding Parameters for Different Epoxy Composites

In the current work various types of epoxy composites were added to concrete to enhance its effectiveness as a gamma- ray shield. Four epoxy samples of (E/clay/B4C) S1, (E/Mag/B4C) S2, (EPIL) S3 and (Ep) S4 were used in a comparative study of gamma radiation attenuation properties of these shields that calculating using Mont Carlo code (MCNP-5). Adopting Win X-com software and Artificial Neural Network (ANN), µ/ρ revealed great compliance with MCNP-5. By applying (µ/ρ) output for gamma at different energies, HVL, TVL and MFP have been also estimated. ANN technique was simulated to estimate (µ/ρ) and dose rates. According to the results, µ/ρ of all epoxy samples scored higher than standard concrete. Both S2 and S3 samples having h

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Publication Date
Sat Jun 01 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Comparison between some well- Known methods to estimate the parameter of the proposed method of measurement and the reliability of the distribution function with two parameters Rally by simulation

 

 

Abstract

            Rayleigh distribution is one of the important distributions used for analysis life time data, and has applications in reliability study and physical interpretations. This paper introduces four different methods to estimate the scale parameter, and also estimate reliability function; these methods are Maximum Likelihood, and Bayes and Modified Bayes, and Minimax estimator under squared error loss function, for the scale and reliability function of the generalized Rayleigh distribution are obtained. The comparison is done through simulation procedure, t

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Publication Date
Thu Jun 15 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Legal Sciences
The Judge’s Oversight Function on Unreasonableness in Disciplinary Actions : A Comparative Study

The Administrative agency enjoys certain privileges when issuing disciplinary actions on a public servant. As the only entity conferred with the authority to issue disciplinary action to actualize certain aims, like establishment of, or amendment or repealing of certain legal provisions. Public service is regarded as the most widespread sector due to the employer-employee working relationship between the administrative agency and the public servant. The aim of disciplinary action is to serve deterrent to the employee from committing similar offence in the future and guaranteeing of smooth running of the organization and effective delivery of work. Therefore, the administrative agency must commit to achieving this aim, without being outra

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Publication Date
Mon Dec 25 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Legal Sciences
The voluntary declaration in the tax legislation in UAE: A comparative study

Taxes are   the most important public revenues, especially in the context of state intervention and the transformation of the tax from a mere financial tool only into an economic and social guidance tool. Therefore, all countries are keen to preserve this revenue by creating a clear legal system on tax assignment and collection mechanisms, and controlling cases of tax evasion.

The tax administration applies   several methods to determine the tax base, which differ from one tax to another, and from one tax system to another. The most important of these methods are the tax returns declared by the taxpayers   ,  one of these  methods also  is to determine the tax base directly by the tax

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