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jeasiq-2089
Predicting Social Security Fund compensation in Iraq using ARMAX Model
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Time series have gained great importance and have been applied in a manner in the economic, financial, health and social fields and used in the analysis through studying the changes and forecasting the future of the phenomenon. One of the most important models of the black box is the "ARMAX" model, which is a mixed model consisting of self-regression with moving averages with external inputs. It consists of several stages, namely determining the rank of the model and the process of estimating the parameters of the model and then the prediction process to know the amount of compensation granted to workers in the future in order to fulfil the future obligations of the Fund. , And using the regular least squares method and the frequency squares method by "Kalman filter" and "forgetting factor" to obtain the best predictable way for the future using data from the Social Security Department for workers and from the period 1/2013 to 6/2019 where The method of least squares "OLS" was compared with the method of iterative least squares "RLS" by "Karman Filter" and found that "OLS" method is the best according to the comparison measures "RMSE, MAPE" and it gave accurate results close to the real values

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Publication Date
Tue Sep 01 2020
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Bayesian and Non - Bayesian Inference for Shape Parameter and Reliability Function of Basic Gompertz Distribution
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In this paper, some estimators of the unknown shape parameter and reliability function  of Basic Gompertz distribution (BGD) have been obtained, such as MLE, UMVUE, and MINMSE, in addition to estimating Bayesian estimators under Scale invariant squared error loss function assuming informative prior represented by Gamma distribution and non-informative prior by using Jefferys prior. Using Monte Carlo simulation method, these estimators of the shape parameter and R(t), have been compared based on mean squared errors and integrated mean squared, respectively

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Publication Date
Sun Jun 12 2011
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Comparison between Direct and Coherent Optical Communication System
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The work in this paper focuses on the system quality of direct and coherent communication system for two computers. A system quality is represented by Signal to Noise ratio (SNR) and Bit Error Rate (BER). First part of the work includes implementation of direct optical fiber communication system and measure the system quality .The second part of the work include implementation both the( homodyne and heterodyne)coherent optical fiber communication system and measure the system quality . Laser diode 1310 nm wavelength with its drive circuit used in the transmitter circuit . A single mode of 62.11 km optical fiber is selected as transmission medium . A PIN photo detector is used in the receiver circuit. The optical D-coupler was u

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Publication Date
Tue Dec 31 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Comparing Different Estimators for the shape Parameter and the Reliability function of Kumaraswamy Distribution
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In this paper, we used maximum likelihood method and the Bayesian method to estimate the shape parameter (θ), and reliability function (R(t)) of the Kumaraswamy distribution with two parameters l , θ (under assuming the exponential distribution, Chi-squared distribution and Erlang-2 type distribution as prior distributions), in addition to that we used method of moments for estimating the parameters of the prior distributions. Bayes

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Publication Date
Sat Dec 31 2022
Journal Name
Tikrit Journal Of Administrative And Economic Sciences
ادارة المخاطر المصرفية في ظل ازمة دراسة تحليلية لعدد من المصارف التجارية الخاصة العراقية Covid-19
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ي لا ماق ثحبلا فادهأ قيقحتلو ثحبلا ةنيعل نايبتسا ءارجاو فراصملل ةيلاملا مئاوقلا ليلحتب ثحاب اهمهأ ناك تاجاتنتسا ىلإ ثحابلا لصوت دقو لإ صاخ معد دوجو مدع نم ةيفرصملا رطاخملا ةراد ةروصب اهدوجو مدعو فراصملل ةماعلا تارادلاا يف اهدوجو رصتقي ثيح ،ايلعلا تاهجلا لبق نم ديزي امم ،عورفلا يف ةلاعف مدع ةجيتن عورفلا نم ةدلوتملاو فراصملا اههجاوت يتلا رطاخملا اهمهأ ناك تايصوت ىلإ ثحابلا لصوت دقو امك ،ةيفرصملا تلاماعم

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 20 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
تقييم مخاطر نشاط مبيعات الشركة العامة للصناعات الجلدية في ظّل ظروف السوق المحلية للمدة 2010 - 2014
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Research is aimed at defining the risks that the sales activity of the General Company for Leather Industries about a special, then diagnose these risks, through a set of indicators, which indicate its existence and try to overcome them, and minimizing the negative effects on those activities.

The research found some conclusions, which emphasizes that the General Company for Leather Industries, suffer from a lack of profit, and a large decrease in sales; a result of absence of demand on its products and rising cost of the expenses to income ratio of, which was reflected in the cost per unit produced. Also the conclusions shown that the number of sales outlets for the company to cover the geographical area is not enough, in spite

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 30 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The impact of voluntary corporate disclosure on tax planning: An applied analytical research of a sample of Iraqi private joint-stock companies
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In recent years, the attention of researchers, governments and international non-governmental organizations has focused on the aggressive practices adopted by companies with the aim of evading the tax burden or from paying the tax obligations imposed on them by law, as the results of these practices are negatively affected by tax revenues. And that companies are part of the society in which they work, and they have rights and obligations, including paying taxes. The research community is the Iraqi private shareholding companies, and the research sample was 4 companies within the private sector and in the field and finance - banking, insurance, industrial and service, which are Ashur Bank, Al-Ahlia Insurance Company, Baghdad Soft

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Publication Date
Sat Dec 02 2023
Journal Name
مجلة الترجمة واللسانيات
الحبكة ودورها في الادب القصصي نماذج مختارة من الكتاب المقدس העלילה ותפקידה בסיפורים דוגמאות נבחרות מהתנ"ך
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إنها وصف واقعي أو خيالي لأفعال تهدف إلى ترفيه أو تثقيف المستمع أو القارئ. (روبرت لويس ستيفنسون) يقول أحد رواد سرد القصص البارزين: هناك ثلاث طرق فقط لكتابة قصة: إما أن يختار الكاتب حبكة ثم يجعل الشخصيات تتناسب معها، أو أن يختار شخصية ويختار الأحداث والمواقف التي تُطور الحبكة. الحبكة هي التصميم أو المنطق أو البنية لنوع معين من الخطاب الذي يُطور وحداته من خلال تسلسل زمني. وهي تُعطي القصة...

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Publication Date
Sun Apr 02 2023
Journal Name
مجلة البحوث التربوية والنفسية
اثر استراتيجية مقترحة وفقا لنظرية الرياضيات الواقعية في التحصيل والترابط الرياضي لدى طالبات الصف الثالث المتوسط
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هدفت الدراسة الحالية إلى ( معرفة اثر استراتيجية مقترحة وفقا لنظرية الرياضيات الواقعية في التحصيل والترابط الرياضي لدى طالبات الصف الثالث المتوسط)، تم اختيار مجموعتين من صف الثالث المتوسط في مدرسة تابعة للمديرية العامة لتربية بغداد- الرصافة الاولى للعام الدراسي(2022-2021) تمثل المجموعة التجريبية والتي تدرس على وفق الاستراتيجية المقترحة وبلغ عدد طالباتها(30)، والمجموعة الضابطة التي تدرس بالطريقة الاعتيادية وبلغ

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 01 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Person-Organization's Environment Fit and it's Reflection on the Work Outcomes
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This study aims to studying of Person and organization’s environment fit in a sample of Private bank’s reflection in its basic dimensions (Person-organization fit ,Person-Job fit, Person-group fit and Person- Person-fit )in the Work Outcomes (job satisfaction, the intention to leave the job, Job Engagement, and organizational  citizenship behavior ).

The questionnair’e has been used as a basic  instrument to gather data , As well as personal interviews with some of the staff of the research sample of private banks which were represented by (5) and included banks (Bank of Assyria for investment, the North Bank for Finance and Investment , Bank of the Tigris

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Publication Date
Sat Jan 04 2020
Journal Name
زانكو - الإنسانيات
The Effect of Linguistic Propositions on the Collection of Arabic Language Norms and the Development of Critical Thinking among Middle-Grade Students.
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The reality of teaching the Arabic language rules is not satisfactory, as the pedagogical methods used do not help students develop their mental skills, especially critical thinking skills. They are often traditional in terms of teaching students, who are passive, passive, often passive, active, and often active, their listening task, and the teacher's task of narrating facts and judgments. It is a blind simulation student, a dependency on others, and a weak spirit of creativity, innovation, and opinion. The opinions of educators and teachers almost agree on the reasons for students' weakness in learning the rules of Arabic, and that the reason lies in the way of teaching. The difficulty or the ease of the rules of Arabic does not lie in th

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